For the past month, the popular movement against the high cost of living in Martinique has been gathering momentum. Marcel Sellaye, an activist in the GRS (Groupe révolution socialiste) and a former leader of the Respé (Résistance ESPoir, Émancipation) list, explains the reasons for the anger and how the movement is continuing.
How did the movement against the high cost of living come about?
There have been some impressive mobilizations by the people of the French West Indies against the high cost of living in recent years: in 2009, they were initiated by the LKP in Guadeloupe and the K5F in Martinique, then, more recently, in the context of the covid pandemic and the less spectacular one of 2021. The movement launched on 1 September 2024 by RPPRAC (Rassemblement pour la Protection des Peuples et des Ressources Afro-Caribéens – Rally for the Protection of Afro-Caribbean Peoples and Resources) specifically targets food prices, which have soared by 40% according to INSEE.
In reality, the high cost of living in the French West Indies, in this case Martinique, is entirely due to the structure of the ‘Martinique economy’, which has been part of the global economy since 1957 (as part of the European Common Market). The structural high cost of living is aggravated by changes in the global inflationary context.
Martinique’s economy is dependent on the French market – a legacy of the colonial economic model based on the principle of exclusive trade with ‘metropolitan France’ to the detriment of local production. So not only are 80% of foodstuffs imported, but they also pass through the hands of fourteen intermediaries concerned about their profits!
This economic model is very costly for the population, particularly for the working and popular classes (35% of whom live below the poverty line). This market is dominated by the oligopoly GBH (Groupe Bernard Hayot), the leader in mass retailing since 1960 and whose owner is one of the 500 richest people in France. This same dependence also benefits the multinational CMA CGM (which has a monopoly on maritime transport), which contributes to the increase in the cost of purchasing products, which officially stands at around 7%.
What are the demands of the movement?
It all goes back to 2012, when measures were taken to regulate this market through a system of permanent promotions on basic products (the Price Quality Shield). A system managed exclusively by suppliers and distributors under the benevolent eye of the state.
In 2023, in the face of ever-rising prices, a ‘commission of enquiry into the cost of living in the territorial regional authorities governed by Articles 73 and 74’, led by Martinique MP Johnny Hajjar (Parti Progressiste Martiniquais, a Césairist party), revealed the opacity of the system and the exorbitant margins built up by supermarkets. It was against this backdrop that the RPPRAC, whose equivalent in France would be the Gilets jaunes, emerged.
Launched on social networks, its ambition was to mobilize simultaneously, on 1 September, the peoples of the colonies (Martinique, Guadeloupe, Guyana, Réunion) and West Indians living in France. But it is in Martinique, alongside its leaders (Rodrigue Petitot and Aude Goussard), that it is gathering the largest number of people (nearly 800 responded to the call on 1 September) and has since been leading blockades of supermarkets – in particular those belonging to the GBH group (Carrefour).
The movement has undoubtedly succeeded in highlighting this legitimate concern of the population, but it is a pity that, in the name of ‘efficiency’, it has sidelined the issues of low wages and pensions, health, public services and so on.
It was able to provoke several official ‘negotiation’ meetings on price cuts, notably at the prefecture and the Territorial Assembly. After more than a month of mobilization, the leaders officially acknowledged that they had been unsuccessful. In any case, this temporary failure has led its leaders to amend their hegemonic discourse and review their relationship with the trade union movement, which they initially claimed to do without, on the pretext in particular of its ‘failure in the 2009 movement’ and its responsibility for the current situation.
How have the authorities, including the French government, responded?
The government could not pretend to ignore the issue of the high cost of living, especially after the proven failure of previous measures – in which it was complicit – and especially after the publication of the report by the parliamentary commission of enquiry led by MP Hajjar.
What’s more, the prefect was careful not to invite the MP to any of the meetings held in the prefecture on the subject. He was firm in his opposition to the demand for transparency made by the RPPRAC, which wanted live coverage of the debates.
He was quick to impose a curfew, following the night-time violence perpetrated on the fringes of the movement and the exchanges of fire between police and demonstrators in the popular neighborhood of Sainte-Thérèse in mid-September.
But the most significant development was the return to France of the CRS (French riot police), who had been deemed undesirable after their misdeeds in Fort-de-France in December 1959. Against a backdrop of high living costs, unemployment, forced emigration, demands for autonomy and popular urban uprisings, three young people were shot dead by the CRS.
What action is the movement planning to take in the near future?
What seemed unthinkable until then, because of the anti-union stance, happened on 28 September, at a rally organized by the CDMT (Martinique Workers’ Democratic Federation) against the backdrop of a general strike called by the CGTM union at the Maison des syndicats: the ‘official’ meeting between the leaders of the RPPRAC and the activists and leaders of the two trade union federations, the activists of the UFM (Union des femmes de Martinique), the activists of the Respé list (Résistance ESPoir, Émancipation) during a meeting held in the same place in front of a hundred people. The structural high cost of living is aggravated by changes in the global inflationary context.
The meeting launched at the initiative of 3 unions (CGTM, CDMT and UNSA) on 4 October was a first attempt to initiate a collective and in-depth discussion on the relationship with the RPPRAC, but also and above all to think about the reconstruction of deteriorated relationships (at the top of the inter-union organization) and to prepare a popular mobilization, commensurate with the social and environmental stakes, with a guarantee of effectiveness.
Graphic: By TUBS – This vector image includes elements that have been taken or adapted from this file:, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=15882189
Femicide, the murder of women, take the lives of about 1,000 women each year. Most are murdered in their homes by their husbands or domestic partners. Many are young women coming and going from work. This year in several states and cities, the murdered women are being remembered and honored on the Day of the Dead (Nov. 1 and 2), a traditional day for families to visit cemeteries and speak with their deceased relatives. People construct ofrendas or altares where they place the favorite foods and memorabilia of the dead.- eds.
In order not to forget on the Mexican Day of the Dead, which is commemorated every November 1 and 2, feminist groups will honor the victims of femicide with marches, masses and offerings. It is about insisting, not forgetting, making visible the violence against women and keeping alive the memory of women whose lives have been cut short just because they are women.
They call it the Day of the Dead in Puebla and other cities in the country. Mexicans consider the placement of the offering to be of utmost importance, since it is believed that the souls of the deceased return from beyond to enjoy the dishes and flowers that they enjoyed in life. While for hundreds of Mexicans this day is remembered as love and joy for their loved ones who left this world to go to outer space, for the families of the victims of femicide it is a day to demand justice for the violent death of their daughters, mothers or sisters. For the writer and researcher of women’s culture who leads the collective “Yo soy” on the border of Ciudad Juárez and El Paso, Hilda Sotelo, it is time to recognize the active role of women in the fight for justice and memory using the Day of the Dead as a space to redefine death from a feminist perspective.
By integrating the names and stories of the victims of femicide into the altars, the ritual becomes an act of denunciation and resistance to gender violence. Text Automatically generated description In her opinion for La Verdad de Juarez.com, she points out that “the Day of the Dead has historically been a celebration imbued with patriarchal symbolism, but Kosmic Feminism allows us to redefine it to honor women and make their struggles visible,” she says.
Mass and offering in Mexico City for feminicides
On October 28, relatives of four victims of feminicide held a mass in a church in the Juan González Romero neighborhood in the Gustavo A. Madero municipality. Brenda Gabriel Olivera Sotelo, Rosalinda Viscarra T, Jazmín Arriaga Becerril and Yolotzin Guadalupe López Ayala were remembered by their relatives. Priest Evaristo prayed for justice for these crimes and asked them not to forget them, and regretted that they will end up in an investigation file. At the end of the mass, the memory of the victims was honored with a pre-Hispanic ritual and dances to the ancient gods. Mothers, sisters and relatives closed the street and placed photographs of their daughters in front of the altar and prayed for all the victims of femicide. Brenda Gabriel Olivera Sotelo, 22, was murdered on July 30, 2016 by her partner. In addition, three other women were killed in 2022 within months of each other. Map Automatically generated description The body of Rosalinda Viscarra Soto, 30, was found in Tecamác on July 8. Jazmín Arriaga Becerril, 33, was murdered on October 3, 2022, by her partner in front of her children, in the Laguna neighborhood of the municipality of Ecatepec. Yolotzin Guadalupe López Ayala, 30, was killed by her ex-partner on November 24, 2022.
Day of the Dead in Puebla, this year 47 women have been killed
In Puebla, which ranks 6th in feminicides in the country, more than 20 collectives are calling for a rally at 7 p.m. in the main square this Friday, November 1, as “a tribute to the comrades who were taken from us” with the title “Not One Less” in memory of the victims of femicide. Crosses will be placed and family members, collectives and civil society are invited to carry a white candle to light the way for victims of violence and wear a purple garment. “It is time to remember, honor and raise our voices, in a state marked by the gender alert, it is time to build community and demand justice.”
While the “March of the Whores” is scheduled for Sunday, November 3, in tribute to women murdered for “being whores, for being lesbians, for going out at night, for going out during the day, for being women, for being sex workers, for being trans”, which will be the 14th edition. “The women you murdered will not die” will be this year’s slogan, members of feminist collectives reported at a press conference. The march will have a route from the Gallito Clock located on Paseo Bravo to the Zócalo of the city of Puebla at least one kilometer away. The march is intended to commemorate and pay tribute to all the women who have been murdered, and they also recalled that so far in 2024 they have counted 47 feminicides that have been committed in the state of Puebla. At the end of the march, a monumental offering will be placed in memory of women who have been murdered.
Also to make visible the re-victimization of murdered women that authorities and comments from the population make for the simple fact of being workers, trans, bisexual, sex workers, for going out at night, among others.
In Morelos 352 embroidered portraits of victims of femicide in offering.
This year 100 women have been killed In Morelos the collective “We Exist because We Resist” that has documented more than 400 femicides since 2010, placed the offering for victims of femicide in the La Casona Spencer Museum in front of the Cathedral in Cuernavaca starting on October 30 with 352 portraits made by the members of “We Name Them by Bordando”. “There are no words to describe what we feel.
Today the project of embroidering silhouettes for the offering ends, the murdered companions were welcomed, we accompanied their families with love and respect. Once again today, her voice and her light will not go out. Thank you to the families for allowing us to fight alongside them, thank you to the embroiderers and artists for making this project yours, thank you, thank you” reads their Facebook page. Ruth Sandoval Ramírez of the organizing committee explained that this initiative also seeks to demand that the authorities do not forget the cases. “For the feminicide to materialize, silence, omission, opacity, negligence, impunity and collusion of the macho society and the authorities in charge of preventing, addressing, sanctioning and eradicating violence against women are criminally mixed,” she said.
For the third time, the collective will open this offering to the public until November 2 and everyone was invited to bring items such as marigold flowers, copal, confetti, food and more to complete the altar. They asked to bring a photo of their female relative who was a victim of feminicide, with the name, the date of the feminicide and the municipality. According to the groups, so far in 2024 they have registered 100 femicides in Morelos, while in the Executive Secretary of the National Public Security System, they only register 42 cases from January to September of this year.
Offering in the town of Miquixtli
The Independent Commission for Human Rights of Morelos on November 2 will pay tribute to all the women and girls who have been murdered in Morelos and will demand justice, and that all the measures established in the Declaration of Gender Violence Alert (AVG) in the entity be complied with. This celebration will be in the town of Miquixtli – where one of the most complete celebrations is held every year – for all women victims of sexist and misogynistic violence that destroys lives and deeply damages social relations.
Statement by the disappeared indigenous peoples of Chilapa, Guerrero
The Collective of Victims of Chilapa and Indigenous Peoples, accompanied by the Regional Center for the Defense of Human Rights “José Ma. Morelos y Pavón”, on this Day of the Dead call on the Mexican State so that the relatives of the disappeared are recognized as victims and that forced disappearance ceases to be a tool of control and dispossession, and so that there is not one more missing person, no more missing persons. At the state level, they call for the approval of the Law on the matter of forced disappearance of persons in the State of Guerrero and immediate regulation. That in the approval of the budget for 2025 they include a specific and sufficient item to comply with all the rights of the victims and their families who are also victims. At the national level, to create actions that make visible, as on this occasion that brings us together, the roots, trunks and branches of all the disappeared, of all the murdered in Mexico, so that all civil society knows that the forced disappearance of people continues to increase.
At the Ibero, an offering is made to victims of femicide “Altar of struggle and living memory” Students from the Iberoamericana University are dedicating the last days of October to remembering and dignifying the memory of those who died as victims of violence, and those who dedicated their lives to fighting oppression in all its forms with the altar ‘Voices of Rebellion: Altar of Struggle and Living Memory’.
Through this altar, the students who collaborate have decided to demand justice for women victims of femicide and other forms of gender violence; to demand clarification of cases of forced disappearance; to recognize the oppression against migrants and people who engage in sex work, and to highlight that this generates displacement and deadly conditions for their existence; as well as to honor those who, for defending the territory, have died, disappeared, or have faced persecution and lost their roots, relationships, traditions and daily life due to forced displacement.
The altar assembly includes 15 skulls, one meter high, made using cardboard; five Judas figures, two meters high, also made using cardboard; and three banners with a papel picado design, six meters high by one meter wide, hung on the esplanade, on which a video mapping made by students will be projected, with narratives and experiences alluding to the different struggles to which the offering refers. To prepare all these materials, the Coordination of Art and Culture, the Office of Community and Student Life, the Community of Representatives of Student Associations (CREA), and the Council of Representations and Societies of Students (CORSA), worked with specialists who for approximately five months taught the technique and collaborated in the creation and execution of the concept. The offering is part of a broad cultural festival of the Day of the Dead called Mictlanverso, with exhibitions, presentations by the artistic groups of the IBERO, a bazaar installed next to the offering, and a tasting of bread of the dead.
Offering to the Carrillo Gil family at the Museum of Art
The Ministry of Culture of the Government of Mexico and the National Institute of Fine Arts and Literature (INBAL) present a broad cultural program in the premises of the INBAL Museum Network, within the framework of the Night of Museums. At the Carrillo Gil Museum of Art, a Day of the Dead offering will be exhibited that will be dedicated to the family of Dr. Álvar Carrillo Gil, his wife Carmen Tejero and their son.
There will also be a tour of the exhibition “Atravesar el tiempo. Memorias y regalos” from the Carrillo Gil collection starting on Wednesday, October 30th at 7:00 p.m. The exhibition highlights the museum’s founding heritage and commemorates the 50th anniversary of the death of one of the most prominent collectors in our country, Dr. Álvar Carrillo Gil. The exhibition is made up of easel works by muralists José Clemente Orozco and David Alfaro Siqueiros, small-format paintings, drawings, engravings and some sketches for murals, as well as seven cubist works by Diego Rivera –very different from his mural work– and pieces by Wolfgang Paalen and Gunther Gerzso. At 6:00 p.m., the offering entitled La Catrina, from engraving to icon. Posada and Rivera will be presented at the Diego Rivera Mural Museum.
This event explores the importance and evolution of the Calavera Garbancera to give it a body and name it La Catrina –the name by which we know it today–, through the engravings of José Guadalupe Posada and the work of Diego Rivera. At the Ciudad Juárez Museum of Art, a dramatization of El luto eterna.
Historia del cuadro de la abuela en mournada (Eternal mourning. History of the painting of the mourning grandmother) will be held, about the donation of the painting La madre del artista (The artist’s mother), a work that has been part of the museum’s permanent collection since 1984. At the Museo Nacional de Arte, a guided tour XX en el XXI will be offered, which will allow visitors to tour the most representative works of the Munal’s modern Mexican art collection, under the guidance of Eduardo Ysita, from the Munal+Educa department, as well as a workshop entitled ¡Que viene los muertos… al Munal! (The Dead Are Coming… to Munal!), in which participants will be able to color the famous engraving La Calavera Garbancera, known as La Catrina, by María Loera.
At the Museo Nacional de San Carlos, visitors will be able to visit the MNSC Ofrenda and participate in a printmaking workshop, with a limited capacity of 100 people. Day of the Dead Exhibition in San Lázaro The Chamber of Deputies, through the San Lázaro Cultural Space directed by maestro Elías Robles Andrade, organized the Day of the Dead exhibition “Hanal Pixan” in the central courtyard of the Legislative Palace, alluding to an Uuchbenaj altar (old house), from the state of Campeche.
The Morena deputy Elda Esther del Carmen Castillo Quintana highlighted that there are 68 native peoples and among them is the Mayan, for which the Hanal Pixan is presented, whose tradition is ancestral, has been passed down from one generation to another and marks the time to prepare the altar where nothing should be missing to wait for them because they begin a journey, we remember their laughter, tears, hugs and so many moments that we spend in daily life and every year we wait for them with much love.
Calaveritas to 11 states of the country by Grupo Xcaret Grupo Xcaret commemorates the Day of the Dead, declared Intangible Cultural Heritage of Humanity by UNESCO, with a series of literary calaveritas in collaboration with the renowned writer Alejandra Flores. These calaveritas are dedicated to 11 states of the country that have been part of the different editions of the Festival of Traditions of Life and Death, an event that has established itself as a space to celebrate and preserve Mexican cultural traditions. The states that have been honored through these literary skulls have participated in previous editions of the Festival of Life and Death, sharing their roots and Day of the Dead traditions with Xcaret visitors: Chiapas (2010), Tabasco (2011), Campeche (2012 and 2013), Michoacán (2014), Puebla (2016), Yucatán (2009, 2015 and 2017), Zacatecas (2018), San Luis Potosí (2019), Tlaxcala (2022), Querétaro (2023) and Quintana Roo (2005, 2006, 2007, 2015, 2021 and 2024). Each literary skull can be downloaded on the Grupo Xcaret website.
In addition to being a symbol of friendship and gratitude, the skulls highlight the festival’s role in the dissemination and preservation of one of Mexico’s most important celebrations. The Festival of Life and Death Traditions, since its inception, has served as a space to preserve and disseminate the customs related to the Day of the Dead festivities, creating a bridge between generations and communities so that this tradition remains a fundamental part of Mexican identity.
One of the key decisions of the Sotsialnyi Rukh (Social Movement) conference, which took place in Kyiv on October 5-6, 2024, was the adoption of the resolution, “The path to victory and the tasks of the Ukrainian left”. Below is the text of the resolution:
1. An honest response to the challenges of war, not hypocritical politics
The uncertain prospects of Ukraine’s victory stem from the fact that the only reliable strategy to oppose the aggressor — mobilizing all available economic resources to support the frontline and critical infrastructure — contradicts the interests of the oligarchy. Due to the free market, Ukraine has a caricature of a war economy, and the concentration of luxury amid poverty becomes dangerously explosive. The unwillingness to nationalize production capacities, tax large businesses, and direct the budget towards rearmament makes it possible to prolong the war at the cost of significant human losses and constant mobilization.
We believe that the government should start a dialogue with the people about the achievable goals of the war, and most importantly, introduce a defensive economy or acknowledge the unpreparedness to fight for victory. We advocate for ending the uncertainty regarding the duration of military service, as it is a matter of elementary fairness. Gaining technological superiority combined with a careful approach to people is the path to victory.
Social Movement advocates for the development of the state sector of the economy, subordinated to the priorities of defense and full employment, and defends the rights of conscripts and servicemen to dignified treatment, demobilization after a defined term of service, and rehabilitation.
2. International solidarity as a way to overcome the crisis of the world order
The ongoing war in Ukraine is one of the signs of a crisis in the world order based on the neoliberal model. It is characterized by the exploitation of poor countries by the rich, inequality in access to fundamental goods, and the prosperity of financial elites at the cost of debt bondage for entire nations. All these features of the neoliberal system have undermined trust in international law and made global polarization inevitable.
To fight against Russian aggression and for a path to post-war reconstruction that benefits the working people, we need support from the global community, including humanitarian and military assistance. European integration should not serve as a justification for antisocial reforms but should take place on fair grounds, accompanied by improving the welfare of the Ukrainian people and strengthening democracy. We are confident that our ties with leftist movements across Europe will help Ukraine better defend itself. At the same time, we stand in solidarity with progressive movements in Asia, Africa, and Latin America in their struggle against imperialism. We condemn the aggressive and occupation policies of other states — be it the oppression of Palestinians by Israel, Kurds by Turkey, or Yemenis by Saudi Arabia. A new architecture of international relations is needed, where there are no privileges for “great powers,” G7, or permanent members of the UN Security Council, and the voices of the peripheral peoples are heard.
Social Movement advocates for nuclear disarmament, interaction with left-wing forces that recognize Ukraine’s right to self-defense, and supports the struggle of other nations for liberation.
3. Building a “Ukraine for All” as a space for solidarity and security
Although the war against an external enemy was supposed to unite the people of Ukraine, in reality, shameful attempts are being made to divide Ukrainians into “right” and “wrong.” Instead of uniting as many people as possible around ideas of justice, freedom, and solidarity, conflicts within society are being provoked. There are manifestations of linguistic chauvinism, justification of hostility towards national minorities, the queer community, and fostering ideological uniformity. This will not allow the global fight against Russian imperialism to gain traction and will complicate the reintegration of occupied territories.
Establishing equality is impossible without overcoming social vulnerability. Conversely, the state’s reduction of social spending and irresponsible deregulation are already affecting the resilience of society. It is time to end the promotion of policies that exacerbate inequality. Demands for women’s emancipation, inclusive spaces for people with disabilities, and support for victims of far-right violence can strengthen Ukraine’s ability to resist tyranny both externally and internally. Proving our humanity = gaining an advantage over the aggressor.
Social Movement will oppose policies that divide society and will protect social rights as a prerequisite for affirming human dignity. We will demand full state control over the protection of lives and the well-being of workers, who are at greater risk than ever.
4. Ecosocialist transformation — The key to survival
Russia’s eco-terrorism, combined with years of large-scale, predatory exploitation of natural resources by domestic oligarchs and the authorities’ neglect of environmental protection, poses a threat to Ukraine’s ecosystems, including its biodiversity, clean water resources, soil fertility, and the health and lives of the population. The war and the anti-environmental policy of capital negatively affect poor and discriminated groups, increasing their vulnerability.
We emphasize the need to harmonize social production and ecological reproduction based on the principles of ecosocialism. The green transition, first and foremost, should be fair, taking into account the interests of the workforce by creating new jobs, retraining workers, and ensuring social guarantees and compensation for those who may lose their jobs due to the closure of enterprises. Efficient use of energy resources requires a reduction in working hours, and the nationalization of energy companies will allow rational management of capacities without the influence of commercial interests. We support small, family farmers for food security and agricultural greening, the idea of deprivatizing common resources, and firmly oppose monopolistic agroholdings that destroy the ecosystem.
Social Movement will work together with trade unions and other progressive public organizations to develop a program of transformations that meet the long-term interests of workers, farmers, and other vulnerable segments of the Ukrainian population in the context of production, ecology, and energy.
5. Workers bore the burden of the war, therefore they deserve a voice
Since the beginning of the full-scale invasion, the core of resistance to aggression — both at the front and in the rear — has been the working class. Unfortunately, in conditions where the main burden of the war has been shifted to the working class, there is no left-wing political force in Ukraine that would voice the issues inherent to working people and act on the principles of inclusive democracy. Under the realities of oligarchic capitalism, restrictions on freedoms often serve the interests of the elites.
To build an ecosocial, independent Ukraine of equal rights and opportunities, there is a need for a political democratic platform that will unite workers and other oppressed groups, representing their interests in politics, including participation in elections. We are open to interaction with political parties that share our vision. The sooner a competitive political process is restored, the sooner trust in the state will be regained. Corruption, censorship, and other abuses by officials harm the defense efforts. The best remedy against this is the democratic renewal of power. Freedom is the foundation of security for all citizens.
Social Movement advocates for the restoration of electoral rights, the right to peaceful assembly and workers’ strikes, and the abolition of all restrictions on labor and social rights.
This article was written before the recent power failure and black-out and the accompanying protests in Cuba.
Many Cuban economists who argue for a bigger role for the market in the island, insist that they are not advocates for capitalism because according to them markets are not equivalent to capitalism given that they preceded it for many centuries. Although this is true, these economists do not mention that with the establishment and consolidation of capitalism markets not only became the economically dominant force in many societies, where they had never been so before, but that they also structured the economic life as well as the social, political and cultural relations of those societies.
These changes were brilliantly analyzed by the economic historian Karl Polanyi in his book The Great Transformation, which became a classic after its publication in 1944. Besides describing in detail how the precapitalist markets functioned, Polanyi develop a conceptual framework that distinguished the societies that had markets but were not capitalist, from those that had typically capitalist markets that he called “market societies”. For Polanyi, as Marxist scholar Ellen Meiksins Wood underlined in her book The Origin of Capitalism, in precapitalist societies economic practices and relations were embedded or submerged in non-economic relations based on kinship, communal, political and religious institutions. Material gain was not an important motivation; what people sought was to obtain status and prestige and to maintain and reinforce communal solidarity. Trading, whether in local or long-distance markets, was not guided by competition. Commercial activity in local trade was strictly regulated; in long-distance trade the role of the trader was to move merchandise from one market to another to take advantage of unequal exchange rates.
None of the above-mentioned distinctions imply in any way a proposal to adopt Polanyi’s precapitalist model for any contemporary economy or society including Cuba. They are mentioned to point out that the notion of capitalism as being as old as history itself might be “common sense” but is not “good sense” and is simply false. It is a fallacy that has had an echo among many people in Cuba due to exhaustion, disillusion, and the generalized scarcity being confronted every day in the island, reinforced by the sophistries propagated by some educated defenders and ideologues of the international economic status quo.
The Progressive Political Opposition and the Market
The progressive political opposition in Cuba has justifiably criticized the ruling regime in the political field for its antidemocratic authoritarianism that does not recognize the individual and collective rights of the Cuban people and has no qualms in repressing the resistance to its abuses with the arbitrary imprisonment of many hundreds of compatriots. Based on these criticisms, this progressive opposition has outlined many of the important features of the new democratic order to which it aspires. However, that is not the case in the economic field, where even though the critique of this opposition to the disaster of the bureaucratic order that prevails in the economy has been indispensable, it has written and said very little in respect to its general vision of the type of economy that it favors for the island.
Thus, whereas the right-wing opposition in Cuba has clearly come out in favor of a capitalist system for the island, the progressive opposition has not gone much beyond registering its support for very specific reforms and limited changes in the economic order. It is time, however, that the most progressive sectors of the opposition to the authoritarian regime begin to develop a general vision for the future of the island, beginning with asking themselves whether a democratic Cuba should include a dominant or complementary role to the market. The option for a market that plays simply a complementary role in the economy requires, as a minimum, the public control of the commanding heights of the economy, which to be democratic require the creation of a system of democratic planning to make crucial decisions for the economy such as how many resources should be allocated to consumption, in contrast to the quantity and quality of resources assigned to the savings and accumulation necessary for economic progress, especially in countries that like Cuba confront an unfavorable situation in the context of the enormous reconstruction needed for its economic recovery.
Democratic planning should not be primarily approached simply from a technocratic point of view, but from a perspective of political self-education through a national debate, especially among workers in the offices as well as in the workshops and factories that constitute the indispensable columns of today’s economy. Obviously, any planning at the national level must consider the possible conflict among various goals and priorities, the existing resources in the country, and the possibility of imports. But the inevitable conflicts regarding planning priorities make necessary a negotiating process among these differences in an open, public and democratic manner, especially among the most affected sectors.
A system like this can only function in the context of complete freedom of information and its widespread distribution, where the political and economic flaws, errors and the crimes of functionaries and institutions are openly expressed and denounced. Ample and free publicity is the best remedy for arbitrariness, abuse of power, inefficiency, poorly designed and produced consumer goods, and economic and administrative corruption. It is to be expected that the Cuban people justifiably associate any notion of economic planning with the so-called planning of the present regime, characterized by shortages of consumer goods and the poor state of public utilities, transportation, and housing, among other serious economic problems. These failures, however, are not surprising: while the U.S. economic blockade has obviously had a negative impact, this has been of relatively less importance compared with the disastrous consequences of an economic planning formulated and implemented by the government since the beginning, devoid of truthful and trustworthy information about the economy without the free and open discussion and debate of those plans at every level of Cuban society. This kind of bureaucratically centralized planning has always lacked transparency and has never been opened to any kind of free debate without the manipulation of the Cuban Communist Party. Information about the economy has not only been systematically distorted, but has been hidden and secret, as has occurred, to give an example, with data pertaining to poverty and inequality in the country, which has been suppressed for well over twenty years. This antidemocratic control, manipulated from above, blocked the transmission of the indispensable clear signals (as, for example, the real production of inputs needed by other enterprises) for the adequate functioning of an economic system. Neither the supposed “free” market nor democratic and rational planning can properly function in an environment where lies and bureaucratic falsehoods prevail.
This antidemocratic and bureaucratic control has also prevented, created obstacles and discouraged the solution of problems on the spot, because of the prevailing work culture of evading and passing on the responsibilities to others. The absolute lack of power that workers must have to make decisions at the local level, together with the absence of meaningful economic or political incentives – like for example, worker self-management, – has generated indifference, apathy, carelessness and lack of coordination of tasks especially at the local level.
That explains why, as the Cuban economist Carmelo Mesa-Lago reported about the Cuban economy in the 1970s, imported equipment was left to rot outdoors: the necessary structures to store them had not been prepared beforehand. Apparently, nobody dared to call attention to this “detail” and to criticize the administrators for such a serious lack of responsibility. In addition to the above considerations, is the irresponsibility and many instances of economic arbitrariness as in the case of Fidel Castro’s damaging interventions in the economy like the disaster of the ten-million-ton sugar crop in 1970, the failure of the F-1 cows, or of the Havana [agricultural] Belt, among other instances of economic capriciousness.
None of this is to suggest that democratic economic planning may not have its own problems, However, it is presented here as a reasonable alternative to, on one hand, the disaster of the bureaucratic planning of the regime, and on the other hand, to the great distortions, injustices, and dislocations of the capitalist “free” market. The notion of democratic economic planning expressed here is, in the last instance, an attempt to apply democracy to the economic world.
It is presented as an alternative to the prerevolutionary past where the mechanisms of the capitalist market inevitably led to economic and social inequality, as well as to the bureaucratic and economically disastrous regime of official Communism. With respect to the past, it was that type of capitalist market that determined that 60 percent of medical doctors and 62 percent of dentists were concentrated in Havana, where only 21 percent of the Cuban population resided. This signified the shameful abandonment of most of the population. Similarly, that same capitalist market determined that the boom in the construction of private houses and apartment buildings in the postwar period benefited the middle and upper classes, leaving other Cubans, especially Black Cubans, confined to the numerous deteriorated rooming houses and tenements buildings, and in the most extreme cases to the very marginal Havana neighborhoods such as Las Yaguas and Llega y Pon. That such phenomena have reappeared on the island does not deny in any way that it was the product of the “free” capitalist market before 1959.
This does not mean that planning by itself may be sufficient to remedy great social injustices, especially racism, unless there is the political will and democratic control throughout Cuban society to confront them and make the necessary changes. Currently, the poorest parts of the country, like the southeast part of the island, are inhabited by a clear majority of Black people, who continue to disproportionately suffer material scarcity and poverty. Social inequality is also visible inside the Havana metropolitan region, with the relatively better of neighborhoods, near the Gulf of Mexico shore on one hand, and, on the other hand, the poorer Cubans living in the quickly deteriorating area of “interior Havana”, farther from the sea, who live in neighborhoods that are becoming deteriorated at a much more rapid pace. It is very doubtful that such structural problems and inequalities could be eliminated by the capitalist system, even in its more moderate version of the ill named “welfare state.”
An essential element of a democratically planned economy is the workers’ control of their workplaces. Control over how things are produced and how to rationally use the available resources is a powerful political incentive for the worker to pay attention and get more involved in deciding how to carry out their jobs, which would generate a sense of self-fulfillment and responsibility for a job well done. In addition, workers control would facilitate the introduction of new and better ways of conducting the work process in the workplace since workers tend to be more familiar than management especially about the details of what happens and how things really function in the offices, workshops and factories.
So far, however, there have been no significant indications that Cuban workers are interested in such a perspective, perhaps because they see emigration and, to a lesser degree, self-employment as more reachable goals. Moreover, there is no doubt that under present circumstances, the poor state and often the de facto bankruptcy of state enterprises constitute a disincentive for workers’ self-management. The bureaucratic and antidemocratic government control of the unions, as well as the very legitimate fear of reprisals by the authorities, constitute a major obstacle for the free discussions that could stimulate a potential interest in workers to control their workplaces. Unfortunately, the Cuban opposition has been preoccupied with the expansion of private work and remained mostly silent regarding the problems faced by workers in the island’s state enterprises.
Cuba’s Urgent Situation
Cuba is going through a profound economic and demographic crisis, comparable and perhaps even worse than the crisis of the nineties after the collapse of the Soviet bloc. Crises, however, may have positive consequences; as the great scientist Albert Einstein is alleged to have said “in the midst of every crisis, lies great opportunity.” Yet, it is the social sectors in Cuba which are not interested in the future of democracy or in social equality and prosperity for all, that are the ones taking advantage of the opportunities offered by the present crisis. Thus, for example, it appears that the principal effect of the newly created PYMES (small and medium size private enterprises) has not been the very necessary increase in the country’s economic production and productivity, but the importation of consumer goods from abroad – including even automobiles – mainly intended for the owners of the new businesses and for people who have the possibility of obtaining dollars and euros, generally from family members living abroad. It is due to this kind of economic change that social and economic inequality is increasing without any growth in the productive apparatus of the country.
In turn, the government has reacted with the sterile and bureaucratic policy of harassing the very PYMES that they themselves authorized, instead of concentrating their efforts in increasing state production to effectively compete with those private enterprises. Meanwhile, GAESA (the business wing of the Cuban Armed forces that has long dominated the Cuban economy) has been squandering the country’s scarce resources to build more and more hotels without the tourists to fill them, while at the same time laying the basis and ensuring its dominant economic position in Cuba’s likely state capitalist future.
The Costs of a new capitalist market in Cuba
It is very important to begin to speak in very concrete terms about the impact of a new capitalism likely to be introduced by the high-ranking members of the regime, like the military officers that control GAESA, especially after the historic leaders of the revolution (already in their nineties) pass from the political scene. The introduction of that new capitalism will threaten many rights and social conquests which will need to be defended, included those that preceded the successful revolution of 1959, such as the defense of the strict separation of the state and religion, and the right to abortion, which in spite of having been illegal in that period, was widely practiced, although frequently under conditions that were far from suitable.
Medical services as well as public education are experiencing a very serious crisis too. But if a political change favoring privatization, which goes hand in hand with the capitalist market were to take place, these institutions would become a favorite target for a policy of an out-of-control privatization. Unsatisfied as all Cubans are with the terrible state of these public services, it would be the emerging social classes in the island such as the new bourgeoisie and middle class, that would mobilize to demand not an improvement of these services for everybody, but their privatization for their own advantage.
Inevitably, the new situation would lead to the creation of a Medicaid type service in the style of the United States – a public service that a lot of U.S. doctors don’t even offer because of the inadequate compensation they receive from the government to treat the poorest patients – to attend to poor Cubans. As in the United States, this division of medical care between the poor and the upper and middle classes would considerably weaken any political support to build and maintain a medical service that would serve in a competent and respectful manner not only the rich and the middle classes, but all Cubans.
The pressure to allow private education is likely to increase too. And as privatization starts it, it will rapidly increase, be it lay or religious. These new institutions will be able to recruit the best teachers and get the best facilities to educate the sons and daughters of the successful private proprietors, specialists, technicians and functionaries. It is important to clarify that the universality of obligatory public education does not need to interfere with religious freedom, since all creeds and religions should have the freedom to offer religious instruction provided this take place on their own premises during the free time of those public-school students that are interested in receiving it. After all, a public school system well financed by the nations’ public budget with a curriculum democratically controlled, not by the state but by teachers, the education faculties of Cuban universities and the student body would perhaps become the most important institution promoting the democratization, equity and the social, racial and gender integration of Cuban society.
The relevance of my political experience
Facing the present situation, I speak with the benefit of the experience of having lived in Cuba for four months in the summer of 1959, shortly after the revolutionary victory. This was an experience that profoundly radicalized me and in fact changed the course of my life. But, at the same time, having developed by then a certain amount of knowledge of the history of the USSR and of the countries it had conquered after World War II, I became concerned that young people like myself, who had no Communist past, were increasingly following uncritically the political direction, not as much of the PSP (Partido Socialista Popular, the old pro-Moscow Communist Party), but of the so-called “water melons” (green on the outside, but red in the inside), namely leaders such as Raúl Castro and especially Ernesto “Che” Guevara. These leaders were calling for authoritarian measures such as a “unity” of the Cuban people that stifled dissenting revolutionary voices and imposed silence regarding any mention of the growing antidemocratic decisions being taken by the revolutionary leadership. They argued that the only and real enemy was U.S. imperialism and that any critical stance regarding the regime also served the political interests of the Cuban bourgeoisie and landlords. This became unfortunately a widely shared attitude that facilitated the introduction by the leadership of the one-party state’s “tropical Stalinism.”
The exclusive concentration on the enemies of the present situation left the Cuban people politically unprepared to deal with the potential enemies to be confronted in the upcoming future. This is like the current position of many Cubans who, based on the old stage theory, argue for exclusively focusing on getting rid of the Castroite dictatorship and “them we will see,” avoiding any consideration of what comes next. It is a vision that ignores the fact that the political strength and influence that might be developed today can play an important role in fashioning the future that all of us would like to see as democratic upholders of social and economic democracy and equality.
This is the English language version of an article that appeared under the same title in the Cuban critical journal CubaXCuba on October 16, 2024.
Some people on the left make the following argument: we need to vote for a third party in this election, even or especially in swing states, as a way to punish the Democrats for their support for the genocide in Gaza. Only if the Democrats lose the election because of Arab-Muslim-leftist votes will they come to take seriously the concerns of the pro-Palestine movement.
There are, I think, five problems with this argument.
First, one should note the rather inconsistent left support for this argument among Stein voters. Some Stein voters, including Stein herself, go to great pains to argue that the Greens didn’t cost Gore the election in 2000 or Clinton the election in 2016, and that a vote for the Greens will not lead to Trump’s victory in 2024. For example, Howie Hawkins, who was the Green candidate for president in 2020, wrote the following in endorsing Stein this time around: “The risk that Stein votes will ‘spoil’ the election for Biden and elect Trump exists, but is very low.” But other Stein supporters, such as Kshama Sawant, celebrate the fact that we “have a real opportunity to win something historic. We could deny Kamala Harris the state of Michigan.” It will be interesting if Stein garners more votes than Trump’s margin in Michigan to watch Sawant cheering and Hawkins insisting her campaign didn’t have an effect.
Second, if one takes the “punish the Democrats” argument to its logical conclusion, then one should not only refrain from voting for Harris, but one should actually vote for Trump. After all, each vote for Trump would be twice as effective as a vote for Stein in achieving the goal of causing the Democrats to lose the White House. Now among some Arab Americans and a smaller number of Muslim Americans there is indeed support for voting for Trump, but many of these folks are not progressives. For example, the Muslim mayor of Hamtramck, Michigan, a city with an entirely Muslim city council, endorsed Trump, but he and the city council also supported an ordinance banning the flying of an LGBTQ+ flag on city property. But why do progressives balk at voting for Trump, given the logic of their argument?
Is it because they find it morally unacceptable to cast a vote for someone who is more supportive of Israel’s genocide than Harris? (Recall that Trump condemned the Biden administration for its microscopically positive suspension of a U.S. arms shipment to Israel, denounced Harris’s comments to Netanyahu expressing concern for Gaza civilians as “disrespectful,” charged that “Harris has worked to tie Israel’s hand behind its back, demanding an immediate ceasefire, always demanding ceasefire,” accused Biden of “trying to hold [Netanyahu] back” when “he probably should be doing the opposite actually,” and, when Biden discouraged Israeli attacks on Iran’s nuclear sites and oil facilities, urged Israel to “hit the nuclear first.”) But morality is not a matter of insisting on personal cleanliness. If it is morally wrong to vote for the greater genocidalist, how can it be right to enable the election of the greater genocidalist?
Is the reason to vote for Stein rather than Trump because a large Stein vote will quantify the protest vote? But if driving up the Green party total is the key, then Stein would have been well advised to spend her time campaigning in safe states where there is no spoiler issue.
A third problem with the punish the Democrats argument is that if the Democrats did feel chastened after losing the 2024 election, what would this mean for Palestine? What would be left of Palestine after four years of Trump’s presidency? What restraints would he impose on Israel? In his last term in office, Trump declared the Israeli settlements to be legal (reversing longstanding US policy, and reversed again by Biden in February 2024), moved the U.S. embassy to Jerusalem, and recognized the Israeli annexation of the Golan Heights. Now, Itamar Ben Gvir – Israel’s literally fascist minister of national security, who has publicly endorsed Trump – wants to extend the Nakba to Gaza and the West Bank, annexing much of what remains. Trump, like Israel’s leaders, rejects the notion of two states. So, if there are elections in 2028 and if the Democrats are able to win after all the voter suppression that Trump’s even more supine Supreme Court allows, would the victorious Democrats who now wanted to take seriously the views of Arab and Muslim voters find any Palestinians left to save?
The fourth problem with the punish the Democrats argument is that it assumes that the lesson of Harris’s loss will be self-evident. For example, Peter Daou, sometime campaign manager for Marianne Williamson and Cornel West, declared on social media: “If Kamala Harris loses, I will celebrate. I will celebrate a moment for justice for her Palestinian and Lebanese victims. I will celebrate the humiliating defeat of a genocider and the message it sends the world. Then I’ll oppose Trump as vigorously as I did in his first term.”
But why is Daou so sure that the message that the world will take from Trump’s victory won’t be that a genocider was beaten by a bigger genocider? That someone who ineffectually called for a ceasefire was beaten by someone who opposed calls for a ceasefire? (One also wonders at Daou’s confidence that he will be able to oppose Trump as vigorously as he did in his first term in the face of government repression with far fewer guardrails.)
The fifth problem is that there is no guarantee that a Trump victory will propel the Democrats to take the Arab-Muslim vote seriously. If a few percent of lost votes on their left causes the Democrats to lose the election, they have two options: they could move left to try to pick up additional votes, but at the risk of losing more votes in the center, or they could move even further to the center hoping there are more votes there than on the left. The left is a marginal force in American politics – big enough to affect the result in an evenly divided electorate, but not nearly big enough to compete head on with centrist forces. As long as this is the case, a strategy of torpedoing the Democrats is likely to make the left more irrelevant rather than less so. And if Trump wins, and decides to go forward with his pledge to expand the Muslim ban and bar Gaza refugees, will the Democrats come rushing to the aid of those who they believe cost them the White House?
The historical record lends little support to the claim that when Democrats’ campaigns are sunk by a small leftwing party, the party moves left. On the contrary, the left is vilified, assigning it exclusive blame for the loss that was much more a consequence of Democratic failings. After the narrow 2000 Gore defeat, the Democrats chose a 2004 nominee who had supported the Iraq war (John Kerry). And following the 2016 debacle, the Democrats didn’t turn to Sanders, but to Biden.
Biden administration policies on Gaza are vile. Given the level of U.S. support for Israel’s crimes, top officials in the administration are complicit in war crimes, and thus war criminals themselves. But it is not the left’s task to carry out retribution. Our goal has to be to try to accomplish the realistic outcome that will minimize human suffering and maximize the chances of future progress. In 2024 that means casting a vote for Harris in swing states to keep out a candidate who is and will be an even greater war criminal.
[This article represents the personal opinion of the author. New Politics, as a 501(c)3 organization, endorses no candidates.]
Every day we receive new confirmation that the two-party political regime of US imperialism is crumbling. Donald Trump, his minions, their Project 2025 and their Supreme Court herald the end of times.
Yet, many have hope that there is a savior for the wonderful two-party system: Kamala Harris. She has done what Biden and Bernie Sanders could not do: rallied the Democrats and raised the nearly dead party from the grave it was marching into. Harris is going to win the popular vote, and may even lead the Democrats to taking control of both houses of congress.
Nevertheless, Harris cannot heal the ruptured political system. It is on its last legs and will be replaced. The MAGA GOP sees an authoritarian one-party GOP system as its only way out of its long-term crisis while the Democrats may end up imposing its own one-party system when it fails to save the dead bipartisan system. Another possibility also exists: a crisis ridden multiparty system like the one that Colombia now has after it ditched its two-party system.
What happens will determine the future. So far, most of the left in the United States is acting out of fear rather than recognizing the historic opportunity presented in this crisis.
Why not dump lesser-evilism?
In moral terms, lesser-evilism means supporting evil. To get around this uncomfortable truth, DSA and other leftists who support the Democratic Party talk about the catastrophic consequences of a Trump presidency, just as their grandparents talked about the catastrophic consequences of a Goldwater or Nixon victory.
In 1964, the Students for a Democratic Society supported Lyndon Baines Johnson for President. Johnson’s slogan was “All of the way with LBJ”. The SDS came up with “Half of the way with LBJ.” They meant they supported Johnson’s domestic agenda and opposed his immoral, barbaric, colonial war against Vietnam. Following LBJ’s election, the antiwar movement became massive, the ghetto rebellions exploded, SDS splintered, and a leftist third party movement grew.
“Half of the way with LBJ” was morally bankrupt. Today, support for Kamala Harris is just as morally bankrupt.
Just as the left should have been 100% against LBJ and his criminal war in Vietnam, today, we must be unequivocally on the side of Ukraine, and unequivocally on the side of Palestine. These are the Vietnam Wars of our time.
Practically speaking, support for the Democrats demobilizes mass struggles. In contrast, a working-class party independent of the Democrats could use election campaigns to boost the struggle in the streets rather than demobilize it.
The Political Regime of the United States
The USA’s political regime was the result of four great events in human history: the Glorious Revolution of England in 1688, the American Revolution in 1776, and the American Civil War in the 1860’s, and the USA’s permanent genocidal war against Native America.
Even today, when the armies have drones that use AI, this bourgeois political regime exists to mobilize the common citizenry for warfare based on masses of rifle bearing foot soldiers.
With malice aforethought, the “Founding Fathers” excluded five groups from democratic full rights and participation in the state: indigenous people, enslaved people, all women, all children, and white men without property. These exclusions, essential to the new state, were “natural” to the founding fathers whose power was based on the principle of divide and rule.
The famous Constitutional “balance of powers” was predicated on divide and conquer, political exclusions, and the peculiar social regime of Great Britain’s North American colonies.
Their corollary was the unwritten 17th century social contract that promised “free” white men a share of the land expropriated from Native Americans in return for service in the colonial militias fighting the permanent offensive against Native America.
The original Jacksonian system that collapsed in the US Civil War was restored as today’s two-party system in the compromise of 1877. It ended reconstruction, instituted the rule of Jim Crow, and put Rutherford B. Hayes, the Republican’s candidate in the White House. Southern white vigilantes had used widespread terror to suppress the votes of black freedmen, drive black Republicans out of local government offices and Congress, and tilt the 1876 presidential elections towards the Democratic Party candidate. With the Electoral College unable to come a decision, the election was thrown into the House of Representatives.
This later became the model for Trump’s attempted coup in 2020, a model that is likely to be used again this year.
The compromise of 1877 restored the system of apartheid minus legal chattel slavery, and put Hayes in the White House where he predictably and reliably, called out the army to break the Great Railroad strike of 1877.
In other words, the current two-party system was established through Jim Crow in the South and the suppression of unions in the north and the West. It precluded the very notion of any sort of mass working-class party.
The struggle for the right to vote
Nevertheless, the exclusionary bases of the political regime have been steadily undermined by struggles for democratic and social rights.
Women finally gained the right to vote nationwide after the First World War. Black voting rights, guaranteed in word by Reconstruction era Amendments to the Constitution, were finally realized by the civil rights struggles and ghetto rebellions of the 1960’s.
Still, around 45 million people are excluded partially or completely from voting in the United States: 6 million Americans with felony and misdemeanor convictions; 3.5 million US citizens in the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico and other US colonies, 23 million documented and undocumented immigrants, and all politically active people under the age of 18 years.
Hard won voting rights gains have deep social consequences: they contribute to the breakdown of racial and gender barriers within the working class and undermine divide and rule, and political exclusion of the oppressed.
The extra-constitutional edifice
The two-party system functions through state and federal law, the rules of the two parties themselves, and de facto agreements within the ruling class to deny real ballot access to any other political party. Five basic mechanisms prevent the rise of third parties: an expensive and Byzantine bureaucracy that would-be parties must successfully thread to gain and maintain ballot status; a winner take all system of geographic districts and states; a mass media monopoly by the bourgeoisie; simple repression; and cooptation.
Both parties are cross-class alliances. Sectors of the working class and petty bourgeoisie, the masses of voters, are tied to coalitions of fractions of the bourgeoisie. The bourgeois coalitions set the policies and the rules of the game, and the working class and petty bourgeois voters are then allowed a choice of poisons.
The capitalist coalitions at the top provide the lion’s share of the money that pays the salaries of the parties’ professional cadre, choose the candidates, and have an outsized voice on platform and policy. Connecting those coalitions to their mass voter bases are thousands of party cadre including elected office holders, paid party officials, and the personnel of various think tanks and PACs.
From the earliest days, the heart of the Democratic Party has been merchants and bankers. They were the link for Southern slave agricultural exports to Europe and continued to be the link between the United States and Europe after the US Civil War temporarily disrupted that relation.
The Democrat’s added two mass voter bases: racist white southern small landowners and mostly Catholic Irish immigrants in New York and other antebellum cities. Their northern mass voter base later expanded to include most other Catholic immigrants and most Jewish and Eastern Orthodox immigrants.
As the USA grew through warfare and conquest, a new capitalist coalition became the heart of the new Republican Party: construction and operation of railroads in the newly conquered west, the new steel industry, and the part of finance capital based on western land speculation. Its mass voter base consisted of land hungry small settler farmers who wanted to expand into the great plains west of the Mississippi River and on to the Pacific. The great majority were Protestants immigrants or descendants of Protestant immigrants from Northern Europe.
The Republican Party, correctly so, called itself the party of business.
In 1860, the election of Abraham Lincoln on a platform of outlawing slavery in any new states admitted to the union blew the system up. The two-party system failed, and the Civil War began.
Since restoration in 1877, the two cross-class coalitions survived remarkably well.
One major change set the system onto the path towards the crisis it is now in. In the 1960s, the Democratic Party under John Kennedy and Lyndon Johnson betrayed southern white racists by making an alliance with the Civil Rights movement. By 1972, the almost the entirety of the Southern Democratic Party machine had moved into the GOP.
Die-hard white racist Democrats suddenly became the most vociferous Republican voters.
The Great Switch meant that the Republicans alone had both mass bases of reaction, and that the Democrats had almost the whole of the working-class voter base: black, white, Asian, and Latino.
The Gender Gap, Farmers, and Science
Both coalitions have also undergone major cumulative impacts that contribute to the political regime’s current crisis.
In 1920, the first presidential election in which women could vote, most women voted Republican. From 1932 to 1992, women slowly moved into the Democratic Party. Since that year, more women have voted for the Democratic candidate than the Republican candidate in every election. From 1980 to 2020, the majority of male voters have voted for the Republican candidate in every election except for two: those in 1992 and 2008.
As of this writing, Harris has a 21% advantage over Trump among likely women voters in the latest poll, while Trump has a 12-point advantage over Harris among likely male voters.
This change mirrors the decline of the patriarchal family system: more and more women work outside of the family household, more and more women exercise their right to divorce, and – with safe birth control and the right to choose an abortion – women gained control over their own bodies that had never before been experienced.
It also reflects a change in Republican political strategy. The extreme right wing of the Republican Party’s successful mobilization against the Equal Rights Amendment led to the 1979 foundation of the “Moral Majority” against women’s rights. Its appeal to Christian fundamentalism mobilized rightwing Protestant votes while splitting the Democrat’s Catholic voting block.
Its success put Ronald Reagan into the White House.
Currently, the gender gap is wider than at any time in recent history: 48% of women voters intend to vote for Harris while only 35% intend to vote for Trump, but 47% of male voters intend to vote for Trump while only 39% intend to vote for Harris.
Republican decline is also due to a decrease in the number of small farms to less than two million, and to the drift of the technical, professional, and scientific sectors of the working class and petty away from the Republicans, a result of the GOP’s turn to Christian fundamentalism and against science
The post WWII offensive against unions and the consequent decline of the post-WWII labor aristocracy undermined the Democrat’s mass voter base. It was intertwined with the movement of industrial capital out of heavily unionized US regions which, together with the container revolution and the computer revolution, has lately been dubbed globalization.
The results include a decline in unions’ bargaining power and union membership, and a decline in the standards of living of many sectors of the working class, especially the mostly white and male labor aristocracy.
Disaffection in the Democratic Party’s mass voter base led to the failed U.S. Labor Party project in the 1990s and then to Donald Trump’s experiment to mobilize these voters behind the GOP, a project that has had small but significant success.
Social Classes in the United States
If we define social class by relationships to social production and reproduction, it is evident that there are three main classes in the United States: the working class, the petty bourgeoisie, and the big bourgeoisie. Each is divided into various fractions and strata.
The big bourgeoisie consists of about four million households (owners of the top 10% of small businesses plus owners of the 20,000 largest businesses plus a factor for wealth). The main part of the petty bourgeoisie consists of the 29,500,000 small businesses owners and their families.
The heart of the working class is the 78.7 million workers who are paid hourly wages. The 70,274,000 people classified as professionals occupy the gray zone where the working class overlaps with the petty bourgeoisie. They include many union members in education and healthcare but also managers, business owners, and lawyers.
Another intermediate layer consists of workers who are homeowners, landlords, and/or small business owners.
Today, at the end of 2024, the working class of the United States appears to have almost no class consciousness. Our class identifies struggles as women’s struggles, immigrant struggles, black struggles, trade union struggles, student struggles, solidarity struggles, but it is not conscious of itself as one social class fighting on all of these fronts. Therefore, it sees no reason to form a socialist or working-class party.
Nevertheless, appearances can be deceiving. Slowly, the struggles of black people, women, immigrants, and LGBTQ+ people for equal rights have changed the whole working class. Today a black man, a white woman, and their child can go shopping without fear in Arlington, Texas. Today, two men can walk down the street holding hands without fear in many, but not all, parts of the United States.
The new working class of the United States is young, multiracial, multicultural and includes almost equal numbers of men and women. Today, unions reflect this, and new struggles to organize the unorganized reflect this even more.
The deeper problems of capitalist society
During the 20th century, capitalism produced two World Wars, a plethora of smaller but very deadly wars, one Great Depression and many social revolutions, the two most noteworthy of which occurred in the Russian Empire and China. Today, the very idea of independent “national” economies has become surreal, and arguments about “socialism in one country” have faded into the past: not only is socialism impossible in one country, capitalism has become impossible in one country.
Globalization has turned everything upside down everywhere, but on top of those changes,
capitalism has created an even greater threat to human society: global warming. Not surprisingly, the capitalist classes of the world have failed to seriously address our planet’s life-threatening condition.
Today’s two-party system
The Democratic Party has been loath to actively work for any kinds of serious reforms in the system that would alter capitalist relations of production and social reproduction to the benefit of its working class voter base. They have been able to maintain their appearance as the lesser evil mostly by appearing to defend the status quo of reforms won by the mass movements of the 1930’s to the 1970’s.
On the other hand, the Republican Party faces a serious and intractable long-term problem: “the party of business” can never be a majority party in a modern capitalist economy. They have two possible solutions to this permanent problem: disenfranchisement of working-class voters or enticement of sufficient numbers of working class voters to choose the GOP as the lesser evil instead of the Democrats.
The Republicans have tried both.
The GOP tries to attract the most backward and reactionary working-class voters to replace and enhance the stagnant, dying GOP voter base of farmers and small business owners. Their efforts have produced a reactionary and rotten salad of racists, religious fundamentalists, misogynists, anti-vaxxers, gun lovers, neo-fascists and conspiracy theorists.
By the 21st century, it was ripe for the eating by a reactionary demagogue. Several contenders appeared, but Trump was hired. He then pulled the GOP’s voter base out from under the feet of the traditional Republican Party business establishment. Later the voters fired him.
Now, older and even more reactionary, his comeback try is backed by an important minority of the wealthiest capitalists and large numbers of smaller capitalists.
Trump’s shrill appeals to the rotten salad are well known. Nevertheless, even the addition of rotten pieces of society has not stopped the decline of the GOP’s mass voter base.
A large majority of eligible voters are workers, and their great majority are young, women, and people of color. Past struggles broke down barriers of race, gender and ethnicity to the point that they are weaker now than they have ever been before, especially among younger workers.
Consequently, MAGA’s efforts to resurrect those barriers have failed, so it is desperately trying to restrict voting rights and steal this year’s election.
The crisis of lesser evilism
The Democratic Party’s quandary mirrors that of the Republican Party.
To maintain its mass voter base, the Democratic Party promises it will protect reforms won in the past, and that it will occasionally do something new to improve people’s lives. However, to keep its capitalist core happy, the Democrats have to chip away at the gains of the past, and rarely come through on promised new reforms.
The Democrats are able to get away with their ruse by blaming every attack on past gains and every failure of new reforms on Republican opposition.
In other words, the Democrats’ existence as the lesser evil party has always depended on having a nearly equal greater evil party: the Republicans. Without the GOP, the Democrats will simply become the evil party.
Now, the GOP’s abandonment of bipartisanship has set the USA on the path toward an even less democratic political regime. If successful, it will reduce the Democratic Party to a permanent national minority party through voter suppression and other undemocratic measures, and impose even greater barriers on the path to the formation of new political parties.
This is an existential crisis for the Democratic Party whose replacement of Biden with Harris shows that they have finally noticed. Still, they have no strategy to resolve the crisis. If Harris wins, it will continue.
The Party of No and the Excluded
In the United States, more eligible voters do not vote than vote for either of the two capitalist parties. Most of these nonvoters are young, working class, and not well educated. More often than not, they see the system as a powerful enemy whose representatives are the are well-armed and dangerous cops.
Potentially this sector of the working class could be mobilized in the class struggle, including its electoral front.
The Democratic Party fears mobilization of these masses of people as much as it fears MAGA. Nevertheless, this year, the Democrats have fearfully played with fire by trying to mobilize some of these voters. Needless to say, the Democrats are even more afraid of mobilizing the 45 million excluded to fight for themselves.
When non-voters and the excluded come into struggle in the streets, as in the mass immigrant rights movement and Black Lives Matter, the Democratic Party works overtime to repress them and/or coopt their leaders, channel movement remnants into elections, and then leave them with no significant reforms or changes.
A working-class party, independent of the Democrats, could offer something the Democrats cannot: using elections to boost the struggle in the streets rather than demobilize it.
The Great Fear
Large doses of fear to motivate voters have been used since elections began: fear of the Indians, fear of the slaves, fear of the British, fear of immigrants, fear of the coming Martian invasion. Trump’s entire campaign is just a reprise of old American fear mongering.
Fear is the bourgeoisie’s first choice because use of the carrot may require making good on promises.
The flip side of GOP fear mongering is the fear peddled by the Democratic Party. Overtime the Democrats have been afraid of slave revolts, slaves in general, Indians, Lindbergh’s America Firsters, Japanese Americans, McCarthyism, the John Birch Society, Barry Goldwater, Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan, the Bushes, the Tea Party, and now MAGA.
Long before Joe Biden’s disastrous debate performance, the left had been gripped by fear of what another term of Trump in the White House might portend, so in this year’s election, fear mongering by Democrats is supposed to keep progressives and the left working in the Democrats’ barnyard.
Sometimes, fears are neither delusional nor misplaced. Fear of Trump is not unfounded, but it has been exaggerated. The idea that Trump can be fought in the streets and courts with or without the Democratic Party has been swept under the rug by Democratic vote herders.
The Democratic Party itself seems to be remarkably unafraid of Trump. Kamala Harris acts like she will win, and she has excellent reasons for her optimism. Her lead in the polls is growing, and even Republican states like Texas and Florida may be in play this year. All the results of early voting point to a Harris victory with massive turnouts of key working-class voter bases and especially of young women and people of color.
Scenarios
If they return to power, Trump and the MAGA GOP will try to reverse many reforms won in the past and establish a racist, misogynist, one-party system. Will they succeed? There are major reasons to believe that they will not.
The working class and the oppressed of the United States have gained strength and confidence from their low point of consciousness and organization around the turn of the century. The struggle against Trump will return to the streets.
Trump’s agenda does not have the support of most of the bourgeoisie which is clearly fighting itself within its two parties and outside of them.
Government employees, among Trump’s main intended victims, will resist.
Democratic Party controlled state and local governments will resist.
Institutions like the State Department, the miliary and remnants of the old GOP will resist.
The outcome will be uncertain, as all such struggles have been throughout history.
The left’s fear of a second Trump term in the White House is understandable, but campaigning for the Democrats is wrong because it defends the current genocidal regime of US imperialism.
The Left in the United States
Most of the organized left in the United States resides in and around the Democratic Party and are objects of the fear peddled by that party.
The Democratic Party is the largest single imperialist political party on the planet, yet the left in the United States mostly sees itself as anti-imperialist. The center of this left is the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA). It claims to have over 92,000 members and chapters in all 50 states, and it boasts members of Congress and many lesser elected officials among its members.
Outside of the Democratic Party are various left groups ranging from the more or less ecosocialist Green Party, the largest ballot qualified party outside of the Democrats and Republicans, to the neo-Stalinist Party of Socialism and Liberation (PSL).
How many left activists there are in the United States? 50,000 is a conservative estimate, but if you count up the activists of the movement in Solidarity with Palestine, the womens’, LGBTQ+, immigrant rights, and Black Lives Matter movements, and then add in a significant minority of union activists, the number is probably much larger.
Most of the left hopes the Democratic Party ship will not sink, but what if it does not? Will President Harris continue to arm Israel’s genocidal war against Palestine? Will she crack down on the border? Will she make good on her promises?
The left should finally break with the most important party of imperialism in the world. If it does, history and current circumstances tell us that it can rapidly become a mass party of the working class and oppressed.
I don’t get the fuss about the movie Civil War. Finally saw it on Prime when the price came down to a reasonable level. Is the shock about this film that a civil war could happen in the modern US, the “exceptional” USA? Time to wake up, America. The film is not about a civil war, per se, as much as it is about war photographers. What the film shows about them is pretty stereotyped when it doesn’t show them as callous. Crucially it completely ignores one big facet of war in a major modern country, the nuclear aspect.
We follow a team of three photographers and a young newbie they pick up along the way as they try to go to Washington D.C. to interview the president. There’s a rebellion going on with California and Texas in secession and Florida in its own rebellion. Because all the area around Philly is too dangerous their press car has to drive all the way to western Pennsylvania and then circle around to get to DC via Virginia.
After a few minutes of this crew on highways and empty roads I started feeling peculiar. Aside from one patch of burned-out cars they’re driving through pretty countryside with mostly untouched houses. My image of civil war is far from this. It’s of Syria with utter carnage and constant roadblocks and checkpoints manned by a myriad of forces.
[Plot spoilers ahead]
We never find out why this war is happening. If that’s a technique to make a statement against “all war” it doesn’t work. Civil war isn’t a game of checkers. There are passions at play, especially to justify atrocities (of which there are many in the film). There’s even a suicide bombing. We never find out why someone would be so angry or so self-sacrificing to do that. I guess we’re supposed to think January 6, but those fellas had grievances, as unhinged as they were.
About war journalists we get the usual. The young war photographer Jessie follows in the footsteps of her idol, Lee. Several of the journalists get a “rush” from getting right into a fight and not getting killed. A couple of them take crazy risks jumping from car to car just for fun. We never get a sense that the journalists have any inner purpose other than to get “the story”.
At the end [huge plot spoiler] Lee, played by Kirsten Dunst, knocks aside Jessie because the latter is in immediate danger of being shot. Lee then kind of stands there for a while and Jessie starts taking photos of her. PredictablyLee is shot. Right after the shooters are killed off Jessie just abandons Lee and goes on to take more photos, not even taking a look at Lee to see if she’s only injured.
One reason I wanted to watch the movie was to see if the question of nuclear power plants ever came up. We see in the Russian invasion of Ukraine the huge nuclear power complex at Zaporizhzhia is not considered untouchable and fell after a fight to Russia. In this year’s Ukraine strike into Russia in the Kursk region, Ukrainian forces are pretty near a nuclear power plant there, one without any concrete “cap”. So far luck has kept Europe away from another Chernobyl. If the movie had shown a real battle around a nuclear power plant with the release of nuclear radiation it would have done the world a service. But the fighting we see is pretty low caliber, mostly rifle shooting with some shots from a tank or a helicopter. Nuclear never comes up (not even, shall we say, the interesting question of whether either side threatened to use a nuclear bomb against the other).
It seems strange to me that these journalists can wander around freely and are immediately allowed to go right to the fighting by whichever forces are shooting. After all this is a civil war. Most everyone looks “American”. Anyone could be spying or gathering images for propaganda. From the little I know armies vet journalists and turn away those they think might be “trouble”. Now this was made mainly in 2022, a year before the Gaza genocide, but I can’t help thinking that journalists are nowadays are often killed on purpose. This brazen killing was pioneered by Assad and Putin in Syria around ten years ago. Certainly, the filmmakers should have known about that, but those shot or injured in the movie are only shot by accident or because they’re right in the middle of a fight.
There is some blood and gore but only one scene that is really disturbing, when the journalists are captured by a couple of soldiers. These fellows have a pit where they’re burying hundreds of bodies. That is shown graphically. Yet it’s never connected to any side in the war. Is this a civil war or a post-apocalyptic landscape?
A much better movie about war journalists was the 1982 movie Year of Living Dangerously. Mel Gibson (before he became known as a political buffoon) stars as a journalist who joins a group of foreign correspondents in Jakarta, Indonesia during the weeks leading up to a supposed attempted Communist coup in ’65 and the series of immense massacres by the Indonesian military. Initially apolitical, Gibson’s character starts to care. There were plenty of problems politically and plot-wise with the film, but it involved movements and passions, things that are at the heart of a civil war.
The systemic violation of students’ rights and freedoms has persisted for forty-five years under the Islamic Republic of Iran, including the current period under President Masoud Pezeshkian. The denial of the right to education among other marginalized groups such as Afghan refugees, and Baháʼí community is another chapter which has been consistently highlighted in UN reports. The Iranian government has a policy that explicitly bars Baha’is from attending university. Tens of thousands of young Baha’is from all parts of Iran, have been barred from university, depriving them not only of university education but employment and intellectual development.
The Story of Majid Dari
The story of Majid Dari, a “star student,” (star refers to being expelled) poignantly illustrates the devastating impact of deprivation of education and the legacy of violence and oppression on young lives. In 2006, during Ahmadinejad’s presidency (August 3, 2005 – August 3, 2013), Majid Dari was expelled from Allameh Tabatabai University ( ATU ) for two semesters due to his protests at a time when student associations were shut down. In response, he, along with Mahdiyeh Golro, Sadegh Shojaei, and Saeed Faiz Allahzadeh, other expelled students, staged a sit-in, leading to their arrest. After release on bail, they formed the Council for the Defense of the Right to Education. In 2008, Majid Dari was sentenced to 7 years in prison, Mahdieh Golroo to 2 years and 4 months, and Reza Nabavi to 10 years of exile. Tragically, Majid Dari was arrested again in October 2022 during the “Woman, Life, Freedom” uprising by security authorities, highlighting the ongoing struggle for education and human rights in Iran.
The Story of Mahdieh Golroo
During a recent conversation with Mahdieh Golroo, currently, a student and political activists in Sweden, I inquired about the personal impact of being deprived of education and becoming a “star student.” She stated, “The Islamic Republic has escalated repression to the point where expulsion from the university and education deprivation seem trivial compared to executions and long-term imprisonments. I felt isolated and eventually had to leave my country. Ask me which suffering has lingered the most, and I’ll say education deprivation. At 18, I entered ATU. I was preparing for my master’s exam in my seventh semester. However, due to student protests and gatherings, I was suspended, and my suspension was extended. In 1991, while in prison, I was expelled without attending a disciplinary committee meeting. One day, I was released from prison, and the next, I learned to live in exile. All these years, any person who had earned their degree felt like a dagger in my heart, reminding me of what I wanted and could have achieved if only I had been allowed. This deprivation felt like a heavy burden on my shoulders, never-ending! After 20 years, I have finally returned to university and laid this burden down, but I will never regain the 22-year-old woman who loved to study.” Mahdieh Golroo’s story, highlights the profound effects of being deprived of education by expulsion from university, which can have a lasting impact on individuals and the university community.
The Story of Reza Ghazinouri
In a similar conversation with Reza Ghazinouri who faced education deprivation, he also further emphasized the impact of the violation of his rights to attend university and complete his education: “In 2009, on the eve of defending my master’s thesis in social science research at the University of Tehran, I was unexpectedly expelled by the Ministry of Higher Education disciplinary committee. This event turned my life upside down in ways I never imagined. I was forced to flee Iran, leaving behind my entire life. It was a period of immense challenge, with moments of uncertainty and despair. I was fortunate to find the strength to rebuild my life, but many others in similar situations were not as lucky. Some tragically lost their lives, while others suffered from permanent disorders. Depriving someone of their right to education is more than just an administrative decision; it’s a form of social execution, a cruel eradication of a person’s future and potential.”
Students who are expelled from university may feel marginalized, oppressed, and discriminated against, leading to depression, isolation, anger, and mental turmoil. The financial consequences of exclusion from education and expulsion from university can be significant, including loss of tuition and inability to transfer to another institution. Overall, expelling students can have long-lasting and far-reaching consequences for both the individual and the university community.
United Nations Conventions
The right to education is a fundamental human right, and international laws and conventions protect it. The International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (ICESCR) is one such convention, which ensures the right to education for all citizens and emphasizes the importance of academic freedom. Additionally, the Universal Declaration of Human Rights (UDHR) supports academic freedom and the right to education, even though it doesn’t directly refer to it. The UDHR recognizes the right to freedom of opinion and expression, which is essential for academic freedom, as it allows professors and students to discuss their ideas and opinions without fear of censorship or punishment.
The UNESCO Convention against Discrimination in Education (1960) is another important international instrument that promotes the right to education and prohibits discrimination in education. The Convention has been ratified by many countries and is considered a cornerstone of international education law.
Global Trends and Retrogression
The global trends of the rise of extremism in religion, identity and politics along with the rise of populist movements, are aiming at redefining academic freedom not only in the Global South but also in the United State and EU countries. Despite international laws and conventions, states are altering higher education to undermine the academic freedom that is the founding principle of postsecondary education and research.
To address these violations, it is essential to hold governments accountable for their obligations to protect the right to education and academic freedom. International organizations, civil society, and individuals must work together to promote and protect these fundamental rights.
The truth of the matter is that Iran’s president Pezeshkian does not have the authority to make significant changes in policies. These policies are integral to the systems of oppression and human rights violations in Iran. The Supreme Leader’s Office and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps hold most of the power in Iran, which limits the president’s ability to implement significant changes. The president’s role is limited to ensuring the precise and timely implementation of the Supreme Leader’s decisions. The student movement in Iran is an integral part of the struggle for democracy, human rights and social justice and will keep moving forward, never turning back!
The conference “Boris Kagarlitsky and the Challenges of the Left Today” is Tuesday, October 8.
This is an urgent request to you as sponsors of the conference to give it a last-minute plug on your social networks and newsletter lists.
At a time when inter-imperialist rivalry is producing increasingly atrocious wars, the conference is an important opportunity to address this burning issue for all humanity–one to which Boris Kagarlitsky himself has devoted years of thought.
The conference sessions–addressing with eminent speakers Kagarlitsky’s latest work, The Long Retreat, the state of the Left in Russia, the nature of contemporary imperialism and intellectual repression in Russian and elsewhere—all bear on this critical issue.
Please then, if at all possible, make a final effort to publicise the event, not least because it will launch the Kagarlitsky Network for Intellectual Freedom, a tool in our ongoing campaign to win the release of Boris Kagarlitsky and all other anti-war political prisoners in the Russian Federation.
I attach a graphic for advertising the conference for use on social media, to which should be added the link https://freeboris.info/events to allow quick access to the conference program and registration.
Thank you all for sponsoring the conference–we look forward to it making a contribution to the understanding and commitment of the left in these barbaric times.
In solidarity,
Dick Nichols
For the Boris Kagarlitsky International Solidarity Campaign
This article was originally written two weeks ago for publication in French in the European journal Adresses, internationalisme et démocratieand therefore explains some things that may be obvious to American readers.
The American people will go to the polls on November 5 to vote for the U.S. president—some in a few states will already have been able to vote earlier–choosing between former president Donald Trump, the authoritarian leader of what has become a far-right Republican Party, and Vice-President Kamala Harris, a somewhat progressive Democrat, who had now moved to the right and become a moderate, and who continues to support Israel unconditionally, despite its genocidal war on Palestine. The election poses several related dangers, from a Trump victory that could end American democracy to a close election that could lead to violent protests and perhaps another coup attempt, and then too the danger that if Harris wins, she will be unable to keep the United States out of a widening Middle East war. We’ll come back to these below.
The two-candidates are statistically tied in the polls in overall votes, but to win the election, a candidate must win not a majority of the popular vote, but a majority of the Electoral College vote. In this contest, the key thing becomes winning the “swing states,” that is, the states that are not decisively for one party or another, and might vote either Republican or Democratic. In this election the key swing states are Georgia, North Carolina Arizona, Nevada, , Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. There are three million undecided voters in those states, but the election in those states will be decided by a few hundred thousand or even only some tens of thousands of ambivalent or so far undecided voters. All the candidates’ attention, money, and travel plans are concentrated on getting those votes.
The election is taking place in an atmosphere characterized by violence. There have been two assassination attempts on Trump and shots have been fired into a Harris campaign office in Tempe, Arizona. And 40% of election officials, those who manage polling places or count the votes, have been threatened or harassed.
Trump campaigns largely on the economy, which includes the high cost of living, taxes, and foreign trade; and he promises to stop rising inflation, to cut taxes, and to improve foreign trade through huge tariffs—10, 20, 50%–on imported goods. But at his rallies and interviews, he offers little explanation of how his economic policies will work, and economists of all stripes say his tariffs could destroy the U.S. and perhaps the world economy. Most recently Trump speaking at a rally promised a “manufacturing renaissance,” attracting foreign investment by creating manufacturing zones, cutting taxes, and eliminating environmental regulations, and “stealing” millions of jobs from other countries.
Mostly, however, Trump in his rallies of thousands, rails against what he calls an invasion of immigrants who he says are “animals,” “vermin,” and “poisoning the blood of our country.” He claims that immigrants are criminals from the world’s prisons and insane asylums and that they have invaded and taken over some cities and are “destroying the fabric of our country.” That’s why he says crime is down in other countries but up in ours—though in fact crime is down in the United States. His claims about the immigrants being criminals and mentally ill and about rising crime rates in the United States are both false. He most recently claimed that Haitians had taken over the city of Springfield, Ohio, and that they were eating the cats, dogs, pets, and geese in that city, claims for which officials from the mayor to the state governor have said there was absolutely no basis. Trump’s son, Donald Jr., has said Haitians have lower IQs than other people. Trump has promised that the immigration authorities and the National Guard will be used—in violation of current law—to round up millions of immigrants, put them in concentration camps, and deport them to their homelands. And, he says, he will start in Springfield.
A Nation Divided from Top to Bottom
Who supports this reactionary, racist demagogue? Trump’s Make America Great Again (MAGA) base is made up overwhelmingly of white supporters at the core of which are small- and medium-sized business people—lawyers, realtors, store owners, salespeople, corporate middle managers, etc.—who live in the suburbs or rural areas. (Chris Dite, Jacobin, April 16, 2024) A high percentage of white workers, usually defined by the polls as those without college educations, also support Trump, though he has been losing the support of some of them recently. He has also won the support of some Black and Latino men. Many Trumpers are Evangelical Christians who, whatever his personal behavior, see Trump as a defender of their faith, a strong opponent of abortion and anti-gay and anti-trans. God is making use of him, they say. Over half of all Protestant pastors say they will vote for Trump, a quarter are for Harris, and almost a quarter undecided. (Aaron Earls, Christianity Today, Sept. 17, 2024). Some Trump supporters are Q-Anon followers who believe that a cabal of pedophiles runs the country and engages in sex-trafficking children. Gun manufacturers back Trump, as does the National Rifle Association which has endorsed him because of his promises to fight firearms control.
What about big business? Does it support Trump? The American capitalist class, historically divided between the two parties, often supports both of them to different degrees, and capitalists frequently shift from one side to the other, altering the balance. After president Ronald Reagan’s conservative “revolution,” the Republican Party put itself at the disposal of the corporations. Trump, despite his populist talks against the elites, has also served big business and the wealthy, cutting their taxes, removing regulations, and hampering unions. And he promises more of the same in his next term. In a meeting with oil executives in May of his year, for example, he told them that if they gave him a billion dollars to return to the White House, he would get rid of Biden’s environmental regulations.
The big corporations and the very wealthy are as always divided, some supporting Trump and some Harris, though she has done better. According to their official filings with the government, as of September 21, the Harris campaign and the Democratic National Committee go into the final two months of the 2024 election with $286 million in the bank, compared to the Trump campaign and the Republican National Committee’s $214 million. Political analysts have always looked closely at what sectors—finance, industry, commerce, etc.—form the bourgeois support for different U.S. political presidential candidates. For example, some historians argue that Franklin D. Roosevelt, the president who created the modern American welfare state, was backed by consumer industries—automobiles, petroleum, electricity, department stores—while his Republican challengers were backed by high finance and heavy industry, such as the Morgan Bank and U.S. Steel.
It is not clear what sector forms the base of Trump’s financial support. His biggest backers are high-tech industrialist Elon Musk, likely to soon become the world’s first trillionaire; Timothy Mellon, heir to an oil fortune; Miriam and the late Sheldon Adelson, casino operators; Linda and Vince McMahon of World Wrestling Entertainment;, Diane Hendricks of ABC, building supply; Kelsey Warren, a pipeline builder; Timothy Dunn, a Texas oilman; Richard and Liz Uhlein, owners of a packaging-materials company; Jeff Sprecher and wife Kelly Loeffler of International Exchange, which owns the New York Stock Exchange, and a variety of other big corporations and wealthy individuals from different financial and industrial sectors. Trump running mate J.D. Vance has the backing of tech billionaire Peter Theil.
As a former California Senator and a Democrat, it is not surprising that Harris’ biggest donors are the high teach corporations of Silicon Valley and Hollywood, which are in any case traditional Democratic financial donors. Among them Reid Hoffman, co-founder of LinkedIn, the social website; Dustin Moskovitz, a co-founder of Facebook; Melinda French Gates of Microsoft; Laurene Powell Jobs, former wife of Steve Jobs of Apple; Jeffrey Katzenberg, former chairman of Walt Disney Studios; James Murdoch, former CEO of 21st Century Fox; Jeff Bewkes of Time Warner; Barry Diller, former CEO of Paramount. In addition, George Soros, the billionaire businessman and investor and his son Alex Soros back Harris. More Hollywood stars back Harris than support Trump, most famously Taylor Swift. Of course, some Hollywood moguls and tech giants also support Trump, but Harris it seems is stronger in these most advanced sectors of the U.S. economy.
What will the U.S. government do in the event that there is a close election. There would not be a unified response. The United States today has a divided government. Joe Biden is the president, and Harris, is vice president, both Democrats. In the Senate, the Democrats have slim majority of 51 votes (from 47 Democrats and 4 independents) while the Republicans 49. The Republicans also have a very small majority in the House of Representative, 220 to the Democrats 211. The Supreme Court has effectively become Republican. Trump appointed three justices to the Supreme Court, giving conservatives a six to three majority, far more conservative than most other modern courts. This has made it possible for the Court to abolish Roe v. Wade, taking away women’s federally protected right to abortion and leading to the banning of abortion in 14 states and strict limits in another 13. The Court has also passed a number of other conservative measures and most significantly voted 6 to 3 that the president has presumptive immunity from most of his official acts. As the American Civil Liberties Union wrote, “At bottom, though, the court’s 6-3 majority freed presidents to use their official powers to engage in criminal acts substantially free of accountability.”
Harris’ Platform
Harris’ strongest issue, one that has won her a very large advantage among women voters, is her pledge to restore federally protected abortion and other reproductive rights. Harris has Democratic Party candidates’ usual coalition: labor unions, Black organizations, Latino, and Asian groups, but above all support of women’s organizations.
In terms of domestic policy more generally, Kamala Harris, replacing Joe Biden as the candidate and entering the election quite late, had not developed a full-fledged program. Having been Biden’s vice-president, she runs in large measure on the basis of his legislative achievements. Since the 1980s, under Republicans like Ronald Reagan and Democrats like Bill Clinton and Barack Obama, the United States and its allies had created a neoliberal, global economy based on deregulation, privatization, cuts in social spending, and the reduction of the power of labor unions. The Great Recession of 2008 was the crisis of that global neoliberal order, and led to both the conservative Tea Party movement and to Occupy Wall Street. The maverick campaigns of both Democrat Bernie Sanders and Republican Donald Trump in 2016 were reactions to that crisis and responses of those movements.
The crisis of neoliberalism that began in the Great Recession of 2008, then complicated by the COVID pandemic and its economic recession, led Joe Biden to adopt the most progressive economic and social programs since the era of Democrat Lyndon B. Johnson (1963-1969). Biden’s most significant economic and social programs were the American Rescue Plan Act ($1.9 trillion) to support business and workers during COVID, Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act ($1.2 trillion), and the Inflation Reduction Act ($369 billion) to deal with climate issues. These measures restored the U.S. economy, which grew at a rate of 5.7% in his first year in office, generated the highest growth rate in 40 years; and brought down unemployment to 3.9%, as the country saw the lowest new unemployment claims in 50 years. (Joint Economic Committee).
Biden later faced the problem of high inflation, which grew from 1.4% in January 2021 to peak at 9.1% in June of 2022, a very serious problem, though inflation is now negligible. Harris, who as vice-president had no economic program of her own can claim the successes and accept the failures of the Biden administration. The problem is that many Americans judge the economy not in terms of business reports but quite personally. The cost of gas, food prices, and housing costs agove all. Y et, though gas in much of the country is now below $3.00 per gallon, interest rates have come down more than a percentage point, and grocery prices have fallen, half of all Americans believe the economy is doing poorly—and for most people, that’s the most important issue in the election.
Today Harris calls her economic program an “opportunity economy” that will lower costs for families. In short, it is a plan to stimulate American capitalism and it would take no measure that would fundamentally change the current economic structures. She calls for a tax cut for middle-class and working-class families; she pledges to build three million homes and apartment buildings; she promises more support for small business, offering them tax deductions; she says she will strengthen and expand the Affordable Care Act and protect Medicare and Social Security; she wants to bring families affordable childcare and also improve care for the elderly; and finally, she wants to “lower energy coats and tackle the climate crisis.” Once very progressive on energy and climate issues, she has moderated her positions, and, for example, now accepts fracking. Still unlike Trump she understands that fossil fuels are contributing to the climate crisis and her view is still moderately progressive.
Biden—and therefore also Harris—have had strong support from the unions, above all because of his support for the autoworkers’ strike last year when he became the first president to stand with workers on their picket line. The Biden administration also helped to settle a strike by the dockworkers of the International Longshoremen’s Association that represents 45,000 dockworkers at 36 ports on the East and Gulf Coasts from Maine to Texas. These workers handle about half of the national shipping industry’s freight. The strike was about automation and wages. Biden took the side of the union fro the beginning. ‘They [the corporations] made incredible profits, over 800% profit since the pandemic, and the owners are making tens of millions of dollars from this,” Biden said. “It’s time for them to sit at the table and get this strike done.” With pressure from the Biden administration on the corporations, he union won a big wage gain and the difficult issues around automation were postponed to future negotiations.
Harris has completely supported Biden’s foreign policy, backing Israel and its war on Gaza, supporting Ukraine’s war against the Russian invasion, and opposing China’s rival imperial ambitions. The big problem for Harris especially with liberals, progressives, and the left, as well as with American Arabs and Muslims is her complete support for Israel. Harris’ reputation for being more progressive than Biden on the question of Israel’s war on Gaza is based on statements like one she gave after meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, “What has happened in Gaza over the past nine months is devastating,” she said. “The images of dead children and desperate, hungry people fleeing for safety, sometimes displaced for the second, third or fourth time — we cannot look away in the face of these tragedies,” she said, adding, “I will not be silent.” Her remarks in her acceptance speech were weaker: “The scale of suffering is heartbreaking. President Biden and I are working to end this war such that – Israel is secure – the hostages are released – the suffering in Gaza ends – and the Palestinian people can realize their right to dignity, security, freedom and self-determination.” Unlike Trump and Netanyahu, she supports a two-state solution.
Now, of course, the situation is complicated even more by the war between Israel and Hezbollah, the Israeli invasion of Lebanon, Iran’s attack on Israel, and the looming war between them.
Harris’ fine words, however, have not been accompanied by any proposal or action on her part. And this could cost her the election. Michigan has between 200,000 and 300,000 Arab American voters, and in the primary over 100,000 of them declined to vote for Harris and instead voted uncommitted. A Council on American-Islamic Relations poll released in September showed that in Michigan, 40% of Muslim voters backed the Green Party candidate, Jill Stein; 38% supported Trump; and only 18% would vote for Harris.
Trump’s Campaign and Project 2025
At Trump’s campaign rallies—and he has held scores of them over the last four years—he argues that the United States is a failing nation because it has not been able to defend its borders from what he calls the immigrant invasion. He argues that at the end of his first presidency he left the country in wondaful shape economically, but that the immigrants have brought crime and have taken the jobs of American workers, particularly Latinos and Blacks. Trump promises that as president he will launch a national effort to round up millions of illegal immigrants and deport them and then improve the economy. His central economic plan is to cut taxes for the wealthy and increase tariffs on imported good. He is a climate change denier and one of his mantras is “Drill, baby, drill,” expressing his commitment to rebuild the economy on coal, oil, and the internal combustion engine—though since he became friends with Musk, he is not so critical of electric vehicles. If he touches on foreign policy, it is to say that he would cut support for Ukraine, but on the other had he promises, “I will give Israel the support that it needs to win but I do want them to win fast.”
While Trump has no clear plan for the administration—he is not much of a planner—a number of his advisors working with the conservative Heritage Foundation, produced a 900-page plan for his next administration called Project 2025. Trump claims he knows nothing about it, but nine of his former cabinet secretaries helped to write it and another 140 former Trump administration officials and bureaucrats had a hand in it. The American Civil Liberties Union, long a defender of our rights, called it, “a roadmap for how to replace the rule of law with right-wing ideals.”
American democracy is by no means perfect—far from it—but while there are abuses, by and large we still have fundamental democratic rights and civil liberties. As the ACLU explains, Project 2025 proposes to reorganize the executive branch of government and to use it to further limit abortion; to target “immigrant communities through mass deportations and raids, ending birthright citizenship, separating families, and dismantling our nation’s asylum system;” to increase the power of police and to repress social protests; to limit access to voting; to censor discussions of race, gender, and carry out systematic oppression in schools and universities, and to roll back trans rights among other things. Project 2025 would also eliminate tens of thousands of federal civil service workers and replace them with political appointees loyal to the president. It represents the first step in dismantling American democracy and creating an authoritarian government. It will begin with Trump’s election or his seizure of power through a coup.
The Two Dangers
There are two looming dangers. One is that if Trump wins decisively, he will establish an authoritarian regime and could abolish democratic institutions and civil rights and usher in a truly fascist order. Democratic Senator Richard Blumenthal of Connecticut recently stated, “There are an array of horrors that could result from Donald Trump’s unrestricted use of the Insurrection Act. A malignantly motivated president could use it in a vast variety of dictatorial ways unless at some point the military itself resisted what they deemed to be an unlawful order. But that places a very heavy burden on the military.” (NBC news, January 14, 2024)
Remember that when Trump was president threatened to deploy the military to suppress the enormous national Black Lives Matter Protests of 2020, but both civilian and military officials resisted and checked him. They may not be able to next time. William Cohen, a former Republican senator from Maine and former Secretary of Defense, recently warned, referring to Trump, “We’re about 30 seconds away from the Armageddon clock when it comes to democracy.” (NBC news, January 14, 2024)
The other danger is that if the election is close, Trump and the Republican Party will use an array of tactics, legal and illegal, to carry out a coup and seize power. They are already prepared to make legal challenges to every aspect of the voting process, from challenging individual voters, to disputing the election count in every state, to raising objections to the certification by the U.S. Congress. Such legal challenges will likely be accompanied by militant protests and violence at the polls, at the offices authorized to count the votes, and at state legislatures. Trump will mobilize large Republican states with reactionary governors such as Texas and Florida to support his challenges and to slow or stop the post-election process. The might mobilize their state national guard forces to support Trump. There are also militant armed far right organizations—some 1,400 have been identified—that can be expected to take violent action in state capitals and at the national Capitol in Washington, D.C. Already during the COVID pandemic, armed groups opposed to masking took over some state capitals, for example in Michigan. Other militia groups went to the border in Texas and illegally arrested undocumented immigrants. The goal of all of this will be to prevent Harris from taking office and to install Trump in the presidency instead. Such action would lead to a political crisis of the federal government and might indeed lead to mass violence in some regions
Donald Trump, Republican right-wingers, and militia groups attempted a coup d’état on January 6, 2021, after Trump riled up a rally of thousands that then marched to the Capitol where hundreds invaded the building, searching for Democratic Party leader Nancy Pelosi and threating to hang Republican Vice-President Mike Pence for his failure to support Trump’s claim that he had won the election. The violent insurrection succeeded in delaying the counting of the Electoral College votes and the certification of the new president, took the lives of six people, left several police officers injured, and did millions of dollars in property damage. Subsequently 1,424 people were indicted, and hundreds were convicted and imprisoned. That coup attempt failed, but is another coup possible?
Could there be another insurrection? A coup? A civil war?
Many elected officials, military generals, and media commentators think it is. In December of 2021, three generals– Paul D. Eaton, Antonio M. Taguba, and Steven M. Anderson—in a guest editorial published in the Washington Post wrote, that in the event of a contested election result, where it is not clear who has become president, “The potential for a total breakdown of the chain of command along partisan lines — from the top of the chain to squad level — is significant should another insurrection occur. The idea of rogue units organizing among themselves to support the ‘rightful’ commander in chief cannot be dismissed…. Under such a scenario, it is not outlandish to say a military breakdown could lead to civil war.”
Public acceptance of a coup has also grown. A poll published in the Washington Post on January 6, 2022 found that, “The share of Americans willing to tolerate a coup increased from 28 percent in 2017 to 40 percent in 2021. That’s a 43 percent increase, and the highest rate we’ve seen in the United States since we began asking the question more than a decade ago.”
If Trump loses in a close election, it is possible that we could see another coup attempt, this one involving the military and possibly national in scope, and with the possibility of inciting a civil war. Some military officers might attempt to lead an uprising for Trump. But standing in the way of a military coup would be the Biden-Harris Secretary of Defense, Lloyd Austn, and their Joint Chiefs of Staff, the commanders of the military, and it is hard to conceive of them supporting a Trump attempt to seize power. Still, we would be foolhardy to ignore the dangers of another coup attempt.
What about the Left?
The American left—social democratic, socialist, anarchist—is quite small, perhaps 1% of the population, and it is divided into myriad groups and many individual activists with no affiliation. The Democratic Socialist of America (DSA), the Communist Party, and some former Maoists will support the Democratic Party’s candidate Kamala Harris, even if like DSA, they have not endorsed her. The far left—anarchists, Trotskyists, neo-Stalinists, and campists—will not participate in the election. Some small sects pretend to participate in electoral politics, such as Socialist Action, which in 2020 ran its leader Jeff Mackler for president. He did not appear on even one state ballot. This year the Party of Socialism and Liberation is running Claudia De la Cruz and Karina Garcia for president and vice president. They only appear on the Florida ballot. These are not really political campaigns but propaganda campaigns intended only to promote the party and recruit.
The two most important left candidates in this election are Jill Stein of the Green Party and Cornel West. The Green Party, founded in 1984, is a very real and serious party with a quite progressive quasi-socialist platform and a serious commitment to preventing global warming. It defines itself as “ecosocialist.” Its one serious political weakness is its lack of support for Ukraine’s defensive war against Putin’s Russia and in fact Stein often seems to be following Putin’s talking points. It appears that the Green Party will have gathered enough signatures to qualify to appear on the ballots in 38 of the 50 states though they hope to appear on ten more. The Democrats have everywhere worked to block the Greens and the Republicans have tried to help them get on the ballot. As Trump said, “Jill Stein, I like her very much. You know why? She takes 100% from [Democrats].” In the past, Stein has won about 1% of the presidential vote and zero Electoral College votes, of course. But, as already mentioned, this year she could win votes of Arabs and Muslims, perhaps taking enough votes from Harris to cause her to lose the state of Michigan and to guarantee the election of Donald Trump.
The other left candidate is Black theologian, Cornel West. He originally planned to run on a ticket of the crisis-ridden People’s Party, then switched to the Green Party, then decided on running independently, and finally created his own Justice for all Party, so far without a founding convention, with perhaps half a dozen state affiliates, and a very meager membership. He has done little campaigning and receives little publicity. At present is seems that he will appear on the ballot in 14 states. His campaign is a futile and rather pathetic gesture. Still, West’s campaign like Stein’s could take votes from Harris and deliver the election to Trump.
Many Americans, especially young people, Arabs, and Muslims, but also Jewish activists and many others have been appalled by the Biden-Harris administration’s support for Israel’s genocidal war against the people of Gaza and other Palestinians. Israel’s war with Hezbollah and invasion of Lebanon will only exacerbate the sense of alienation of these voters. But this may not be decisive for Harris, since politicized youth makes up only a small segment of the population, many young people don’t vote anyway, and those who do vote, may still well vote for Harris to defeat Trump.
On the other hand, many liberals, progressives, and non-sectarian leftists believe that there must be a united front in this election against Trump and fascism, and though they may be highly critical of Biden’s and Harris’ support for Israel’s genocidal war, they see Trump as an existential threat to American democracy. Like them, I will be voting for Harris, while still supporting the call for a cease-fire in Gaza and an end to Israel’s war with Hezbollah.
From his grave, Albert Shanker, or more accurately, the machine he built, controls the largest teachers union in the world, the United Federation of Teachers (UFT), which represents about 200,000 New York City teachers, and New York State United Teachers (NYSUT), with over 600,000 members, the largest state teachers union affiliate in the country. Parlaying this control of New York, the machine dominates the American Federation of Teachers (AFT), which punches far above its weight in the labor movement, from what its membership numbers would suggest. In the city, as in the state, the UFT exercises its power consistent with business unionism of the most corrupt variant: rejecting struggles on social justice issues like Black Lives Matter; making backroom deals with politicians in both parties, and funding their campaigns, even when they vote for legislation that undercuts public education and the public good; limiting the union’s vision and ask to the narrowest economic concerns; and quashing any legislation that might detract from the power of the union apparatus, like eliminating mayoral control. The AFT sets the political bar for the National Education Association (NEA), and with it dominates the international confederation of teachers unions, the Education International.
In the six decades since Shanker created the Unity caucus in NYC and the Progressive Caucus nationally, the machine has had no internal splits. No reform caucus has been able to dislodge its rule in a division, even for a single election cycle. Last Spring this changed. Victory came from a completely unexpected quarter—retirees—giving UFT reformers a chance to wrest UFT leadership from Unity. Building on outrage and fear about the UFT’s assistance to NYC’s mayor in sabotaging health care, a caucus of retirees, the Retiree Advocate (RA), defeated the UFT apparatus, winning leadership of the Retiree chapter. The prospect of an electoral coalition of retirees and active members creates a stunning possibility—overturning Unity and the UFT/NYSUT/AFT triumvirate’s suffocating influence on city, state, and national politics. To give readers a sense of the enormity of this victory and the scale of organizing needed now, consider that the UFT has 70,000 retirees who can vote. About 27,000 did so, about 2/3 of them for the RA. The number of voting retirees was about the same number of people that the third largest U.S. teachers union, the Chicago Teachers Union, counted as active members at that same time.
The challenge as well as the implications and possibilities of this opening cannot be underestimated: In every realm in which they operate the UFT/NYSUT/AFT are a powerfully conservative anchor, a force that can be counted on to advance one principle above all: sustaining their power by allying with politicians—and even our class enemies—despite the harmful effects on education, teachers unions, and working people.
THE TERRAIN OF A BATTLE WITH EXTRAORDINARY STAKES
The UFT/NYSUT/AFT machine, anchored by the Unity caucus, whose control was cemented by a “strike that changed New York,” the 1968 UFT strike over community control, is highly unusual, likely unique, in labor politics for some reasons particular to teacher unions, but also due to its uninterrupted domination of the union; its centralized control; and its ideological control over every aspect of union life. In contrast to other unions, those with a liberal or conservative bent, or ones that are gangster-ridden, Unity demands ideological fealty. A caucus member (all officers, full-time staff who are union members, and delegates to conventions must belong to Unity) who voices opposition to the leadership’s political positions, whether about education, war, social justice, or electoral politics is removed from office.[1]
The victory of the Caucus of Rank and File Educators (CORE) to leadership of the Chicago Teachers Union upended business unionism in Chicago and inspired reformers identified with “social justice teacher unionism” to win leadership of many city locals, but the reform current has not weakened the Unity/Progressive caucus machine though the AFT’s rhetoric has changed in the past five years and it contributes to social justice campaigns—as long as they play ball. Reformers have not developed a national reform caucus in the AFT, and their presidents sit on the AFT Executive Council, following its protocols for secrecy and the Progressive caucus prohibition against speaking out against the leadership’s positions. AFT continues to function like an imperial dynasty, with the current ruler anointing the next, as well as underlings who hold office in the UFT and NYSUT. Randi Weingarten currently occupies the throne, though informed insiders say she will soon step down for personal reasons and has selected her successor, from NYSUT. The AFT president’s power is unchecked by the convention or Executive Council. Weingarten can and does get what she wants, from union endorsements in presidential elections, to policy stances in Washington, Albany, and New York City. The victory of an electoral coalition in New York deposing Unity could do what AFT locals that self-identify as supporting a different kind of teacher unionism have not, democratize the national union, allowing real contestation of ideas, and in so doing likely altering national politics.
The AFT president is not directly elected by members (neither is the NYSUT president). The election occurs at biennial conventions, in a balloting procedure that allows the AFT to count heads in each delegation. All other policy issues, including constitutional amendments, are decided by delegates in voice votes that do not reflect their representative strength. Therefore, whoever controls the most delegate votes, controls the convention outcomes. The one local that always, always, sends a full contingent is the UFT, with about 800 voting delegates. This gives the UFT, that is to say Unity, control of NYSUT and AFT conventions and hence the organizational apparatus of both.[2]
The battle for leadership of the UFT is waged in New York City public schools. While description of this context goes well beyond my article, some mention is needed because this system itself will not be altered automatically by a successful challenge to Unity, and what awaits a new leadership should inform how we organize for the election and how we will wield the power for which we are fighting. The school system is chronically under-funded and has an organizational structure of fiefdoms/divisions that do not communicate or collaborate. Neoliberal reforms, especially the gutting of contractual rights about evaluation, have worsened a workplace that was harsh in the 1970s and 80s. An intensely racially-segregated system serves primarily low-income students of color, who are frequently denied services to which they are legally entitled, making teachers’ work harder and alliances with parents all the more essential. Classes are huge, even in comparison to other urban districts. Teacher turnover is high, especially in schools serving students who are the most vulnerable and have the greatest need for quality instruction. Administrators often exercise arbitrary power, leaving educators who show independence of thought, especially union activists, vulnerable.[3] Chapter chairs (the name for shop stewards) are elected by members and often do heroic work but they are not supported—and are in fact undercut—by union staff, who often will not challenge power relations in the schools.
Given these conditions, the fact that in-service members find the time and energy to try to reform the UFT is truly remarkable. Working well with kids in schools that undercut professional ideals is exhausting, more than a full-time job. Doing union work comes on top of that labor. Union reform and building alliances outside the classroom are an added layer that many educators with families can’t sustain for very long. Though an electoral victory can provide a base to support activism and in time improve conditions, winning office won’t eliminate hardship for working educators. We need to give some forethought to what resources we can tap and how to sustain them after we win. The way we win is related to and as important as the victory, which is one reason developing a new cadre of activists is vital in building for the election.
THE RETIREE REFORMERS’ VICTORY: RETHINKING CONVENTIONAL WISDOM
Its winner-take-all election system combined with slate voting[4] are a huge barrier for reformers opposing Unity. Members’ demoralization and alienation from the union results in fewer than half of the delegates who are eligible to attend the Delegate Assembly (DA) showing up. Since Unity caucus members (including 100 full-time staff who have voting rights) must attend and vote, and procedural rules suppress debate, reformers struggle to win any vote that the leadership opposes. However, the retirees’ stunning upset brings 300 non-Unity delegates to the DA, a change that can alter outcomes in favor of reforms Unity has successfully quashed.
In part, the retiree victory occurred in the classic mode in which reformers have won in many other unions—building the caucus on a program that has broad support, one that speaks not only to members’ dissatisfactions but to solutions, getting our supporters to vote, and campaigning strategically to increase turnout of members who will vote for us. I think the RA’s victory had another element, one seen in the Red State walkouts: tapping social networks among members no longer rooted in a single place, finding connections among members dispersed geographically, as are UFT retirees. The RA’s program is also reminiscent of the dynamic of the state-wide walkouts, which were spurred by demands for more school funding and higher salaries but created space for activists to raise social justice demands, especially in cities.[5]
Focusing squarely on protecting retiree health care, the RA also demanded protection of pensions and social security for retirees and health care and working conditions for active members. Its program conveyed a vision of new, progressive politics for the UFT, supporting the NYS Health Act that protects and expands health benefits for all, as well as a national single payer health plan, which the AFT refuses to endorse. Although the program did not include many ideas that RA activists sympathetic to social justice unionism would want, a major limitation being the absence of any mention of racism in the city schools, overall the program was good enough to accept because its commitment to union democracy created an organizing space that allows us to put forward our ideas, to make a new UFT leadership responsible to its members and to vie for our ideas as part of the leadership, pulling the union in the direction of social justice principles.
In my opinion, because of its public commitment to democratizing the UFT, expressed often by the RA President, the retiree movement will not be so easily contained, although some in the RA leadership want to exercise tight(er) control.[6] The far greater danger is that Unity will do everything it can to undercut and divide the movement, which is politically heterogeneous. We should not assume the RA will be able to win another election for chapter delegates and officers. The vulnerability of the retiree victory in its chapter election makes joining the coalition and building a progressive politics within it all the more urgent.
Proponents of union democracy and social justice teacher unionism should not wait out this election in anticipation of becoming stronger, more unified in shared principles, more democratic in functioning in time for the next election. The RA’s victory forces those who want a more militant, democratic union, in particular activists in the Movement for Rank and File Educators (MORE), a caucus inspired by CORE, to re-think the trajectory exemplified in CORE’s victory and its subsequent transformation of the CTU. CORE had and used the advantage of time we in the UFT do not have, time to build a unified caucus based on shared principles that fuse social justice with protection of economic protections for members, time to organize on its program to contend for leadership in a union election. Context counts. The comparative size of the school systems and their unions, along with decades of Unity’s rule, which has isolated reformers from possible allies in NYSUT, combined with the machine’s almost untrammeled exercise of power, its punishment of opposition and reward of those who take its orders, converge to make reformers’ task qualitatively different in New York than elsewhere, certainly in this country and possibly the world.
CORE’s victory and CTU’s transformation were inspirational, teaching lessons for all of labor. At the same time, CORE’s history is not a blueprint. In addition to learning from its success and how it achieved its victories, we should examine decisions CORE made when it assumed leadership that have, arguably, undercut its commitment to union democracy—for instance not amending the union constitution to allow proportional representation, as well as allowing the leadership to select members of the bargaining team from a pool of elected representatives from each unit, rather than having members in each unit elect the bargaining team directly, as some other reformers have done.
Joining a coalition while we are still setting our own house in order may seem counter-intuitive, reversing what has become the conventional wisdom: building the caucus then contending for power (a chronology I’ve advocated in my work about teacher union reform). To some, joining the coalition without having the caucus we want in place seems a violation of principle. However, our theory of practice has to be informed by conditions, and we do not control the conditions under which we struggle. The RA victory and its inclusion in the formation of a coalition presents us with a challenge and time-limited opportunity: to organize on the principles we think we share, using what we learn from seasoned reformers as well as energized activists we bring to the project, to build a better caucus, the one we will need after the election. In helping to form the coalition, campaigning for it, and being part of a new leadership after the coalition’s victory, those of us committed to a vision of a democratic union based on social justice ideals have to function as a minority. Our task is to hold the new leadership, including those individuals who represent MORE directly, responsible to an informed, mobilized membership. In doing this we make MORE the caucus we need and strengthen the union as a whole.
The “ask” we’re making of in-service members is considerable. There are still scars from the last election and coalition, and activists will face another bruising engagement over a coalition’s program and division of offices. Still, we should measure this “ask” against the price of abstention, forfeiting the opportunity to bring our ideals to bear in a historic struggle. This may be the only or the best chance in-service members see in their professional career to topple the UFT machine. Though it will occur in a coalition we do not control, with members whose ideas we do not share and may, in fact, detest, including passionate disagreements about foreign policy, we have the power to bring our own definition of the coalition demands, having our own principles drive the way we recruit activists and then get out the vote in the election. A victory over Unity even on a program that is barely “good enough” opens the door to realizing social justice in our schools and in the society, with a vision of a transformed union that is unimaginable for members who have for so long worked within the confines of a repressive union. MORE can use this election to excite the imagination and hopes of in-service members by pointing out that victory is not a long-range goal but an immediate possibility.
THOUGHTS ON PRINCIPLES AND STRATEGY: ORGANIZING IN AND FOR AN ELECTORAL COALITION AND VICTORY BEYOND
Leaders of RA’s victory who are committed to union democracy, from whom I have learned a great deal, including experienced and respected chapter chairs, have much to teach in-service members in this coalition. One strategic necessity for this election and beyond, suggested by the Red State walkouts and the RA’s success, is that organizing in the chapters is essential but also insufficient. Education workers have job-specific challenges as constituents and are in networks that are not defined solely by geography. For example, special education teachers in every borough and at all grade levels have interests in common about provision of services, or rather, their absence. Special ed teachers, who comprise a significant constituency in the UFT, (more than one in seven students in the city schools qualify for special education), bring to our struggle relationships with parents because of their job requirements. After the Spring election these relationships will be crucial in union-led campaigns for which we will need parent and community input and support. Teachers in bilingual programs are also a key group, insufficiently organized and tapped in reform work. The largest “minority” in the NYC schools is Hispanic students, and the trust of Hispanic parents is vital for success as we build a different kind of union. Paraprofessionals, who are more vulnerable to administrators’ victimization than classroom teachers, and who often must work two jobs or more to support themselves and families, deserve more and more sensitive assistance in their organizing. Black teachers, under-represented in in-service reform work as well as retiree ranks (due to discriminatory hiring until the 1990s), are an untapped resource, bringing insights and contacts with community that are irreplaceable.
We should fight for the coalition program to be an umbrella under which we can organize on our own principles, carrying out the coalition’s stated goals in the way we think will build the union we need. The coalition program is a (general) vision to which we bring clarity by organizing on our ideals. Defining what is “good enough” in this program has to be the work of in-service members but I do have suggestions as to what should be demanded. The coalition should present itself in positive terms as an alternative to Unity, intent on bringing this change: It aims to democratize the union; we want the UFT to fight for better conditions for all students and teachers in all schools; we demand the UFT protect and enhance the dignity of educators’ labor, which means better pay, pensions, health care, and working conditions, including class size and improved support services. That framework allows us to define “better conditions” in ways that boost organizing for social justice in the schools, supporting work with parents, students, and communities to fight systemic racism, ableism, and other forms of social oppression expressed in school culture, policy, and organization.
I suggest the other, related principle in forming this coalition is that any and all who agree with this program can join us, including those have been longtime supporters of Unity. Unity members need to announce in public that they have joined in the coalition because Unity cannot provide leadership for the union we need, the one our program announces. What about the few respected Unity staff who want to join—or lead—the coalition? Like all members of the coalition, they need to state that they agree the coalition provides leadership the union has not received under Unity, but in addition, people who hold staff positions should be asked to resign all of their paid work for Unity, all of their perks, and return to the classroom, to join in-service members as equals and to run for office from the position of working educators. This is a pre-condition of including them in the coalition, expected before we allow them to run for office on the coalition slate. Stipulating they resign as staff operationalizes a fundamental aspect of union democracy and rank-and file-control which we bring to a transformed UFT: In a democratic union, officers and members are equals, peers, and staff work for members.
In-service UFT members have a chance in the next months to alter the course of education in the New York schools and labor politics in the city. They’ll have a shot at changing New York state politics as well, by democratizing NYSUT. Together with retirees, they can force debate in the AFT that is honest and real about what union members think, want, feel, need. As I see the moment, we are obliged to use all of our energy, intelligence, and passion to defeat Unity in the Spring 2025 election.
Lois Weiner is a UFT retiree elected to the Delegate Assembly on the reform slate of the Retiree Advocate. She is Professor Emerita of education at New Jersey City University and a former career teacher who writes widely about teacher union reform, labor, and education politics. You can follow her on X (@drloisweiner) and find her work at https://loisweiner.net/.
Notes
[1] These are broad claims deserving documentation not in this article. Evidentiary support is in the articles I’ve published in New Politics, most of which are available online. Some early articles that have not been digitized are reprinted in Part 2 of my book, The Future of Our Schools: Teachers Unions and Social Justice. My critical obituary of Shanker suggests reasons for the machine’s ideological character. One irony I don’t explore in this obituary is how the cold warrior/pro-capitalist Shanker replicated characteristics of the ideological iron hand of the US Communist Party in the 1930s. Those characteristics are described in Irving Howe and Lewis Coser, The American Communist Party: A Critical History. In recommending it, I note Julius Jacobson, one of the founding editors of New Politics, was an unacknowledged co-author. Ideas he shared with Howe and Coser shaped the volume.
[2] The UFT leverages its power in NYSUT because of Shanker’s deal with the staff in the New York State affiliate of NEA, which he accomplished bypassing the NEA (and merger talks on the national level) to create NYSUT. The President of NYSUT is from upstate. The Executive Vice President is from the UFT. The real political power in NYSUT is not held by the President but by UFT/Unity, exercised in the Board of Directors. This arrangement was upended only once, when a sitting NYSUT President, Karen E. Magee, who opposed standardized testing and the punitive teacher evaluation policies based on them, was forced out of office after a single term. Her position on testing was included in news reports about revolts among teachers and their unions against policies the UFT/AFT defended nationally — and internationally. According to NYSUT, Magee “opted not to seek a second term,” and was replaced for her second term and another by Andrew Pallotta, a Unity operative. He served while NYSUT and the AFT were deciding how to respond to the uncontainable outrage from members. They did so by modifying their position on teacher evaluations but not standardized testing per se.
[4] There is no proportional representation in the UFT elections. Although the ballot allows members to check 800 individual names, voting for officers is overwhelmingly by slate. Even if 49 percent of the votes go to a reform caucus, all positions on the ballot go to the winner. Another element that solidifies Unity’s control is that all delegates on the Unity slate must pledge to vote for Unity’s positions at all times or be ejected from the caucus.
[6] Its first meeting, held in late August with Zoom, was organized to train the newly-elected delegates. Close to 200 of the 300 delegates participated. To reinforce the importance of DA attendance, one caucus officer noted last year’s DA defeated a motion to increase the ridiculously low dental benefits paid by the union Welfare Fund, which hoards millions of dollars in reserve. The motion failed by a few votes. Retirees, who like active members receive these abysmal reimbursements, asked in the chat “Can we reverse that with our votes this year?” The answer is, of course, yes. In the Zoom one could almost see mental lightbulbs lit as delegates considered what other changes might be possible with the reformed chapter’s votes at the DA.
The party fell into the trap set for it by Israel, through its insistence on continuing to exchange fire with it “until a ceasefire in Gaza”, while it became clear that the weight of the battle was shifting from the wracked Strip to Lebanon.
Last week, we wondered “whether the sudden escalation in what we called the ‘Israeli strategy of intimidation’ is paving the way for a full-scale aggression against Lebanon that would include indiscriminate heavy bombing of all areas where Hezbollah is present, including the densely populated southern suburb of Beirut”. This led us to another question: will US President Biden “pressure Netanyahu firmly enough to prevent war… or will he once again go along with his friend’s criminal endeavour, even if accompanied by an expression of regret and resentment meant to deflect the blame in his and his Secretary of State Blinken’s usual hypocritical way?” (“Strategic Reflections on the Escalation of Israeli Intimidation in Lebanon”, 24/9/2024).
The answer to these two interconnected questions was not long in coming: the Israeli ministry of Aggression (falsely called ministry of “Defence”) announced last Wednesday that its director general received a new aid package worth $8.7 billion during his visit to the US military command at the Pentagon. The ministry commented on the matter by saying that it confirms “the strong and enduring strategic partnership between Israel and the United States and the ironclad commitment to Israel’s security”. Two days later, on Friday night, the current onslaught by the Zionist armed forces on Hezbollah culminated in the assassination of the party’s Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah and a number of its leaders, completing what turned out to be a systematic decapitation of the organization after having sabotaged its communications network, in preparation for new steps on the path to a comprehensive onslaught on the party’s areas, which have so far included intensive, concentrated bombardment and the gradual expansion of a ground invasion that Israeli sources claim will remain “limited”.
Thus, it becomes clear that the US administration’s call for a three-week ceasefire between Hezbollah and the Zionist state, which was issued after French prompting and announced in conjunction with Paris, was not sincere at all, as it was not accompanied by any actual US pressure. It is worth noting in this regard that the Washington Post published an investigation last Wednesday that showed that opinions regarding the ceasefire differed within the Biden administration, with some of its members seeing in the Israeli military escalation “a potentially effective means of degrading the Lebanese militant group”. The administration’s response to Hassan Nasrallah’s assassination, starting with Biden himself, was to applaud and praise the operation, describing it as “a measure of justice” by branding Hezbollah and its Secretary-General as terrorists. This reaction confirmed Washington’s total military and political complicity in the ongoing onslaught against Lebanon after its blatant complicity in the ongoing genocidal war in Gaza.
The Biden administration’s hypocrisy reached a new low with this, since labelling the Lebanese party as a terrorist organization is in stark contrast to the negotiations it has been conducting with it for several months, seeking what it called a “diplomatic solution” to the conflict between it and the Zionist state. How could Washington negotiate with a “terrorist group”, through the mediation of Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, Hezbollah’s political (but not military) ally, and seek a diplomatic settlement with such a group? Not to mention that there is no type of act that could be described as terrorist that the Zionist state has not committed with an intensity and murderous brutality that surpass everything that Washington has described and continues to describe as terrorist (ignoring what it itself has committed, of course).
Here is once again, after the genocidal war in Gaza, a malicious justification for a war aiming at the eradication of a mass organization that has several elected MPs and oversees a large civilian quasi-state apparatus, by branding it as a whole as terrorist, without even distinguishing between its military wing and its civilian institutions. In contrast to the case of Hamas, whose Operation “Al-Aqsa Flood” was widely exploited to stick that label to it, Hezbollah under the leadership of Hassan Nasrallah did not carry out any act that could be described as terrorist in the sense of deliberately attacking Israeli or US civilians or non-combatants. They therefore recalled the 1983 attacks that targeted the US embassy, and US and French troops participating in the “Multinational Force” in Lebanon, and even attributed these attacks to Hassan Nasrallah, who was not in the party’s leadership at the time and was only 23 years old! In fact, Nasrallah supervised the party’s transformation towards engaging in Lebanese political life by taking part in parliamentary elections for the first time in 1992, the year he assumed the position of Secretary-General.
Last week, we described how Hezbollah’s calculation in waging a limited battle against Israel in support for Gaza had begun to backfire on it, as it found itself “trapped in mutual, but unequal, deterrence” with the Zionist army. The truth is that the party fell into the trap set for it by Israel, through its insistence on continuing to exchange fire with it “until a ceasefire in Gaza”, while it became clear that the weight of the battle was shifting from the wracked Strip to Lebanon. It would have been more appropriate for the party to publicly announce its acceptance of the French-US call for a three-week ceasefire (especially since it was in dire need of catching its breath and restoring its leadership apparatus after its communications network was blown up) and a cessation of military operations on its part, which would have been an embarrassment to the Zionist government and would have exposed it to intense international pressure urging it to follow suit.
Recent days have made it clear that Hezbollah’s perception of “mutual deterrence” between it and the Zionist state did not sufficiently take into account the unequal nature of this deterrence (a miscalculation similar to Hamas’s, albeit much less serious), and that its perception of the commitment of its sponsor in Tehran to defending it was also illusory, as Iran responded to the repeated attacks that Israel has been launching directly against it only once, last April, and in a manner that was almost more symbolic than harmful.
It seems that Hezbollah has confirmed its willingness to return to implementing UN Security Council Resolution 1701 of 2006, which calls for the withdrawal of its forces to the north of the Litani River, thus acknowledging the imbalance of power between it and the Zionist state and accepting the condition that was imposed on it through US mediation. This willingness was confirmed by the Lebanese caretaker Prime Minister, Najib Mikati, following his meeting with Nabih Berri. It is therefore worth wondering about the utility of insisting on continuing to fight until a ceasefire is reached in Gaza, thus giving the Zionist government a pretext to further escalate its onslaught against Lebanon and against Hezbollah in particular.
Translated from the Arabic original published by Al-Quds al-Arabi on the 1st of October 2024. Feel free to republish or publish in other languages, with mention of the source.
As the U.S. election nears, there is considerable controversy, confusion, consternation, and sometimes recrimination on the left. But most of all, there is a lot of anguish over the terrible choices we have. Here we offer our take on the situation. Our basic view is that in swing states—where the outcome is not a foregone conclusion—it is crucial to cast ballots for Kamala Harris as a means of defeating Donald Trump. A Trump victory would be catastrophic in terms of the future of democracy, climate change, reproductive and LGBTQ rights, racial justice, immigration, labor rights, and a host of other issues. A Trump victory would also empower rightwing zealots on the state and local level, who want to do such things as monitor menstrual cycles and mandate the incorporation of the Bible into school lesson plans.
Why is Trump’s threat to democracy so worrying? We had four years of him before, amid dire warnings, and we survived that.
Last time around Trump was blocked from carrying out many of the policies that he and his most aggressive acolytes favored. The blocking came from courts, from his own vice president and top officials, and from the government bureaucracy. But this time, Trump faces a judiciary headed by a Supreme Court with a rightwing majority (half chosen by him) that has already given him “presumptive immunity” for any official acts he might carry out as president. He has learned from his mistake of choosing a vice president who was not 100% submissive, this time choosing the supine JD Vance as his running mate. And one can be sure that this time he will not appoint “adults in the room” as his cabinet officers and leading officials. More, Project 2025, which advances a thoroughly reactionary and even fascistic agenda, includes, for example, a plan to remove government officials from civil service protections and hire in their place thousands of MAGA advocates to staff his administration. (Trump claims no knowledge of Project 2025, despite having declared at the Heritage Foundation’s kick off of the project, “this is a great group. And they’re going to lay the groundwork and detail plans for exactly what our movement will do and what your movement will do when the American people give us a colossal mandate to save America….”) So when Trump says that he will be a dictator (“on day one”) and emphasizes retribution, we should believe him.
But hasn’t Harris been retreating from one progressive position after another?
She has. Distressingly, she has been running to the center, trying to secure wavering moderate voters rather than addressing the real needs of the American people. Nevertheless, even in their most centrist incarnation, her positions are qualitatively better than Trump’s. She has reversed herself on fracking, but her commitment to the environment—which activists have rightly warned is on a precipice—is light years ahead of Trump’s, who considers climate change a hoax, believes in “drill, baby, drill,” and withdrew the United States from the Paris Climate Agreement (reversed by Biden). Does anyone doubt that immigrants will be treated more humanely under Harris than under those who are trying to fan race war in Springfield, Ohio? Which candidate will better champion reproductive rights? Or protect transgender rights? Or labor rights? It is no surprise that the overwhelming majority of organizations advocating for the environment, immigration rights, labor unions, reproductive rights, racial justice, and gun control are supporting Harris. And as Harris supporters, these groups will be far better able to influence Harris in a positive direction on any of these issues than to influence Trump.
What about post-election activism? Does it matter whether Harris or Trump becomes President?
Yes, in two main ways. First, Trump would be far more aggressive than Harris in reacting to protests and would encourage local police to be far more repressive. Trump would implicitly, and maybe even explicitly, welcome citizen vigilantes to violently repress resistance in a throwback to the days of the “hard hat riots” against anti-war protestors in 1970, or even to KKK tactics against anti-racist organizers—or worse.
For example: In 2020, one week after the start of the Black Lives Matter protests, Trump “strongly recommended” that every governor deploy the National Guard to “dominate the streets.” If states or cities refuse to act, he said, “then I will deploy the U.S. military and quickly solve the problem for them.” Trump declared, “when the looting starts, the shooting starts.” And when demonstrators were protesting around the White House, Trump said to his Secretary of Defense: “Can’t you just shoot them?Just shoot them in the legs or something?” To be sure, he didn’t carry this out, but after Trump removes the obstacles to his will, what happens next time?
In November 2023, Trump said about immigrant rights activists: “For any radical left charity, non-profit, or so called aid organizations supporting these caravans and illegal aliens, we will prosecute them for their participation in human trafficking, child smuggling, and every other crime we can find.”
Trump called pro-Palestine activists “raging lunatics.” “To every college president, I say remove the encampments immediately.” After police were called onto the Columbia campus and protesters were roughly cleared out of a building, Trump said “It was a beautiful thing to watch. New York’s finest.” “Any student that protests,” he stated, “I throw them out of the country. You know, there are a lot of foreign students. As soon as they hear that, they’re going to behave.” Trump assured wealthy donors, “if you get me reelected, we’re going to set that movement back 25 or 30 years.” In the meantime, Trump allies in Congress have called on the IRS to revoke the tax-exempt status of many organizations, including American Muslims for Palestine, Students for Justice in Palestine, Jewish Voice for Peace, the Adalah Justice Project, and the Palestinian Youth Movement.
There’s a second reason that the election matters for activism. Imagine it is Election Day plus one. You wake up. Harris has won. Movements are eager to pursue positive aims they have been elaborating. There is no honeymoon for Harris, there is activism for society. The focus of protest is government, the two parties, racism, sexism, corporations, international relations, Israel’s widening war and attacks on Palestinians, and global warming. The overriding concern is attaining progressive gains and moving toward implementing still more progressive gains, and then more.
Compare that with waking up after Election Day and finding that Trump has won. Racism surges. Sexism explodes. People of good will are shell-shocked. Movements scramble to find voices to oppose a drastic shift rightward. Activists battle to preserve what, with Harris in office, they would have tried to go beyond. The focus of protest is Trump, his policies, and repression. Positive aspirations are back-burnered by the urgency to prevent gruesome reaction and even fascist violence. The overriding concern is survival, repelling reaction, and getting back to what is remembered as the relative sanity, albeit objective criminality, of Biden/Harris.
Under a Trump presidency, we will be fighting from day one to prevent the loss of our rights. Under a Harris presidency, we will be fighting from day one to expand our rights.
If we assume that Trump is a hell of a lot more evil than Harris, what should we do: try to stop the greater evil or avoid supporting the lesser evil?
Here is how this concern is generally broached: We have to do one or the other but not both. But why can’t we work to stop the greater evil without uncritically supporting the lesser evil? Is there fear that we will jettison our broader beliefs and commitments to be, what, loyal? Can’t one want Trump to lose and so vote for Harris to win (because if she doesn’t win, Trump will), but, at the same time, understand that Harris and the Democratic Party are not tribunes of the people, but huge obstacles to justice, equity, peace, and all that we favor? And if Democrats win, can’t we remember that our job is not to cozy up to them, but to critique and oppose them, to force them into choices they would not otherwise make? We believe we can. We think everyone who puts forth this concern can. Why do some doubt that?
But how can one vote for Harris given the Biden-Harris complicity in Israel’s genocidal violence again Palestinians?
The Biden-Harris policy on Palestine is indeed vile. The U.S. government is financing, arming, providing intelligence to, cheerleading, providing diplomatic support for, and otherwise abetting the spreading slaughter. For many leftists this is a bridge too far. One can talk all one wants about lesser and greater evils, but how can one be asked to vote for genocide? What is more evil than that?
But we are not being asked to participate in a referendum on genocide. (“Raise your hand if you are in favor of genocide.”) Rather we are asked to determine the occupant of the White House, which may offer different degrees of horrors for Palestinians (and Lebanon and the world). By refusing to choose, we may help consign Palestinians to their worst possible fate rather than their second worst possible fate. One might sneer at the difference, but to those living through it, the difference is rather significant.
On every aspect of the Palestine conflict, Trump is at least as vile as Biden-Harris, and often much worse. Yes, Harris’s expressed sympathy for Palestinians is just words in the absence of real actions to stop their being slaughtered. But Trump uses the word “Palestinian” as a slur. Yes, the Biden-Harris one-time suspension of 2000-pound bomb deliveries was meaningless in the face of the otherwise uninterrupted flow of arms. But Trump denounced the suspension as a betrayal and vowed to give Israel what it needed. Yes, Harris’s call for a two-state solution, with dignity and self-determination for Palestinians, bears tenuous connection to reality, but Trump rejects the two-state solution—and not because he favors a single democratic state. He recognized Israel’s annexation of the Golan, moved the US Embassy to Jerusalem, and declared Israeli settlements legal. We can compare the likely impacts of Harris and Trump by noting that Itamar Ben-Gvir, Israel’s fascist minister of national security, has endorsed Donald Trump. We note as well that the “Uncommitted” campaign declined to endorse Harris because of her Gaza position, but it also stated, “We must block Donald Trump, which is why we urge Uncommitted voters to vote against him and avoid third-party candidates that could inadvertently boost his chances.”
But even if none of these differences mattered, there is another question. Would uncompromising pro-Palestinian activism be more likely to have an impact on policy with Harris as president or with Trump? The argument that support for Palestine would be less effective with Harris as President rests on the idea that critics would be less willing to make demands of and demonstrate against Harris than they would against Trump. But pro-Palestine advocates have not been shy in the past year. Why would joy over stopping Trump morph into passivity regarding Harris? As you read this, do you think that would happen for you?
Yes, there are many wealthy Zionists backing Harris. But the wealthy Zionists backing Trump are even more reactionary. Harris will be presiding over a party 83% of whose supporters want a ceasefire, compared to 56% for Trump; only 47% of Democrats have a favorable view of Israel compared to 77% of Republicans. So, there is a greater potential to sway Harris than Trump.
But couldn’t a victory of the greater evil hasten progressive change?
Going backward to go forward can make sense when retreat is a shortcut that leaps ahead. But a path forward from a Trump-led society would—at best—lead right back to some Democrat, maybe even Harris herself. It would entail postponing progress for four or more years, and also the massive pain that a Trump administration would impose on many people, not to mention the delay in addressing global warming and all the consequences of that.
Has any labor organizer ever wished owners would cut salaries or worsen conditions so that labor can leap forward? Has any anti-war organizer, feminist organizer, anti-racist organizer, climate organizer, or other organizer called upon the establishment to make things much worse in order to arrive at much better? Of course not, and for good reason.
But didn’t the neoliberal Democratic Party pave the way for Trump, and wouldn’t having more liberals in office due to electing Harris lead to more “Trumps” later?
Yes, Democratic Party policies, particularly paying little attention to the declining income, increasing alienation, worsening health care, and even the plummeting lifespan of white working people have aided Trump’s rise, as has the Democrat’s unwillingness to comprehend and relate to working class issues in a sincere fashion. (Though, truth be told, leftists too have been comparably unsuccessful at reaching out to alienated angry white working-class constituencies, contributing to Trump’s rise.)
And yes, having Harris in office with no effective opposition to force better policies and develop lasting movements, could lead to a still worse and still more effective “Trump” running in the future, particularly if Harris in office were to effectively ignore or denigrate working class people, leaving them feeling even more estranged and angry than now.
But who proposes that scenario? And why should we expect it? If Harris wins, she will immediately confront an electorate and especially an activist community that will fight for change. Inside her own Party she will face a seriously divided base in which many, if not most, lean somewhat left and favor developing programs that benefit the working class.
On the other hand, if Trump wins, he will operate in a Party that backs his most aggressive choices, is utterly disdainful of all opposition, and is also hell-bent on delivering a worse “Trump” later.
It is relevant to note that Hitler surely arose from the terrible failures of the German capitalist and social democratic parties to deal with the Depression, but that doesn’t mean it was sensible for leftists to refuse an alliance with the social democrats to stop Hitler.
So what approach to voting do you recommend?
We recommend strategic lesser-evil voting. This means you vote in light of the implications of your choice for the future. It means, also, that you look not only at the short and long-term consequences for human well-being of each candidate winning, but also at the likelihood of each candidate winning. It means you consider, as well, the impact on yourself, not on how you feel at the moment, but on your ongoing capacities and inclinations.
Strategic lesser-evil voting means looking at the likely overall benefit and harms of casting your vote in a particular state for Harris versus the overall benefit and harm of abstaining or casting your vote in that state for a third-party candidate with no chance of winning. If polling in a state shows a close race between Harris and Trump, then a really small number of additional votes could determine which of the two candidates gets all the state’s electoral votes. On the other hand, if polls show that the race is not close, then a strategic lesser-evil voter can vote for the Greens or any other third party or abstain without impacting the Presidential outcome.
What is the impact on the Green Party of Green supporters voting for Harris or for Jill Stein in contested states? Suppose the Greens were to put all their energies into safe-state campaigning; they could win nearly as many and perhaps even many more overall votes, especially since they wouldn’t lose the support of safe-state voters who considered an all-states campaign irresponsible. But even if the Greens lost some votes by declining to campaign for presidential votes in contested states, the impact of these lost presidential votes on future Green prospects would be quite modest. And why wouldn’t Greens who vote for Harris emerge from the voting booth with the same views they would have had if their state had been safe and they had voted for Stein? Why wouldn’t they work just as hard for Green policy positions in either case? And if Trump went on to lose, great—but, in the horrible event that Trump won, Greens would not be called the cause of it, with disastrous results for the Party.
So even ignoring implications of a Trump victory for the country and the world, Greens would at most be marginally hurt by promoting a safe state strategy, and they might even benefit from doing so. And, of course, we should never ignore implications for others.
Some will argue further that there are three reasons why it also makes sense to vote for Harris in safe states: 1. To increase her popular vote, which may be a factor in deterring and resisting post-election challenges and even coups. 2. To communicate to the Greens and others that they will alienate safe state voters if they continue to campaign in swing states. 3. In the event of a Trump Electoral College victory, the biggest Harris popular vote margin would aid the campaign for a National Popular Vote. Our own mixed reaction to this argument reflects the difficulty of assessing the relevant costs and benefits. What is not difficult to assess, however, is that for Jill Stein or Cornel West to seek votes in contested states is not a good way to build the left. It won’t build the left any more now than it has in the past, and it may have horribly harmful consequences.
But if we’re always committed to lesser-evil voting, won’t that mean we’re always going to be voting for a reactionary capitalist party and therefore the development of an alternative will be impossible?
If all we do is vote every four years, then no matter how we vote, we will never get major change. What is crucial is whether we build effective movements to generate sufficient support for change throughout society to not only win changes in many realms but to carry a really worthy candidate into contention, and then to victory, whether in a mainstream party, as Sanders attempted, or in a third party. And what determines that is overwhelmingly what we are doing other than voting, like the work of Occupy, Black Lives Matter, MeToo, the poor people’s campaigns, pro-Palestine activism, climate organizing, labor organizing, and so many other projects. But it depends as well on whether our periodic voting creates conditions conducive to activist progress, and on whether our third-party work locally creates a steadily enlarging base.
Consider progressives and leftists in safe states who generally support strategic lesser-evil voting and who think the gain from more Harris votes is smaller than the benefit of more votes for Stein in those safe states. These progressives and leftists can vote their preference without concern that they will aid Trump. In contested states, however, lesser-evil votes for Harris will further the prospects for Greens by contributing to stopping Trump. In contrast, if progressives in contested states reject voting for Harris and it turns out that Trump wins, they would have helped consign people to four years of Trump and also impeded prospects for Green gains under the ensuing Trump administration.
But doesn’t advocating lesser-evil voting mean one doesn’t care about the long term and that one has, as some commentators suggest, abandoned one’s left values?
It can mean or lead to that, but we very explicitly propose and favor full revolutionary alternatives to existing political, economic, and social systems. Nonetheless, and even because of that, we also think voting for Harris in contested states will help block Trump’s horrible agenda and, in that way, simultaneously improve the prospects for greater activism to come.
We have the lesser-evil inclination in this election not because we are suddenly inexplicably beholden to the powers and institutions we have fought against for decades, nor because we have lost our nerve, nor our way, nor because we have disavowed our clear and fundamental desires for new institutions, but because we have for all our adult lives sought and will keep on seeking long term transformation of our society. We simply are convinced that in our country’s current circumstance, lesser-evil voting in contested states aids the struggle against wealth, power, racism, and misogyny at home and support of unjust war and oppression abroad.
Does refusing to vote for Harris even in contested states mean one doesn’t care about the well-being of constituencies that will suffer more under Trump than under Harris?
Callousness or ignorance of consequences can play a role, but we don’t assume that all or even most who refuse to vote for Harris even in contested states while agreeing that Trump is the far greater evil are callous or ignorant of consequences. Rather, we believe that many progressive and leftists, whom we respect, feel a tremendous urgency to transcend not just neoliberal policies, but the whole political, economic, and social system we currently endure, and that they just don’t want to—and would indeed feel sick to the core to—pull a lever that seems to ratify all that they justifiably despise.
The problem is, even with all these fully warranted and admirable feelings causing their refusal, the refusal itself could elect Trump and unleash horrifically worse outcomes on many, many people, and arguably on the whole species.
Does anyone believe a progressive, leftist, or revolutionary who pulls the lever for Harris in a contested state must in any way suffer diminished ability to fight on? Why can’t we hold our nose, cast our vote, and then go right back to the struggle for a new society? Why can’t we stop Trump and also build new political, organizational, and movement alternatives?
But isn’t voting for Harris a slippery slope? First you resolve to vote for her, then you don’t want to criticize her before the election (for fear you’ll help the greater evil), then you tone down your criticism of her after the election (because you’ll be helping some greater evil defeat her four years later)…
We all like to feel good about ourselves and we all at times rationalize our choices. But even so, this trajectory is not inevitable. We can vote for Harris while indicating we do not support her and that we will oppose her, and we can then do just that.
Indeed, if the overwhelming message of leftists in talks and writing in the coming weeks is that we should vote strategically and also fight on, it is hard to see why pulling the lever for Harris in a contested state should interfere with that voter becoming one of Harris’s most steadfast and effective opponents, or, for that matter, with that voter becoming one of the Green Party’s most steadfast and effective supporters and participants.
But I want to vote my conscience.
So should we all. But why isn’t part of voting our consciences taking into account the impact of our choice on the well-being of others and on future organizing?
But isn’t it harmful to vote based on fear rather than positive program?
It would be great if we had nothing to fear and the only question before us was which of various progressive programs we most wanted to positively support. But how can we not be fearful of climate catastrophe or nuclear war or mass deportations or racist and fascist violence or misogynistic culture, or widening income disparities?
Regrettably, we need to focus on both offense and defense. We need to advance positive programs while, by our vote in swing states, we block our most feared outcomes.
Isn’t it true that I don’t owe my vote to anyone, that politicians are not entitled to it, they need to earn it?
You are not voting as a favor or a reward to a candidate. You are not voting for a candidate because you think they are admirable; you may indeed abhor them. You are voting so as to benefit oppressed communities and enhance prospects for more benefits to come. A candidate may be totally unworthy of your support, but if voting for them lessens the dangers of climate catastrophe or mass deportations or the squelching of democracy, then it makes sense to vote for them. If voting for them provides the greatest opportunity for activism to win more positive change, then it makes sense to vote for them.
But Trump’s not going to win…
Pundits on the left and elsewhere have consistently underestimated Trump’s prospects. Today the polls are very tight, and it would be reckless to assume that Harris’s victory is a foregone conclusion. If, in early November, it is clear—taking into account the unreliability of the polls—that Trump has no chance of winning, then one can vote for a third party or abstain everywhere. If it is clear that some state that was previously considered up for grabs was now decisively in one column or another, voters there could likewise vote for a third party or abstain without concern.
A related claim is that it is unlikely that our votes will cause Trump to win. Obviously, the odds of any one vote making the difference in the election are infinitesimally small. But when swing states have been carried by far fewer votes than those cast for the Greens, when polls show that third parties are getting more votes than the difference between Harris and Trump, the danger of affecting the outcome is very real.
Isn’t it true that most of the people who vote for the Greens were not going to vote for a Democrat anyway?
Perhaps some would have voted for Trump though that seems highly unlikely, but some might have stayed home. In any case, isn’t it the obligation of a progressive third party to encourage its supporters to do what will yield the greatest social benefit? Is the prospect of getting 1.1 percent rather than 1.0 percent of the popular vote for a third party more important in terms of social benefit than what could be the difference between Harris or Trump winning?
The bottom line is, if you agree that Harris is the lesser of the evils, then a vote for her in a contested state, rather than for a third party, could have a dramatic effect on human well-being now and into the future.
Why are the Democrats more hostile to the Greens than the Republicans are?
The Democrats have tried hard to restrict votes for the Greens. Republicans, on the other hand, have done what they can to help the Greens get on as many state ballots as possible. The reason isn’t a mystery. It’s because everyone understands that the Greens take more votes from Harris than from Trump. As Trump explained, “Jill Stein, I like her very much. You know why? She takes 100% from [Democrats].” And that’s why we see reports such as the one in the Wall Street Journal that “some Republicans are supporting Green Party candidate Jill Stein’s long-shot bid for the presidency, attempting to bolster a campaign that could siphon liberal voters from Vice President Kamala Harris.” It is why right-wing lawyers have gone to work for Stein.
Needless to say, the GOP enthusiasm for Stein does not indicate a commitment to Green values or to third parties. They have worked hard to keep rightwing third parties off the ballot, while the Democrats have tried to help such parties.
Since the dilemma that voting for a third party might help your least favorite candidate win—the “spoiler” effect—could be solved by using ranked choice voting (RCV) or some such alternative, shouldn’t the blame for third party votes causing a Trump victory be laid at the doorstep of the major parties (who insist on plurality voting) rather than on third party voters?
RCV doesn’t necessarily solve the problem. Those who say they are voting for a third party because they can’t in good conscience vote for the lesser evil may well refuse to indicate a second choice on their ballot, thus still leading to the spoiler effect. But, in any event, blame can be shared. That the major parties are in part responsible for the spoiler effect doesn’t mean that those who vote for a third party in a swing state are not also morally responsible for the potentially awful outcome.
Even if one agrees that individually voting for Harris in a swing state is important, does that mean we should use scarce resources—time and money—to support Harris when these might be used instead for building the left?
The choice of either participating in the election or building the movement is a false dichotomy. For most people, participating in the election is just a question of taking an hour or so to go to the polling place to vote or to fill out a ballot and mail it. Even for those who decide to work for Harris, this may not take you away from your movement building, because you may be working with people in your environmental, women’s, LGBTQ, Black, or Latino movement or from your labor union. You may, through such a campaign, make new relationships and deepen the ones you have. But even if you gave up two months of putting time and energy into your movement work, it will still be there after November 5 when you return to it. Most of our movements are not so flimsy and feeble as to die in two months’ time.
There are obvious tradeoffs here that will depend on how effective one believes their investment of time and money will be in achieving a Harris victory or achieving left advancement. To take the two extremes, if you could use all your time between now and election day to sway the opinion of two swing voters who would flip the election—that would be an incredibly productive use of your time even in terms of helping the left (given how much better the left will fare under Harris than Trump). On the other hand, a $10 donation or really any donation from you to the Harris campaign that has already received gazillions of dollars will have no impact at all.
Every one of us is in a different situation, so there’s no fixed answer. We are writing this article on the election, rather than on some other left topic, because we believe that our potential impact in swaying progressive voters in swing states where the polls are very tight is a worthwhile use of our time. Others will have to draw their own conclusions based on their specific circumstances.
Sometimes there are opportunities to use one’s resources in a way that both builds the left and increases the chances of defeating Trump. For example, those with money to donate might consider Movement Voter PAC (http://movement.vote), which provides support to grassroots organizations engaged in local voter engagement. Similarly, those giving time to winning votes for Harris and/or removing votes from Trump, may seek to simultaneously raise broader issues.
What is most important, post election? Is it left unity? Is it who is president? Is it what new organizations and activism we have put in place to go forward? Is it successful outreach to wider and deeper constituencies?
All four are important. Efforts at progressive change in the United States cannot succeed, long or short term, unless all who favor these ends work together in a spirit of mutual aid. So we need left unity, and we have to be trying for it, not assaulting one another, even as we seek other gains as well.
Aside from affecting many people’s lives today, who is president empowers various views, establishes context, and also affects government responses to dissent. Will activists have to primarily fight against policies that seek to move us back in time, or will activists be able to focus on positive aspirations linked to long-term aims?
Change depends on the levels of activism and organization we have in place and the width and depth of our support, and these in turn depend on the extent to which we develop organization and activism as opposed to only immersing ourselves in seeking vote tallies. So, while we work to generate unity, and to expand popular support including from those who most disagree with us, Trump’s voters, and to prevent a Trump presidency, we need to also build new organizations that can sustain activism in the years ahead.
What is Trump’s appeal to white working-class people? How might it best be addressed? Why address it?
Trump partly creates and appeals to illegitimate racist and sexist fears, but he also appeals to legitimate though misdirected concerns about severely worsening life conditions.
Republicans cater to business owners and try to win over workers with lies, posturing, fear of terrorism, and racism/sexism, and anti-immigrant hysteria. Democrats serve business owners, cater to what might be called empowered employees, and try to modestly accommodate workers within system limits to gain their votes.
Not believing campaign speeches, people often vote for whom they feel understands their situation better. But if many of Trump’s working-class supporters are not supporting him because they want him and others like him to get even more disgustingly rich at working people’s expense, if they are not supporting him because he is a real estate tycoon, if they are not supporting him because he is abominably racist and sexist, then perhaps they are supporting him because he appears to them unafraid to say what he thinks. He is not polished and academic. He seems to talk straight. He does not appear to be the kind of person who looks down on workers and who day to day constantly exerts direct power over them.
If so, progressives need to speak directly to Trump’s supporters, to acknowledge their pain and respect their anger and to provide real but also believable policy answers to their concerns. This is both because it is right, and because future progress depends on enlarging progressive support. To stop Trump includes reaching out to his voters, roughly half the voting population.
What might a person seeking a comprehensive revolution in U.S. institutions do at a time like this? What ought such a person not do?
There are countless possible answers as to what one might usefully do in these times. Try to preserve and enlarge the momentum that has developed from past efforts to date, while we also ensure that Trump loses. Work to create new organizations. Work to develop and spread a revolutionary vision and consistent program feeding into that vision. Reach out to wider and wider circles of people, in particular those who do not yet support change. Support diverse movements and seek to mutually align them into larger endeavors.
As to what not to do, of course, that too has many answers, but the most germane might be—don’t escalate time-bound differences into hostile disputes and then into dismissals of allies and potential allies.
Marine Le Pen, leader of the far-right Rassemblement Nationale. Now, the choice of a Prime Minister depends on the goodwill of the far right!
On 9 June, Emmanuelle Macron unexpectedly decided to dissolve the National Assembly, just as the Rassemblement Nationale (far-right National Rally party of Marine Le Pen) was gaining momentum. Three weeks later, the results of the first round of voting were unequivocal: the parties of the presidential bloc were crushed, and in the second round the National Rally could hope to win an absolute majority of seats in Parliament, or at least be the largest party. (The French electoral system uses two rounds of voting. If no candidate gets an absolute majority in the first round, the names of the top candidates go to a second round. The one with the most votes in the second round wins).
These hopes were dashed. After the second round, the far right ended up in third place, behind the Nouveau Front populaire (the New People’s Front formed by parties of the broad Left) and the presidential party.
The electorate wanted neither Macronism nor the National Rally in the corridors of power. Today, thanks to Macron, it has both. It took him eight weeks to choose a prime minister: Michel Barnier, a member of Les Républicains party, which won only 5% of the vote. He had previously negotiated this appointment with Marine Le Pen, to ensure that she would not immediately table a vote of no confidence against him. Madame agreed… conditionally.
Now, the choice of a prime minister depends on the goodwill of the far right!
Government and parliamentary crisis
The new parliament (577 MPs) is even more fragmented than the previous one:
The New People’s Front (NFP) came first, by a slim margin, with approximately 193 seats. It includes four main parties: the Greens, La France Insoumise (LFI), the Communist Party (PCF), and the Socialist Party (PS), and allies. But it was also supported by a vast mobilisation of trade unions and associations. By convention, the president first asks the largest group to present a candidate for Prime Minister. Macron could easily have respected this, betting that an NFP government would be brought down by a vote of no confidence. But he preferred instead to send a political message: the NFP’s questioning of Macron’s neoliberal measures was out of the question.
The ‘presidential camp’ got 168 seats, down from its previous 250. This “presidential majority” suffered an electoral disaster. With the next presidential election on the horizon, disunity and rival ambitions are becoming the norm (Macron cannot stand for a third term).
Les Républicains, the former governing party of the traditional right, is now only the fifth largest party (43 seats). Some members left to the National Rally. Now that the prime minister, chosen by Macron (and tolerated by the National Rally), belongs to their party, they are demanding full implementation of their programme! But Michel Barnier, as prime minister, will have to work with Macron’s party and assert some independence from Les Républicains.
The National Rally, with 143 seats, had a mixed result. Although far from what it had hoped, it almost doubled its number of MPs. This doubles its financial resources, as well as various parliamentary privileges.
No stable majority is in sight; new legislative elections cannot be held before June 2025.
Democratic crisis: marching towards a new authoritarianism
The constitution of the Fifth Republic is one of the most undemocratic in Western Europe. But this is not enough for Macron and the proponents of neoliberalism. The previous (minority) government had already distorted and abused an article of the Constitution (49.3) which allows a law to be passed without a vote, to legislate pension reform. This was rejected by 90% of active workers, by all unions, and by parliament. Millions of people took to the streets to oppose it. But the government remained inflexible, hoping to crush the will to resist.
This denial of democracy has become natural, a given, for a whole ‘social elite’ that has taken it upon itself to ensure the direct domination of capital over society. It is dismantling the social gains achieved in the aftermath of World War II and after May 1968. It is transferring all profitable activities to the private sector, while leaving the unprofitable ones to the public sector. And it is marginalising “intermediary bodies” (trade unions…), sites of counter-power—and more.
France’s surveillance society is one of the most developed in Western Europe. The powers of the security services have been reinforced. The police are militarised. The army is playing an increasing role inside the country. A shadowy centre of governance has been established. The environmental movement has been criminalised. The influence of dominant ideology is growing. Civil, social, and environmental rights are being curtailed. A preventive civil war apparatus is being put in place.
The regime crisis
The constitution was designed to protect those in power from any social or political disruption. It provides the framework for the hyper-presidential system driven by Emmanuel Macron. In the process, he is breaking the balance that has allowed this regime to endure: between the presidency and parliament, between the state and capital, between repression and reform… Convention dictated that, if millions of people protested, parliament, even a Gaullist one, would give something in return. That understanding is now over.
We are changing regimes. Macron has embarked on what many analysts call a “conservative revolution”, but in a chaotic manner. The National Rally fits into the same dynamic: the “confrontation-cooperation” combination we are witnessing is not accidental.
The formation of the NFP, and the unexpected success of its electoral campaign, have rekindled hope. But we know that this is only a reprieve. The rise of the National Rally continues, and the dynamic of popular mobilisation remains fragile.
A new opportunity for the Left?
The formation of the NFP, and the unexpected success of its electoral campaign, have rekindled hope. But we know that this is only a reprieve. The rise of the National Rally continues, and the dynamic of popular mobilisation remains fragile, but the time gained can be put to good use. After the summer holidays and the Olympic Games, the autumn began with demonstrations in France, on 7 September, against Barnier’s appointment (around 30,000 in Paris, mostly young militants). More are expected.
The unity in the NFP has been maintained, though not without crises and disputes that demoralised grassroots activists in June and again in September, with a violent polemic between François Ruffin, who left the LFI, and Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s staff. Such posturing is unwelcome. Unity is a struggle, but how it is pursued matters.
The initial success of the NFP was due, in part, to four factors: the state of emergency caused by the National Rally threat; the Left’s history of unity; decisive pressure from mobilisation of trade unions and popular organisations in favour of political unity; and the fact that the dissolution of parliament meant that there was little contestation over constituencies.
The political spectrum in the NFP was broad. All non-sectarian components of the far Left were able to join and campaign. On the right flank, former President François Hollande invited himself into the elections, and was elected under the NFP banner.
The Socialist Party, the Communist Party, and the Greens had all suffered resounding electoral defeats, although they have regained some momentum by displaying a ‘left’ profile. Conversely, LFI’s image was tarnished when its leader, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, excluded several outgoing MPs who had shown too much independence. Despite this, five of them were re-elected under the NFP banner, against Mélenchonist candidates. The purge was deeply resented in left-wing activist circles, and the defeat sounded a warning for Mélenchon.
Several well-known LFI MPs have denounced the lack of democracy in LFI, which continues to face internal criticism on this issue. The movement has managed to build an electoral base in popular neighbourhoods and suburbs by bringing abstentionists (often Muslims) to the polls. It has consistently advocated a programme of breaking with the neoliberal order (while prioritising state geopolitics internationally). It has been built as an electoral machine, with the presidential election as its permanent horizon. It is a ‘fluid’ movement, without formal membership lists or internal rules.
A limit may have been reached. Can LFI expand its territorial base without enriching its political discourse and organisational framework? Can it advocate democracy in society while failing to implement it within itself ? Can it oppose violence against women, but too easily cover it up internally? What happens to LFI is of concern to all components of the Left.
The current conditions favour the unity of the NFP. This will be determined in the coming weeks. Will the proliferation of local committees allow it to integrate all the available grassroots forces?
A new generation of young people is stepping onto the scene, bringing with them commitments to solidarity (with Palestinians, migrants, and people facing racism). Social precariousness and the impact of the climate-ecological crisis provide fertile ground for multiple forms of resistance. Everything must be done to encourage their convergence. But to achieve this, the Left must break with its presidential obsession. A real cultural revolution is needed.
The Teamsters Union has not officially endorsed any candidate, but Teamster President Sean O’Brien attended and spoke at the Republican Party Connection and praised Trump and other praised rightwing Republicans. Teamsters Joint Councils and Locals representing hundreds of thousands of workers voted to support Harris.
Until recently, “Christian Nationalist” was not a label U.S. politicians applied for themselves. Instead, it was a term applied derisively by opponents to those who wanted to tear down the wall of separation between church and state. There’s good reason why politicians were not lining up to name themselves “Christian Nationalists.” Christian Nationalism was a conscious attempt to wrap up fascism in the cross and the flag to make it more palatable to the American public. The first movement in this country to self-identify as such was led by Reverend Gerald L.K. Smith, an anti-Semite, a fascist sympathizer, and a segregationist. Smith’s Christian Nationalist Crusade existed from the 40s until his death in 1976, all the while railing against Blacks, Jews, socialists, and unions.
Today, there are politicians on the right who do choose the label “Christian Nationalist.” Among them are Missouri’s Senator Josh Hawley and Ohio’s Senator (and Donald Trump’s pick for Vice President) J.D. Vance. Both of these politicians have the anti-labor record you would expect from people following in Smith’s footsteps. Smith was paid off by auto tycoons like Henry Ford and Horace Dodge to rally workers against forming a union. Hawley has an 11% lifetime score from the AFL-CIO. Vance is stuck at rock bottom with 0%. The main labor legislation he has sponsored is Senator Marco Rubio’s proposal to legalize pro-management company unions. Yet both of these politicians have been touted by Sean O’Brien, the president of the International Brotherhood of Teamsters, one of the largest unions in the country. O’Brien went so far as to say Vance “has been right there with us on all of our issues,” despite the fact that the Senator voted against labor every time he was able to. This is a drastic change from how the Teamsters talked about far right politicians during the far right upsurge of the 1930s and 40s.
When the pro-fascist Silver Shirts, a group explicitly modeled on the Nazi brownshirts, threatened to crush Teamsters 544 in the 1930s, there was no talk about how the fascists had been right there with them on all of their issues. Instead, the union organized a union defense guard, practiced drills, and successfully prevented the Silver Shirts from so much as holding a rally in Minneapolis, let alone smashing the union in a vigilante attack. Teamsters 544 had the benefit of being led by militant, revolutionary socialists like Farrell Dobbs who knew exactly what fascist victory would mean for the workers movement.
Even the international union, led by the conservative Democrat Dan Tobin, was aware of the dangers of fascism and educated their members as to that danger. One issue of the International Teamster recommended John Roy Carlson’s book Under Cover, an expose of American fascists. The publication urged Teamsters: “If you want to see who is creeping up behind you with a knife, read Under Cover.” In his book, Carlson details how Smith’s Christian Nationalism was bankrolled by the super rich. One of Smith’s lieutenants says “I seen plenty of money comin’ in. I used to see checks for $2000 and $3000. Workers don’t send them in. No sir, it was the manufacturers.”
Another issue ran quotes of pro-fascist individuals and publications in the U.S. excerpted from Michael Sayers and Albert Kahn’s Sabotage! The Secret War Against America. Those quoted included Gerald L.K. Smith, anti-labor “Radio Priest” Father Charles Coughlin, and Parker Sage, head of the pro-Nazi “workers” organization, the National Workers League. The League didn’t do anything for workers. Its real purpose was to stir up racism and anti-Semitism in Detroit auto plants. All of these people were strongly opposed to any militant, independent labor unions. The labor organizations they wanted were modeled after those in Nazi Germany and Fascist Italy. They would be meek, compliant, and totally dominated by fascists and Nazis.
Finally, the Teamsters took pride in opposing Illinois Congressman Stephen A. Day in a piece entitled “Labor Fights Friends of Fascism” by Lester Hunt. Day was a particularly reprehensible member of the House who sent Adolf Hitler a congratulatory telegram upon der Fuhrer assuming power in 1933. Day also knowingly collaborated with Nazi German agent George Sylvester Viereck to publish the scurrilous bookWe Must Save The Republic. The piece in the International Teamster draws a direct line from Day’s sympathies for fascism to his anti-union politics. “No doubt Day knew that Hitler rose to power on the corpses of union men,” Hunt writes. “No doubt he also knew that Hitler’s first act was to disband the labor unions of Germany and imprison their leaders.”
It speaks volumes that the Teamsters have gone in full scale retreat from this early opposition to fascism. Sean O’Brien prostrated himself at the Republican National Convention before Trump, a man who has promised to be “a dictator on day one.” Politicians like Vanceand Hawley look to the autocracy across the Atlantic in Hungary as a model for the kind of society they want to build at home. All of this, to O’Brien, makes them “tough SOBs” who have “been right there with us on all of our issues.” They will be tough, that’s true enough. But they will be tough on behalf of the big businessmen and large corporations who send them campaign checks, not labor misleaders like Sean O’Brien and certainly not rank and file union members.
“Can a man be a friend of Hitler and a friend of labor at the same time?” That’s what Lester Hunt asked in 1944. The answer then was no. One cannot serve two masters, especially when they are so unalterably opposed. It is still true that no one can be a friend of fascism, of reactionary dictatorship , and organized labor. The Teamsters knew the right answer then. It seems they’ve forgotten it now.
This post is based on a talk I gave at an on-line event on the Roadmap to Ecosocialism, on 10 September. I have added some points at the end, arising from the discussion there. Simon Pirani
How might we develop a socialist approach to technologies, in the face of the threat of rapid, potentially uncontrollable, climate change?
Consider, first, the responses to the climate emergency by capital, and by the most powerful governments that represent its interests.
Climate demonstrators in London, November 2021
On one hand, these responses continue and redouble the exploitation of people in the global south. On the other hand, these policies are designed to slow down the transition away from fossil fuels, and to perpetuate the dominance of energy provision by the fossil fuel producers and other big corporations.
Among the most dangerous weapons they deploy are narratives that portray the move away from fossil fuels as a simple switch of technologies, without any deep-going social change (so-called “technofixes”).
To counter these narratives, we need to develop our own approach to technologies.
The starting point, in my view, is that socialists stand not only for common, social or public forms of ownership of the means of production, but also for changing what those means of production do.
We are for the development of technologies that meet human needs, and against technologies that enhance the power of capital (or against machinery that is “hurtful to commonality”, as the Luddites put it).
It will not be enough to take the means of production, as they have been developed by capital, into social or public ownership. We must aim to change what those means of production produce, and the way they produce it.
What does this mean, politically, here and now?
First, we need to ask, in whose interests is the development of particular technologies.
For example, carbon capture and storage. This is a mechanism that captures greenhouse gases from a power station or industrial process, and stores them, to stop them going into the atmosphere.
Oil companies have tried for 40 years, with little success, to make this mechanism work. And they have now convinced governments, including the UK and US governments, to spend billions of dollars on it.
A variation of this theme is direct carbon removal from the atmosphere, a type of geoengineering being tried by tech companies who hope to finance it with so-called carbon credits.
State funds are invested in these problematic techniques, for mechanically taking greenhouse gases out of the atmosphere, instead of in changes aimed at stopping those gases going into the atmosphere in the first place.
The idea of “net zero”, in the way that it is used by leading politicians, implies a gigantic role for these technologies. This false discourse runs right through the international climate talks, which have in recent years increasingly been captured by the fossil fuel industry and its lobbyists. Climate scientists have exposed the duplicity involved.
In my view these techniques are anathema to a socialist approach to climate change, but some socialist writers embrace them. So this needs to be discussed.
Another approach strongly supported by the fossil fuel companies is adaptation of their infrastructure for supposedly low-carbon fuels, such as hydrogen.
This is a grand technological deception. Producing hydrogen from fossil fuels simply perpetuates the use of those fuels. And hydrogen produced without fossil fuels has a very heavy energy cost, and so should always play a secondary role to genuinely zero-carbon technologies.
Again, governments are pouring money into hydrogen rather than into those genuine technologies. And a huge machinery of disinformation has been mobilised to greenwash this. Again, researchers have worked hard to rebut the falsehoods, and campaigners have raised awareness.
We need to go further, not only to reject the greenwash, but also to develop a coherent socialist approach to technologies. I do not think we have one yet.
I will suggest some starting points, with specific reference to tackling climate change – which is certainly not the only disaster in the making, caused by the deep rupture between humanity and its natural surroundings, but is for sure the most immediately threatening one.
Climate change is caused principally by the burning of fossil fuels. These fuels are consumed by, and through, big technological systems – by which I mean electricity systems; transport systems; built environments; industrial, agricultural and military systems, and so on. These technological systems are, in turn, embedded in the social and economic systems that we live in, which are dominated by capital.
Fossil fuel use needs to be reduced to zero in the next few decades, which will mean transforming all these systems.
It is useful, analytically, to break down exactly how fossil fuel use can be cut. There are essentially three ways to do it.
1. To reduce the final use of energy, by doing things differently.
This is not about individuals tightening their belts. It is about systems working better, with less.
For example, cities with more public transport and fewer cars are not only more socially equal, more healthy and less polluted. They also emit far fewer greenhouse gases.
Replacing cars with public transport gets people where they want to go in a better way, using less, and potentially no, fossil fuel.
There are many other examples, from cutting waste in construction and industries, to reducing the throughput of needless junk – plastic packaging, luxury jets, make your own list.
2. To reduce the throughput of energy, by changing the technological systems.
A good example of this is: insulating homes properly, and heating them with electric heat pumps instead of gas-fired boilers. This keeps people just as warm, with about one fifth of the amount of energy.
In the UK, with our cold winters, engineers have been recommending it for years and gas companies have lobbied hard against it.
3. To produce energy without burning fossil fuels.
The best ways, as you know, are to generate electricity from solar panels and wind turbines.
Once we have identified those three broad approaches, we still face a host of questions.
For example, when I say: reduce the throughput of energy, by changing technological systems, does that mean replacing petrol cars with electric cars? Does it mean switching steel making to electric arc furnaces?
In both those cases, because of the heavy material costs of those electrified techniques, it is better wherever possible not to switch technologies, but to reduce the final energy use by doing things differently – to promote public transport; to practice material-light construction.
When I say: produce energy without burning fossil fuels, does that include nuclear power, as well as renewables?
In my view, nuclear is inherently bound up with strong state machines and the military. So renewables should be preferred.
Again, there are socialist writers who argue differently. We need to have that discussion, too.
We also need to consider ways in which technology, even under capitalism, can better facilitate just and equitable ways to live.
In my view, decentralised renewable power generation has great potential: it is well-suited to municipal and local development, and to forms of common ownership, and is compatible with more effective, and lower, levels of final use of electricity.
We need to know more about the potentials of, and constraints on, such technologies.
To conclude. Public ownership of energy systems is not enough to deal with climate change.
Take China, where the energy technologies are overwhelmingly state owned.
China is the world leader in producing solar panels and wind turbines, and the world leader in generating renewable electricity. But it is also the world’s leading consumer of coal. China consumes more coal than all other countries combined; in recent times it has consumed as much coal every three years as the UK consumed in the 19th century.[1]
This disastrous misuse of fossil fuels (that some “ecosocialists” are reluctant to face up to) is not due primarily to energy use by Chinese people, but to energy use by industries oriented to exporting goods to rich countries.
Public ownership is not enough. It needs to be combined with a liberatory vision of the future, and of the ways that technologies, liberated from capital, can be re-made.
□ At the Roadmap to Ecosocialism meeting, I also said a little about political strategy, based on our experience here in the UK. (You can read what I think about that e.g. here or here.) Look out for the recording, which the organisers said will be available soon, and for many important points by the other speakers Sabrina Fernandes, Howie Hawkins and Rehad Desai. Here, I will pick up on points from the discussion at the meeting.
□ The claim was made, in discussion, that “we need direct carbon capture” to avert catastrophic climate breakdown. I said I did not agree, and that, if ecosocialism is to take on real meaning, this type of question, which is both political and technological, should be discussed in more detail. Here are some points for such a discussion.
First. David Schwartzman, who raised this issue, has written previously that direct carbon capture is “absolutely imperative”, and that the gigantic quantity of energy needed can be supplied by “a global solar power supply” that will replace fossil fuels.
Of course the word “gigantic” is not strong enough here, at all. Let’s suppose direct carbon capture is used, at some time in the future, to suck a noticeable amount of greenhouse gas from the atmosphere – say, 5 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) equivalent per year, i.e. slightly less than one tenth of current annual global emissions. Not a game-changer, but helpful.
Using figures in a recent article that David co-authored, I reckon you would need up to three times the current global solar and wind capacity to remove that 5 gigatonnes/year.
A direct air capture plant in Iceland, owned by Climeworks
But David’s estimates of how much energy the carbon capture process would use are significantly lower than the consensus. A big, well-resourced team of climate scientists published estimates implying that not three times, but 12 times the current solar and wind capacity would be needed to remove 5 gigatonnes/year of CO2 equivalent. The difference seems to be largely down to the fact that they looked at life-cycle emissions of the whole process, including energy used in mining, energy and transport. David’s numbers refer to the chemical extraction process only.[2]
Certainly, these numbers should be interrogated, and updated, because technologies change. But, in any case, it is obvious that, because carbon capture is so devastatingly energy-intensive, it is never going to play any big part in preventing dangerous climate change. There would be huge land and infrastructure costs too.
Moreover, it could make no sense to use this process at any significant scale, unless and until humanity has almost unimaginable amounts of spare renewable electricity generation capacity.
And the reality is the very opposite. Now, and for the foreseeable future, renewable electricity generation is in desperately short supply. It will have to expand at mind-numbing speed, if it is to be substituted for fossil-fired power stations quickly enough to help avoid dangerous warming, let alone do anything else.
There ARE technologies that, combined with reducing throughput and in the context of social and economic change, can help to push fossil fuel use down fast. They are well known, and I mentioned some of them above. Insulation, and electrification of home heating. Building homes that do not require much heating and cooling in the first place. Public trains, bikes and walkways instead of private cars.
The substantial decarbonisation potential of such methods have been researched by climate scientists, alternative technology specialists, energy researchers, engineers, transport experts and others.
For ecosocialism to take on real meaning, it should engage critically with this discussion of actual carbon reduction technologies, and distance itself from the fantasies dreamed up by techno-modernists and beloved of tech and fossil fuel companies.
Second. In David Schwartzman’s view, ecosocialists should acknowledge that carbon removal needs to happen, in the first place, under capitalism; it “can not wait until fossil capitalism is replaced globally by ecosocialism”, he wrote. The writer Andreas Malm, by contrast, sees geoengineering as part of the transition to socialism: according to him, the “central transitional demand for the coming years” should be “for nationalising fossil fuel companies and turning them into direct air capture utilities”.
In my view, these are two sides of the same worthless coin. If society does not grow strong enough to nationalise fossil fuel companies (as Schwartzman fears), then encouraging social support for geoengineering technofixes simply reinforces those companies’ power. If society does become strong enough to deal with the companies (as Malm contemplates), why would it use their resources for carbon capture? Why not for geothermal heat production? For zero-carbon infrastructure? For offshore wind and/or tidal? Why not for the development of other techniques that undo the rupture between human society and nature?
Third. There is no immediate, near-term prospect either of society having an abundance of renewably generated electricity (on which Schwartzman’s argument entirely depends), or of it reaching a point where, globally, it has vanquished the fossil fuel companies (on which Malm’s argument entirely depends). I am almost irrationally optimistic about the medium- and long-term prospects for social change, and I think the latter (triumph over the companies) could happen much sooner than the former (spare terawatts of solar power) … but I don’t think either are the substance of near-term political concerns.
For that reason, the whole conversation about carbon capture can tell us nothing about what ecosocialists, or anyone else, should do in the coming months and years, to avert climate disaster.
It appears to me as a form of political displacement activity (“things that you do, in order to avoid doing what you are supposed to be doing” says the Oxford Learners Dictionary).
Maybe this is, in part, because climate change is probably the most difficult, intractable problem, with so many complexities, that my generation of socialists – and a couple of later generations – have faced.
To find ways out of this, we need not only to have a worked-out understanding of the relationship of socialism and technology, that I argued for above, but also to distinguish more critically between the different types of aims that we express.
This is a problem for socialists not only with regard to climate, or to cutting fossil fuel use, but more generally – a problem brought into sharp relief by the fantastic geoengineering narratives mentioned.
I see three fundamentally different types of aims, expressed by socialists:
(i) Aims that are attainable under capitalism, around which to mobilise broad alliances of working people and society more generally, bringing together climate issues and social justice issues and negating the right-wing myths that climate policies hurt ordinary people, e.g. “free public transport”, “a programme of insulation and heat pump installation”, or “support for municipal renewables”.
(ii) Demands for action by the state under capitalism that we can meaningfully make upon social-democratic, liberal, “Green” and other politicians, e.g. “no new oil production”; “stop road building”; or “a crash programme of state investment in renewables”.
(iii) Broader aims that express our hopes for social transformation, that take society past capitalism, e.g. “stop looting the countries of the global south”, “drastically curb material throughput to improve our lives”, or “supersede industrial agriculture with food production that serves human need in harmony with nature”.[3]
Clearly there are complex relationships between these three categories; they overlap and run into each other. But all too often I witness discussions about “ecosocialism” that pay little or no heed to the distinction between, and connections between, these different types of aims, nor to the timescales and geographical scales on which they might be achieved.
Enthusing about carbon capture – or other types of geoengineering, or mining other planets, for that matter – without thorough and careful reference to the timescales and social contexts in which we are operating, is a good example of how not to do things.
Another question raised at the Roads to Ecosocialism session underlined just how much these things matter. It was (roughly, according to my notes): can we look to non-fossil sectors of capital as allies, albeit temporarily?
I responded to this question with reference to tech companies. Not long ago, Google, Amazon, Meta and others claimed that the ubiquity of the internet and computerised communication would be a key to reducing energy consumption and “green growth”. So did many politicians.
I do not think many people in social movements or the labour movement were taken in by this guff. But then came crypto currencies and “artificial intelligence”.
The tech companies, along with data centres and others, rapidly and aggressively expanded their electricity use: in Ireland, data centres now consume more electricity than the country’s homes, and many similar shocks are on the way. Google et al’s carbon footprints are soaring, and they are fighting a Kafkaesque battle to redefine how they are calculated.
As far as I understand, this criminal misuse of technology carries a threat to climate action that has caught much of our movement unawares.
If ecosocialism is to become a social force, it will have to present effective responses to such frightful developments, rather than focusing on geoengineering technologies that – given the actual social and economic context in which we live – can only serve the interests of our enemies.
□ I thank the organisers of the Roadmap to Socialism session for initiating this discussion. I hope it will continue. SP, 13 September 2024.
[1] China burned 260.2 exajoules of coal in the three years 2020-22. In the decade 2013-22 it burned, on average, 247.5 exajoules every three years (according to the Energy Institute Statistical Review of World Energy). Historians estimate total UK coal consumption 1801-1900 at 225-270 exajoules (5-6000 million tonnes of oil equivalent). See: Roger Fouquet, Heat, Power and Light: revolutions in energy services (Edward Elgar, 2008) and Bouda Etemad and Jean Luciani, World Energy Production 1800-1985
[2] Schwarzman and Schwarzman, citing Snoebjornsdottir et al, “Carbon dioxide storage through mineral carbonation”, use energy input estimates of 3.4-10.7 gigajoules (GJ) per tonne of CO2 removed. Smith et al, in “Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions”, estimate up to 45 GJ per tonne of CO2 removed. In a previous blog post, I also cited the National Academy of Sciences, who published a figure of 5-10 GJ/tonne, and Climate Advisers, who estimated 12.3 GJ/tonne. Assuming a 25% capacity factor (around the current figure for solar, while wind’s is higher), and some to spare, Schwarzman and Schwarzman’s numbers imply 2-6.5 TW of solar and wind capacity, Smith et al’s, 3-28.5 TW, for 5 Gt CO2eq removal annually. Current global wind capacity is 0.9 TW; solar, 1.4 TW (assessments by the International Renewable Energy Agency and Global Wind Energy Council)
[3] If any Trotskyists are reading, and object, “what about transitional demands?” – well, that is part of the discussion we need to have. The idea of “transitional demands” took shape in the framework established by Trotsky in the late 1930s, that assumed that the way forward for society out of capitalism was for revolution, modeled on and building on the Russian revolution of 1917, to spread. It had failed to do so in the 1920s, leading to the tragedy of Stalinism, but could do so in future, according to Trotskyism’s central political assumptions. I don’t think this schema works in the 21st century, for reasons I will not expand on in a footnote. Without it, the idea of “transitional demands” that cannot be fully achieved under capitalism and can then help to break it, must likewise be questioned.
Alisdare Hickson, Refugees Welcome… Fascists F… Off
In autumn 2024, the largest democratic republics in Europe and North America remain in extreme danger, amid ongoing and deepening fascist threats, especially in the U.S.
France: Centrists Betray July Vote, Allying with Neofascists.
In France, voters mobilized by the left defeated the neofascist National Rally party in the July parliamentary elections. But by September, the authoritative newspaper Le Monde published a somber editorial noting that by now the neofascists had been placed “in the position of arbiter or censor” of the government, with the left sidelined (“Matignon: Un choix qui ne referme pas la crise politique,” September 7, 2024).
How did this happen? July saw a surprising and exhilarating defeat for the fascists, one where the left took the lead in creating a “republican front” against them, forcing most of the centrists into line. In the event, the neofascists came in a humiliating third, after the leftist New Popular Front and after President Emmanuel Macron’s “centrist” Together bloc. However, France’s semi-authoritarian constitution, originating in De Gaulle’s 1958 coup, allows the president huge powers. Using these to the fullest, the increasingly rightwing Macron refused to allow the leftist New Popular Front even to attempt to form a government, likely with his Together bloc the minor partner. Instead, he appointed conservative politician Michel Barnier as prime minister, rather than even trying to negotiate with the left. Even though Barnier’s small party combined with Macron’s lacks anything near a parliamentary majority, he has entered into a corrupt informal agreement with the National Rally, which now has veto power over policies and legislation. This bodes ill for migrants and refugees, people of color, the working class, as well as for Ukraine, and most of all for the future of French democracy.
Evidently, French centrists and conservatives have finally moved far enough to the right to do what has been feared over the last several decades. They have decided to side with the fascists against the left, in order to preserve austerity, avoid even the mildest tax increases on high incomes or wealth, and because they are also becoming increasingly anti-immigrant, more openly racist and Islamophobic, and repressive. They have also slid to the right in the face of mounting unrest from the left, from labor, from youth of color in the banlieus, and from a new generation of students determined to defend Gaza in the face of an Israeli genocide in which the French state is complicit.
In response, the left held large protest demonstrations around the country on September 7. Tens of thousands took to the streets, with their white-hot anger expressed by slogans like “Barnier, go f—yourself, you did not get the votes.” With larger labor demonstrations scheduled for October, it could be a hot autumn. But for now, the left has been defeated and the fascist threat in France is looming larger.
Germany: Fascist Surge in the East
September 1 state elections in the east showed dramatic gains for the neofascist Alternative for Germany (AfD). In Thuringia, AfD garnered a third of the votes and in Saxony, over 30%. Moreover, leftwing parties saw their vote sharply diminished, with the Left Party going down below the level for any representation in the state parliament in Saxony, and dropping to 13% in Thuringia, where it had held power in a coalition. The Social Democrats and the Greens did equally poorly. The new red-brown Sahra Wagenknecht Party (BSW), which recently split off from the Left Party, received 12% in Saxony and 16% in Thuringia. Overall, the BSW represents another type of shift to the right, in this case from parts of the left with Stalinist roots. While still in the Left Party, Wagenknecht opposed the COVID vaccine. Today, BSW attacks some aspects of capitalism and claims to support labor, but is hostile to immigrants and refugees, climate justice, and sexual minorities. Like AfD, it opposes Ukraine.
At a national level, the Thuringia and Saxony elections have already driven the governing coalition government — comprising the Social Democrats, the Greens, and the liberal Free Democrats – to the right, as seen in the September 9 announcement that Germany will require border checks from other European Union countries. This rolls back freedoms of circulation within Europe going back three decades. Germany will also begin to deport Syrian and Afghan refugees to their respective countries, despite the extreme levels of danger facing them under these horrific dictatorships. In addition, the Free Democrats have shifted right in a particular way, against environmental restrictions, now declaring that they cannot support “anti-automobile” policies.
Over the past year, Germany has seen an upsurge in labor actions and a series of large street demonstrations against the fascist threat represented by AfD, implicitly if not actively supported by the ruling coalition. Yet under the same coalition government, pro-Palestine voices have been muzzled to a greater extent than even in the U.S., including the rescinding of invitations to renowned international scholars who have criticized Israel and bans on demonstrations by students and youth. This is another type of rightwing politics, put forward in the name of democracy and largely spurious charges of antisemitism. (And while some progressive intellectuals like Hartmut Rosa have defended pro-Palestinian voices, others like Jürgen Habermas have simply and shamefully echoed Israeli war propaganda.) With this, and their anti-immigrant politics, the centrist democrats are making it increasingly difficult for any kind of united front against fascism with the very popular forces that would be able to confront it in the streets, should it come to that.
In contrast to France, Germany now lacks a substantial electoral or labor voice to the left of the Social Democrats. On the other hand, the neofascists are polling at around 20% of the vote at a national level, half their level of support in France and less than half that in the U.S.
Britain’s Race Riots
The British political system has not so far evidenced a neofascist surge in terms of parliamentary or local elections. One reason lies in the fact that the Conservative Party, especially since Brexit and even more so since Boris Johnson, has absorbed many of these tendencies into its own ranks. Another factor is how the electoral system makes it very difficult for minor parties to win political office. Be that as it may, British far right extremism and racism were on full display in the July anti-immigrant riots, when mobs attacked people and property after false rumors on social media attributed a July stabbing attack at a school that killed 3 children to an immigrant of Muslim origin. (In fact, the perpetrator was born in the UK to a Rwandan immigrant family with a Christian religious orientation.)
As the Marxist-Humanist writer Seamus Connolly reported, “In scenes not seen for decades, people of color are being randomly attacked on the street. The ‘P-word,’ an insult aimed at those of Pakistani heritage has been a common refrain, as have Nazi Flags, Nazi salutes, chants of ‘Allah, Allah, Who the Fuck is Allah?’” (“Race Riots in the UK: Fascist Thugs Take to the Street in a Wave of Violent Clashes,” International Marxist-Humanist, August 5 2024).
For its part, the new and very “centrist” Labor government of Keir Starmer condemned the violence but failed to single out racism, xenophobia, or Islamophobia. Starmer is also doubling down on austerity policies, hardly a way to lessen the appeal of neofascist politics among sectors of the working and middle classes that have seen their living standards decline. He also praised Italian neofascist Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s immigration policies, saying she has made “remarkable progress.” Even before taking office, Starmer purged the Labor left, going to far as to expel the internationally renowned former party leader Jeremy Corbyn, who nonetheless kept his seat in the July elections that brought Starmer to power. Starmer is also keeping his distance from the mass anti-racist demonstrations in August in response to the mayhem in July.
The Trumpist, Neofascist Threat in the U.S.
As dangerous as the above developments are, it has to be said that today it is the U.S. that exhibits the greatest fascist threat. Donald Trump and vice-presidential candidate JD Vance seem bent on fomenting the kind of race riots that broke out in the UK with their concocted stories about Haitian migrants in Springfield, Ohio. This is just one example among hundreds. Trump dominates the Republican Party almost completely, and even if he loses the election in November, it is doubtful he would receive a popular vote much below 47-48%. That this is happening to a political leader who staged a violent coup attempt in 2021 after he was defeated at the polls represents a grave danger not just to democracy, but also to our very existence on the planet of our species given his anti-environment stance.
For all its erratic nature, Trumpism has been consistent in terms of its Islamophobia, misogyny, xenophobia, and hostility to climate justice at a domestic level, and in terms of antagonism toward Iran and China and friendliness toward Putin’s Russia at an international level. It is important to note that Trumpist forces already control a number of U.S. states, including large ones like Texas and Florida, the U.S. House of Representatives, and the Supreme Court. Even if Trump loses in November by traditional measures, it is very possible that Texas, Florida, and other states would not recognize such a defeat and threaten secession, that the House would refuse to recognize the vote, and/or that the Supreme Court would find ways to undermine the election as well. In these senses, a constitutional coup is possible, either instead of or alongside one in the streets as in January 2021.
At the same time, as in the other countries governed by centrists, the Democratic Party of Joe Biden and Kamala Harris has armed and abetted politically Israel’s genocidal war against the Palestinian people, while also undermining if not repressing dissent and opposition from student youth, the Arab community, and other progressive constituencies. In doing so, they have also ignored much of organized labor and a large coalition of Black churches, which have also come out strongly for a ceasefire, if not more decisive measures against Israel’s genocide. The Democrats have also turned to the right on immigration, crime, and the environment (fracking everywhere). At the same time, they support to an extent bodily autonomy, LGBTQ rights, voting rights, environmental protection, and labor.
In the U.S., it is particularly notable how the holders of some of the largest capitalist fortunes, most notably the white South African immigrant Elon Musk, have gone Trumpist, while others are openly leaning toward Trump or remaining openly neutral. Large universities like Harvard have also bowed out of confronting the fascist threat by declaring they will no longer make moral statements about social justice or human rights issues.
The Democratic Party’s support of outright genocide in Gaza, all the while making slight verbal criticisms while continuing the flow of arms and money to Israel, plus their crackdown on campus protest, has convinced many youth and progressives that it would make no large difference were Trump to assume power a second time.
This is utterly false, and goes against over a century of leftwing politics and principles whereby the genuine left (leaving off authoritarian and ultra-leftist currents) has always distinguished between democratic republics and militarist, fascist, or monarchical rule. This was true in the late 1870s, when Karl Marx supported the French republicans, some of whom had put down the Paris Commune, vs. the Bonapartist military. (This kind of issue was central to Marx’s attack in the Critique of the Gotha Program what he insisted on calling the socialist “sect” founded by Ferdinand Lassalle.) It was true as Nazism was rising before 1933, when Leon Trotsky called for a united front with the reformists, even though just a few years before, they had been complicit in the murder of the great revolutionary Rosa Luxemburg and in the repression of the 1919 socialist workers’ uprising she helped to lead. And it is true today, when we need to unite to oppose Trumpism with every fiber of our bodies.
But like our revolutionary predecessors, we need to unite with other forces to fight Trumpism – and fascism everywhere – in ways that make clear our own anti-capitalist politics. We need to show that the economy is not “strong” when one considers the vast poverty and homelessness, and on a larger scale, the decline in real wages since the 2008 crisis. We need to point out that centrist liberals or social democrats have not only helped create the conditions for fascism, but in places like France, are actually forming alliances with the neofascists. We need to show how social democrats, liberals, centrists, and conservatives in Germany, the UK, and the U.S. are adopting many neofascist policies themselves.
Overall, we need to consider the fact that the global fascist threat has been rising over the past decade, as a response to a whole series of revolutions and protests, from the Arab revolutions and Occupy in 2011 to the rise of Bernie Sanders and Corbyn, and from the global movement for Black lives of 2020 to the Gaza protests of 2023-24. Equally importantly, the 2008 global economic crisis exposed the fact that the higher profit rates of the 1950s/1960s were never coming back. Not only has this turned working people against the neoliberal consensus, but it has also led a section of the dominant classes to support outright neofascism in order to recover lost ground, or at least gain something before the deluge, or out of fear of revolution or even redistribution.
Thus, fascism in the U.S. will remain a threat even if Trump loses the 2024 election and is unable to stage a coup. For as in Germany, even a 20% support level for such politics is extremely dangerous, and Trump’s is at over twice that level.
One thing we need everywhere is a coalescence of revolutionary, anti-racist, and anti-authoritarian leftists. For the long haul, we may need to create a pole of opposition to both centrist liberalism and social democracy, the lesser threat, and to neofascism, the clear and present one. Such a pole of opposition, which would have to be international, would also need a politics separate from the campists as well. It would not seek hegemony over the anti-fascist movement but would form a revolutionary and democratic pole within it. A politics of combining class/race/nationality/gender issues, or one that says the true defense of democracy means opposing capitalism as well, or more specific watchwords like, “From Ukraine to Palestine, Occupation Is a Crime,” would be of the utmost importance. But so would forming some real organizations, probably via regroupment. Here, the French left, which voted in a disciplined manner for all non-fascist candidates in July, while also keeping its coalition together and its political independence, has done the most to fulfill its responsibilities in the present period.
We need more serious thinking on these issues and more action. The hour is late and the danger is great!
Pencil crayon drawing of feminists and queer activists surrounded by shadowy officers by Citlali Potamu for Ojalá.
[This article is reposted with the kind permission of Ojalá, where it originally appeared on Sept. 13, 2024. Leer en castellano.]
It would have been near impossible for a gay man or a lesbian woman born in 1960s Cuba to have imagined parading down Havana’s main avenue shouting slogans as part of the LGBTIQ+ community. But beginning in 2008, with the annual celebration of Cuba’s pride march—which is also known as La Conga—this became reality.
Queerness wasn’t on the radar at the time of the Cuban revolution. On several occasions Fidel Castro made statements to the press referring to homosexuality as pathological behavior. Even so, thanks to the hard work of activists on the island, the National Center for Sex Education (Cenesex) was created in 1989. Under the leadership of Mariela Castro, Fidel’s niece, it is now dedicated to gender education and research.
But the existence of Cenesex did not create the possibility for activists to develop independent initiatives outside of the institution. There has long been tension between the state and civil society over the monopoly of gender discourse. A delicate balance that fluctuated between compliance with Cenesex guidelines and criminalization was reached.
This tension reached its peak in 2019, when the aforementioned march against Homophobia, Biphobia and Transphobia was arbitrarily suspended. Cenesex justified the cancellation by claiming the march was not relevant due to the country’s economic situation.
Faced with a government ban, part of the LGBTIQ+ community held an independent march in 2019. As a result, several activists were beaten and detained by police. May 11 went down in history as the first act of massive, public repression of queer activists in Cuba.
“The cancellation of the 2019 Conga, held every year by Cenesex as part of the activities of the Cuban Day against homophobia and transphobia, was a government action to placate anti-rights groups,” wrote activist Angela Lakshmi in an article published in Q de Cuir. In the years following the 2019 repression, the Conga took place normally.
The cancellation and repression of the 2019 march took place as the Cuban government was in the process of updating the Family Code. Three years later, a new Family Code was approved, recognizing the rights of queer people, including equal marriage and adoption.
The Code was a government proposal that went to referendum. This decision was widely criticized by members of civil society, as other laws such as the Penal Code were not approved by the population. Feminist and LGBTIQ+ collectives campaigned for the passage of the law, and faced intense opposition from fundamentalist churches on the island. Activists believe the referendum was held in order to offset protests on the part of fundamentalist groups.
But even with the recognition of some rights, the criminalization of gender focussed and queer activism in Cuba continues. And in this context, feminist organizing in Cuba continues.
Understanding of Cuban feminism
The ecosystem of independent feminist spaces in Cuba is made up in large part by independent media outlets. Among them are Subalternas, Alas Tensas, Afrocubanas, La Potajera, and Muy Marika, and others, all of which were preceded by media outlets that no longer exist, including Q de cuir and Tremenda Nota.
There are also organizations like Yo Sí Te Creo en Cuba (I believe you Cuba – YSTCC), Alianza Afrocubana, Red Femenina de Cuba, Casa Palanca, Grupo Translúcidos and others. These groups weave their actions and demands around feminist organizing. They call out femicides, engage in Black feminist struggles, seek to protect women’s right to dissent, organize against the criminalization of independent journalism and raise awareness of issues faced by transgendered people.
Then there is Cenesex and the Transcuba network, both which are part of the government. There is also the Federation of Cuban Women (FMC), which has operated since August 1960 as a mass organization that aims to represent all women in the country.
In 1993, a group of Cuban women journalists founded Magín, the first independent feminist collective in post-1959 Cuba. Three years later, after unsuccessfully trying to register Magín as an association, its members were called in by the Central Committee of the Cuban Communist Party. The co-optation was immediate.
“They were told that they had to deactivate immediately, since a feminist organization could be used to try to penetrate the revolution,” explained Alina Bárbara López in a text in the magazine La Joven Cuba.
Pencil crayon portrait of the members of Magín drawn by Citlali Potamu for Ojalá.
Being a feminist and organizing in Cuba is a challenge. Beyond ideological affiliation, the level of organization or the kind of feminism practiced, Cuban feminist activists and organizations—both on and off the island—have long had a conflictive relationship with the state. This relationship stems in part from the lack of legislation on freedom of association allowing for the existence of independent organizations, as well as from the systematic criminalization of activism.
This year, independent activists and organizations did not march on March 8 as they did in the rest of the continent. Many women who are members of feminist organizations, as well as human rights defenders and independent journalists have had to leave the island due to the political persecution.
This March 8th, a discussion about the rising rate of femicides and political violence against women was desperately needed inside Cuba. Instead of marching, the diaspora organized a virtual march, as took place the year previous.
The Cuban state vs. feminism
Laura Vargas’ case illustrates the Cuban government’s fear of feminism. Vargas is a feminist activist who has been persecuted by state security forces since 2021 because of her participation in various Cuban feminist organizations such as Red Femenina de Cuba, Casa Palanca and the independent media outlets Alas Tensas and Subalternas.
Vargas tells Ojalá that the first time she was hauled into a police station and interrogated was in October 2021. Her interrogation took place after the July 11, 2021 uprising in Cuba and as the persecution of independent journalism began to amp up. At the time Vargas was a regular contributor to a media outlet called El Toque. “State security began to subpoena all women journalists,” she said in an interview.
“They became very interested in me because of my feminist activism and because, together with my colleagues from Subalternas magazine, we were planning a dinner for trans women at the end of 2022,” said Vargas. The dinner was independently organized by civil society activists. Several of its organizers were interrogated.
In 2019, the I Believe You Cuba (YSTCC) platform was launched when six Cuban feminists agreed to work together in support of singer Dianelys Alfonso, the Goddess of Cuba, who accused the late singer José Luis Cortés of gender violence.
“What began as a specific act of support grew: we opened social networks to do education and raise awareness about gender violence, then began to carry out political advocacy in support of the passage of a Comprehensive Law against Gender Violence in Cuba in November 2019,” YSTCC members explained to Ojalá via email. For security reasons, members of YSTCC do not give interviews by audio or video, or use their real names.
Pencil crayon drawing of feminists being followed by police by Citlali Potamu for Ojalá.
“In March 2020, we created the Support Line for People in Situations of Gender Violence as part of our response to the isolation imposed due to the Covid-19 pandemic, and in November of the same year, the Observatory of Femicides in Cuba was launched,” they wrote. At the end of 2023, the Alas Tensas Gender Observatory and Yo Sí Te Creo en Cuba found 73 femicides had been committed that year. “That figure is double the 36 [femicides] in 2022, and is the highest reported number since record keeping began,” according to their official website.
In Cuba, femicide is still not typified as a crime in the Penal Code and there is no Comprehensive Law against gender violence. Despite efforts by independent organizations pushing for the recognition of feminicide and the creation of a Gender Law, the government does not dialogue with independent feminist organizations or activists. Rather, it represses them and accuses them of being enemies or counterrevolutionaries.
Mayde and Yeniset were victims of femicides in Cuba. As a tribute to them, YSTCC established alerts that are activated when girls or women disappear, in order to prevent femicide, or so that it does not go unpunished. “Our platform supported the publication of alerts related to the disappearances of children since 2020, and in 2023 established the Mayde (for children and adolescents) and Yeniset (for women) alerts in a collaborative effort,” according to YSTCC members.
The Cuban state’s intolerance towards activism stems from its view that any civil society group that does not emerge from the mass organizations overseen by the government are an enemy of the state. A year ago, YSTCC denounced an escalation of repression against women activists, which has impacted some of its members.
“Several of our members have been persecuted and followed in the street, they have had police surveillance in front of their homes and suffered cuts to Internet and telephone service,” wrote members of the platform. “The most difficult consequence has been that we cannot provide one-on-one support as we did when we first launched the Support Line”.
We beg forgiveness for beginning this review with a block quote from a Wikipedia article:
The horseshoe theory asserts that advocates of the far-left and the far-right, rather than being at opposite and opposing ends of a linear continuum of the political spectrum, closely resemble each other, analogous to the way that the opposite ends of a horseshoe are close together. The theory is attributed to the French philosopher and writer of fiction and poetry Jean-Pierre Faye in his 1972 book Théorie du récit: introduction aux langages totalitaires, in relation to Otto Strasser.
Otto Strasser was a dissident Nazi who objected to Hitler and Goebbels abandoning their anti-capitalist and populist rhetoric as they came closer to power. In many ways, Strasser and his brother Gregor were the original “Red-Browns” or “Third Positionists”, the tradition which seeks to reconcile anti-capitalist and fascist ideas.
But then; what’s wrong with this picture?
The Fishhook Theory is the equal-but-opposite counterpart to the Horseshoe, which argues that in fact it is the political centre (aka “the Establishment”, or even “the Libs”) who are close to or even identical with fascists. This harks back to the infamous “Third Period” analysis of German Communists in the 1930s, who described the centre-left Social Democrats as “social fascists”, and accordingly downplayed the threat of the actual fascists taking power; much like the edgy online Left today mock those worried by the threat of “Trump 2.0” or military victories for Putin.
What the Horseshoe and Fishhook theories have in common is that they both deny that fascism is a phenomenon in and of itself. The Fishhook argues that fascism is just capitalist politics, or at least the politics of one kind of capitalist, with the mask taken off. The Horseshoe argues that it’s simply one “flavour” of illiberal, anti-democratic politics, and not really different from revolutionary socialism.
Analysis of fascism which rejects both these models is a tradition stretching back decades or more. Three Way Fight: Revolutionary Politics and Antifascism gives an excellent overview of that long tradition.
II
The introduction to Three Way Fight: Revolutionary Politics and Antifascism explains things succinctly:
In 2004, a small group of revolutionary antifascists started the Three Way Fight blog and website[1] as a project to share information and analysis about political movements and the context in which they operate…
Its supporters rejected the conventional liberal model that portrayed authoritarian extremists threatening a democratic center, but they also challenged the standard leftist binary that saw fascism and liberalism as arrayed together in defense of capitalism against the working-class left…
Leftists need to confront both the established capitalist order and an insurgent or even revolutionary right, while recognizing that these opponents are also in conflict with each other. Hence the term “three way fight”. (Kindle locations 185, 187, 198, 200)
The basis of this approach is that fascism is neither just a mask for the worst forms of capitalism, nor a possible partner in a fight against capitalism, but something independentfrom and hostile to both the state and the working-class movement.
Although the Three-Way Fight model is traditionally associated with anarchists, the introduction to the book traces the early origins of the concept to the Sojourner Truth Organisation (STO), a “post-Maoist” organisation which traced the theory out in the early 1980s.[2] The STO’s analysis (reproduced in full in the book) made the vital insight that while fascism has “intimate connections with the needs of the capitalist class,” it also
contains an anti-capitalist ‘revolutionary’ side that is not reducible to simple demagogy… It represents a revolutionary challenge to capitalist power—not revolutionary in any liberatory sense, but in that it aims to seize power and systematically transform society along repressive and often genocidal lines. (222)
This is a crucial point for a generation of socialists who might have been using “revolutionary” as an unproblematic good thing: there are worse things than bourgeois “liberal democracy”. Autonomist Marxist and STO veteran Don Hamerquist argues:
I think that fascism has the potential to become a mass movement with a substantial and genuine element of revolutionary anti-capitalism… fascism is not merely a blunt instrument used to prop up industrial capitalism but is, rather, a whole new form of barbarism, one that quite disconcertingly comes with mass support. Fascism has its own independent political life, and as such, while the bourgeoisie can influence it, it is ultimately independent of it. (1124, 1128, 1130).
It is precisely the sincere revolutionary vision and bottom-up dynamic of fascism that makes it so acutely dangerous for socialists to consider “Red-Brown” alliances, especially in times of political backwardness and defeat. The Marxist tradition has traditionally described “Caesarism” or “Bonapartism” – an authoritarian populist movement backing a charismatic leader, of which fascism is a variation – as arising in times of political exhaustion and deadlock, where neither “elite” nor “popular” forces are able to achieve a real victory. This looks very familiar from the vantage point of 2024, as Don Hamerquist suggests:
Although these popular upsurges are increasingly frequent, widespread, and disruptive, their capacity to expand working-class power and autonomy is undermined by an atomized hopelessness and cynicism that also reflects the increased precarity of working-class life. (3277)
Thus, fascism offers the contending classes some way forward out of stasis, “beyond left and right” in the words of its traditional slogan. As rowan, “a friend of Three Way Fight” says in an interview:
It is incredibly attractive to believe that the world is neatly divided with bad guys on one side representing oppression and exploitation, racism, patriarchy, bigotry, empire, and fascism, and good guys on the other representing liberation, feminism, decolonization, and a free society….
A lot of the time it feels like radical analyses of the far right just start from the assumption that they’re lying. Thus, when folks on the right oppose economic exploitation of the working class, prioritize ecology and defending the earth, or even oppose white supremacy, leftists often dismiss these as lies or attempts to trick people. The three way fight perspective helps us to listen, to be open to the possibility that they speak the truth about their visions, and to recognize that our enemies are complex, which makes them all the more dangerous as we struggle to defeat them.[3] (926, 939, 943)
In the early years of the millennium, antifascists involved in the antiglobalisation movement
found themselves confronting not only global corporations and intergovernmental bodies but…the wider spread of fascistic ideas such as antisemitic conspiracism—within the movement’s own ranks… The September 11 attacks showed even more dramatically that global capitalism’s enemies could be found not only on the radical left but also on the far right… Kdog’s “Fifth Column Fascism,” written shortly after 9/11, declared “All resistance [to US imperialism] ain’t liberatory and all fascists ain’t aryan,” (265, 270, 280)
Many on the radical Left were not politically prepared for a world in which, as Michael Staudenmeier puts it, “the most significant attack on the global power of the United States in at least a generation came from the right, not from the left” (6101); some even decided that maybe the Right weren’t such bad fellows. More recently, many of the same forces have been drawn into a Red-Brown form of “anti-imperialism” sponsored by the Russian state, exemplified by the notorious “Multi-Polar World” conference held in Moscow in 2014 (2992). “Multi-Polar World” is of course an expression originating with the esoteric fascist philosopher Aleksander Dugin (3011). Matthew Lyons, co-editor of this collection[4], notes:
Marxist academician Efe Can Gürcan, for example, recently discussed Eurasianism (specifically including Duginism) as an ideological challenge to NATO and US imperialism but didn’t mention that Aleksandr Dugin is a fascist. When I objected, Gürcan replied, “One should not avoid potentially transformative dialogue with such movements [as Dugin’s] merely because they are not leftist or because their practices are in some areas objectionable.” As a self-deluding rationale for red-brown coalition building, this is hard to beat. (3090)
In explaining fascism’s relative independence from capitalist politics, Three Way Fight emphasises its middle-class base. American Maoist author J Sakai notes that the German Nazi movement was “primarily formed by men of lower middle class and declassed backgrounds ‘that are abandoned on the sidelines of history’.” (1134) This replicates the insights of Leon Trotsky, whose analysis of fascism a previous Fightback article[5] summarised as “a bottom-up movement, which while it might be funded by some parts of big business, is based on the support and activism of the insecure middle classes and the most impoverished layers of society” – the atomised layers of fearful individuals whom Trotsky referred to as “human dust”.[6] Later in the book, Devin Zane Shaw identifies this as precisely the class composition of the January 6, 2021 rioters in Washington DC (2265) – as the popular stereotype has it, “dentists and used car dealers”.
It is this revolutionary, or even insurgent, side to fascism which distinguishes it from other forms of reactionary politics. Matthew Lyons makes the distinction between anti-systemic and system-loyal variants of Right-wing popular politics. A fascist movement, as a revolutionary movement, wants to smash the system, as opposed to conservative forms of Right-wing politics which seek to defend the existing system against real or imagined threats from “outsiders”. So there is a difference between
a genuine fascist movement, which is a movement of insurgents, and the system-loyal right-wing nationalist populism of the Trump presidency. While Trump drove home the slogan “Make America Great Again,” it was not fundamentally premised on the idea that the American project has failed. (1316-7)
Devin Zane Shaw also notes the contradiction between “system-loyal vigilantism and system-oppositional armed organization” (2307), in suggesting that it is too simplistic to argue that State security forces are always going to be supportive of fascists, or vice versa.
The political movement behind Donald Trump is understandably at the focal point of many modern debates on the Left about what “fascism” is. It seems doubtful that Trump himself can be described as a fascist in any meaningful way; the US Twitter commentator Sami Gold is probably closest when he describes Trump as a “personalist”, that is, someone whose main principle is that he personally should be in charge. But it is indisputable that, as Rowland Keshena Robinson puts it, “a number of explicitly white nationalist organizations, theorists, and influencers have been highly motivated and emboldened by Trump”. (1062)
Thus, this book points out the slippage in the Trump movement between “system-loyal” and “anti-system” positions – in a similar way that the Ku Klux Klan historically moved between defending and attacking the US establishment (2347). To be crude: when Trump’s in power, his followers pledge allegiance to the United States; when it’s not, they talk about “burning it all down”. In fact, the line was crossed specifically during the January 6, 2021 attempted putsch, during which “millions of people … moved—at least temporarily—from system loyalty into system opposition, as symbolized by Proud Boys stomping on a Thin Blue Line flag”. (4572) As Matthew Lyons puts it:
there’s been this larger shift of a large section of the right which had been system loyal into a much more directly oppositional stance of rejecting the legitimacy of the system because they see the election that put Biden on top as illegitimate, and that from their standpoint it robbed Trump of his rightful position as president. (4337)
It seems plausible that this is what led the Republican establishment to briefly desert Trump and even to not fight against his second impeachment very hard; and that their return to him over the last three years was predicated precisely on his retreat to a “system-loyal” position.
Matthew Lyons characterises fascism as “as a disparate array of forces, which can sometimes find themselves in coalition with one another but which do not necessarily share the same constellation of goals. What is essential is the question of supremacy” (1146). This does not necessarily mean white supremacy, although that is of course how fascism has generally presented itself in the United States. Robinson’s chapter expands on Aimé Césaire’s observation that fascist politics look a lot like settler-colonial politics, brought back to the metropolis:
Geographically speaking, on its own soil fascism is imperialist repression turned inward… [insurgent fascist forces] all desire for a new frontier, for recolonization, for territories, for a white homeland. (1172, 1313)
Similarly, Shaw quotes J Sakai’s observation that “white settler colonialism and fascism occupy the same ecological niche. Having one, capitalist society didn’t yet need the other” (2352). It was only with the growth of the Civil Rights movement that liberalism began to shift to a position of redressing the wrongs of white supremacy at the margins, and where fascism could then coalesce as its insurgent enemy, seeking “the rebirth of the settler-colonial project” (2368).
However, several commentators have also noted the increase in Black and Latino members of fascist and other far-right movements in the United States, leading to the glib comment on the infamous 4chan that this movement “honestly doesn’t care what race you are, as long as you’re racist”. This diversification of the fascist base across racial lines goes along with, not only a “nativist” opposition to immigration, but the growing importance of anti-feminism to the far Right. Tammy Kovich’s chapter describes the importance of the “Gamergate” and “manosphere” movements to this new development:
Sexism, rather than racism, is the gateway drug that has led many to join the alt-right… These various online communities and the different patriarchal orientations they represent have led many insecure, marginalized, and otherwise struggling men to broader fascistic politics. They function to create a culture united in the belief that white male masculinity is under attack and the status of men must be protected at all costs. (1456, 1520)
Although not all fascists are necessarily homophobic (and several prominent figures are gay men), Kovich describes the basis of fascist gender politics as “(1) gender essentialism; (2) gender difference; and (3) gender hierarchy” (1545). The growing transphobic movement – accurately characterised by libcom.org as “the women’s division of the global far right”[7] – indicates that any position of supremacy in contemporary society can, should the beneficiaries of that supremacy feel under threat, evoke a fascist movement to defend it.
III
The chapters of Three Way Fight divide neatly between theoretical approaches to the problem of antifascism, written at various points throughout history, and reports on various aspects of practical antifascism. In places, these confirm that certain features of the modern antifascist struggle have been pretty much the same for the last forty years. A research bulletin from 2001, for example, identifies the Workers’ World Party as building a “de-facto Red-Brown alliance” (740) with supporters of the Serbian National Front in the antiwar movement. The WWP are still at it today – giving anti-imperialist cover for mass murder in Syria and Ukraine – although their splinter party the PSL is now the more prominent culprit.
Tammy Kovich’s article on “Antifascism against Machismo” takes issue with the stereotype of antifascist politics as based on macho street fighting: “an antifascism rooted in machismo is the political equivalent of a bar fight—as haphazard and chaotic as it is incoherent and often sloppy”. (2079)
In contrast, an antifascism oriented toward militancy instead of machismo is concerned with commitment, collectivity, and effectiveness… A vibrant movement would have a place for a two-year-old child up to their eighty-two-year-old grandparent. (2081, 2086)
But she also rejects the alternative of “a pacifying liberal feminism of ‘pussy hats’ and ‘protective policing’”.[8] (1405)This is also the lesson of Suzy Subways’ reflections on the history of radical defence of abortion clinics in the 1990s US. After the Clinton administration made it a crime to blockade clinics, the direct action movement to physically confront anti-abortion radicals was “dismantled” by liberal feminist NGOs, who were much happier relying on the police and courts. (5206)
The Three Way Fight analysis suggests that state action to “protect” women or queer/trans people under threat from fascism will not end well. Historically in the United States, barbaric racial violence was excused as necessary to keep white women safe from rape: “calls for the safety of women were answered with the expansion of a racialized penal state… More recently, the trope of “the immigrant rapist,” “the barbaric refugee,” and “the Muslim extremist” have been central” (1737, 1754). The family resemblance that this trope bears to TERF memes about trans people as abusers is striking.
Kovich insists on the need for a broad community anti-fascism which goes beyond traditional ideas of what antifascist organising looks like:
Antifascist gyms are great, and antifascist football clubs can be useful. But what about an antifascist neighborhood association? Or antifascist storytelling time for children, or an antifascist food program? Or maybe, antifascist day at the nail salon or an antifascist roller derby league?[9] (6887)
The need for this to also reach beyond self-described radicals is emphasised by Devin Zane Shaw:
many militants have worked to create a broader social atmosphere of everyday antifascism, which brought those who I would call “liberal antifascists” into the broader struggle against far-right groups. Fostering everyday antifascism makes it possible to organize a broader movement in opposition to far-right groups when they mobilize in our cities. (2163)
As Shaw puts it, “Antifascism seeks to raise the cost of fascist organizing, and that is the most obvious reason why the diversity of tactics plays an important role in organizing.” (2382) That is, while physical confrontation with fascist mobilisations is not the correct tactic in every situation, it is something which must always be an option. Kieran, an Industrial Workers of the World organiser, agrees in a discussion of the successful deplatforming of Milo Yianniopolous at Berkeley in 2017:
Militant tactics is a part of our strategy, but it’s not the only part. A big part of it is a battle for the hearts and minds that the fascists are trying to recruit for their base…we don’t want to be what Lorenzo Kom’boa Ervin called a “vanguard versus vanguard,” where people just see two street gangs fighting with each other and don’t really see their needs or demands met by either one of them. Instead, we want to try to organize ourselves and our coworkers and our neighbors into a popular response to the fascists. (5313, 5396)
In other words, reducing antifascism to a single tactic (be it non-violent community organising, pressuring elected officials, or street confrontation) always works to demobilise and dismantle the mass “united front” necessary for victory. Asked whether media coverage of physical confrontation might alienate parts of a united front, Kieran argues:
most working-class people respect folks who stand up and are willing to defend themselves and are willing to take risks… People who are already suspicious of the way the mainstream media talks about anything are likely to have a more positive response seeing a group of people standing up and fighting back. (5323)
Thus, the “united front” approach requires that militant antifascists know when to “go it alone” without liberal allies. An essential element of Three Way Fight analysis, as Shaw points out, is that “each ‘corner’ of the three way fight struggles against the other two while at the same time this struggle offers lines of adjacency against a common enemy” (2293) Thus, the temporary alliance between militant and liberal antifascism is based on “the line of adjacency between militant antifascism and the egalitarian aspirations of bourgeois democracy” (2298). But, once the immediate fascist threat is withdrawn, liberal anti-fascists will tend to return to a Horseshoe Theory analysis and see their former militant allies as the new threat:
under normal conditions, liberal ideology writ large—and liberal antifascists as a whole are typically no exception—condemns insurgent organizing, whether it is the militant left or the far right, as political “extremism”…
liberal antifascists set aside the framework of “extremism” in order to enter the struggle between militant antifascism and the far right…. However, when the threat of fascism seems to have passed… we should expect, and must prepare for, liberal antifascism to revert to its normal institutional habits.
The extension of law enforcement powers that followed in the wake of far-right actions related to the Capitol riot will redound against left-wing militants, because the repressive state apparatus specifically frames its work in this domain as a fight against extremism. (2212, 2223, 2230)
“Diversity of tactics” refers not only to how militant antifascists react to other parts of a united front, but to how they relate to the communities which they defend and which they want to mobilise. Kieran gives an example of the IWW General Defence Committee working with a Black community in Minneapolis, who reacted badly to antifascists masking up (5446). A similar reflection comes from IWW GDC members who confronted a mobilisation by alt-Right agitator Richard Spencer in Auburn, Alabama, one of the “deep Red” parts of the American South. In this case, antifascists coming from metropolitan Atlanta made the mistake of wearing “Black Bloc” and using chants that only confused the crowd and alienated popular support:
Auburn’s “White Students Union” had been agitating against “Atlanta Antifa” ahead of time. They put up posters around campus warning people against “Atlanta Antifa” as scary outsiders who might attack bystanders. The spectacle that the black bloc provided played right into this…. The spectacle of specialized antifascism undermined the concrete possibility of mass antifascism. (5590, 5619)
…to many of the students, the antifascists looked much more like the fascists (especially the “Traditionalist Worker Party,” who were dressed in all black, with helmets, and keeping a bloc formation) than they looked like Auburn students. There were some times where even we couldn’t easily tell which side people were on.[10] (7809)
As it turned out, the university students at Auburn – characterised by some of the visiting activists as “stupid liberals” (5600) – were the ones who successfully shut down the Spencer speech:
Most of us would probably say that we think mass antifascism is an ideal, preferable to a “squad-versus-squad” style of antifascism. However, in practice we tended to write off the possibility that large numbers of Alabamians might actually agree with our program for fighting fascism if we actually presented it to them…. If even Southern, white football “bros” are open to running fascists out of town, then our approach and program could inspire and unite a lot more people than we expect. (5580, 5732)
It is extremely refreshing to read militant antifascists who understand that adopting an activist “uniform” and writing off whole communities as “normies” or “spectators” is part of the problem. It is precisely “the normies” who must be persuaded to become antifascists: “to prevent fascism from normalizing, we have to normalize antifascism… to keep fascism from developing a mass base, we need to build a mass base for antifascism.” (5725, 5728)
Among other helpful contributions, Matthew Lyons deals with the importance of antisemitism to fascist narratives (and its infiltration of Left-wing circles by disguising itself as anti-Zionism) by presenting a structural analysis by Jews for Racial & Economic Justice, “in which Jews (a) become concentrated in highly visible positions of relative privilege, (b) are used as scapegoats to divert popular anger away from the real centers of power and oppression, and (c) experience alternating periods of relative acceptance and intense, violent persecution” (2660). The categorisation of Jews as “abstract power” (2728), an alien presence distorting the system, is a potent source of Red-Brown crossover, even as the more conventional reactionary Right characterise Leftism and liberalism as a Jewish plot.
Finally, M., Roberto Santiago de Roock, and Joel D. Lovos give a very thoughtful and timely exposition of the need for antifascist organising in and around video games – extremely important given the role of Gamergate in giving birth to the modern radical-Right movement, and very timely considering current efforts to spark “Gamergate 2.0”.[11] While the present author is not a gamer, you don’t need to read much social media to know how much of the aesthetics of contemporary “meme politics” (on both Left and Right) come from games such as Hearts of Iron IV or Disco Elysium. The authors make the excellent point that anti-disinformation and anti-fascist tactics focus so much on Twitter, while young people spend far more time in games or in game-related spaces like Discord servers – and that fascists are actively organising in such spaces: “One survey found that among those who play online multiplayer games, 23 percent were exposed to extremist white supremacist ideology while playing.” (5804)
The authors replicate the observation in the gaming/online world that “official” or “liberal” anti-fascism often takes on the guise of State-sponsored “anti-extremism” – that is, extending the net of policing and surveillance to shut down not only fascist but Left-wing anti-system organising.[12] Again, the Three Way Fight is the model:
We think that abolitionists should organize to oppose both fascist recruitment in games and capitalist policing of games… The left is the only part of the three way fight that’s (mostly) not taking games seriously; fascists and the state have both been using games to organize, surveil, etc., as they fight each other and as they fight us. Antifascists should take gaming seriously as a space for learning, organizing, building friendships, imagining liberated futures, practicing skills needed in these futures, and mobilizing both online and in the real world. If we don’t do it, the fascists and cops will use games against us. (5762, 5776)
One very interesting observation the authors make in passing is a defence of LARPing:
We should not make fun of people for LARPing (live action role playing) as revolutionaries, as long as they know when a situation is a game and when it is a real-life conflict with life-or-death consequences (e.g., an actual riot or an actual street brawl with fascists). LARPing in low-stakes settings can be a way for people to practice and to learn from their mistakes so they’ll be more prepared to handle situations that are not games, where the consequences for failure are much higher. (5947)
A diagram of the Three Way fight, with Devin Zane Shaw’s “lines of adjacency” added
IV
What I would see as a lurking danger of the Three Way Fight analysis is a temptation to abstentionism – to simply sitting out political confrontations which are analysed as being “the State vs the fascists”. Being against both fascism and the bourgeois State offers clearer lines of action when the Left is an independent force with real political power which can manoeuvre on its own terms. This was classically the position in previous decades when “anti-fascism” meant not much more than physically keeping the fascists off the streets; or, a century ago, when a mass workers’ movement and mass workers’ parties were forces to be reckoned with.
When it comes to mass politics in the present day, however, is there any place that antifascist forces (in the core capitalist countries) are capable of simultaneously challenging both an emboldened fascist movement and State forces on the other? What, then, are the contemporary alternatives to abstention, to letting the State and the fascists fight?
Let’s examine this in terms of the Russian invasion and occupation of Ukraine. In 2022, according to the book’s introduction,
Three Way Fight proponents were in fact divided between some who advocated support for Ukraine’s popular resistance forces against Russian imperialism, others who rejected such support as implicit endorsement for Ukraine’s capitalist state, and still others who were conflicted or unsure about how to respond. This division pointed to an underlying lack of theoretical clarity: beyond rejecting simplistic claims that any opposition to US or Western imperialism is progressive, supporters of three way fight politics have not developed a general framework for navigating geopolitics, particularly for situations where forces supported by the United States face imperialist aggression by rival powers. (451)
This seems strange given a couple of pages earlier, where Matthew Lyons is quoted as having come to an eminently defensible position on the Israel-Hezbollah conflict of 2006: “Lyons criticized Hezbollah as right wing while urging that leftists should nonetheless support it against the Israeli military.” (426)
Lyons seems to have reproduced the distinction, made by Hal Draper and others in the Trotskyist tradition,
between military support of a given armed struggle and political support to a given political organization including a government) which may be officially “in charge” of that armed struggle…
For most people, including liberals, social democrats and opportunists of every stripe, “support” means support, period. For Marxists, it never has. This is one reason why, not infrequently, political leaders of a national struggle have been almost as unhappy about being supported by revolutionists as by being opposed.[13]
The most trivial example of this approach would be that working for Allied victory in the Second World War did not require socialists to defend Winston Churchill or Joseph Stalin; only the working peoples who would have had it much worse under an Axis victory. Or, to be more contemporary –support for the military defence of Gaza against IDF genocide should require no political support for Hamas theocracy and atrocities against civilians.
In those terms, Lyons’ support for the Israeli military machine getting pushed back from southern Lebanon in 2006, even by a right-wing militia acting in cahoots with the Iranian theocracy, makes perfect sense. The only difference in the Ukrainian situation is that the United States and its NATO allies are backing the Ukrainian resistance (however half-heartedly and cynically). Even though Lyons rightly rejects “simplistic claims that any opposition to US or Western imperialism is progressive”, in the hothouse atmosphere of Western radical politics, there is strong social pressure against any analysis which might suggest taking the same side as United States foreign policy.
In fact, the pressure to always see State/establishment forces as the main enemies – leading to an abstentionist Fishhook analysis, or to actual Red-Brown alliances – is huge. Take for example Matthew Lyons’ chapter on the Network Contagion Research Institute (NCRI), a think-tank supported by not only the liberal billionaire George Soros but the more right-leaning Koch brothers,[14] which promotes itself as opposing “extremism” of both Left and Right – that is, the classical Horseshoe model. Lyons discusses its recruitment as a senior research fellow of Alexander Reid Ross, geography professor and author of Against the Fascist Creep.[15]
[T]he combination of Soros and Koch support evokes an attempt to foster a broad—but anti-Trump—coalition within the ruling class… [B]y signing on with NCRI [Reid Ross] has repudiated the left, yet his background helps burnish the NCRI’s image as an inclusive home for anti-“hate” scholars of every persuasion. (3214, 3229, my emphasis)
While the NCRI’s “anti-extremism” framework is to be rejected,[16] the question of whether accepting funding from it means a repudiation of the Left may be debated by reasonable people. The common factor here is that, just as the Horseshoe and Fishhook models are both based on binary oppositions, the insistence that we choose between them, or that if we reject one we must accept the other, is another such opposition.
V
Another danger arises in a perverse downgrading of reactionary trends in capitalist politics which are not strictly speaking fascist. Notwithstanding his excellent analyses elsewhere in the book, Don Hamerquist’s 2020 article, “Distinguishing the Possible from the Probable” is a disturbing example of this.
Hamerquist’s analysis starts from a cogent rebuttal of arguments from some activists that the whole global ruling class is moving towards fascism, or even some kind of “neoliberal fascism” (which seems a contradiction in terms). So far, so plausible. But Hamerquist – writing four years ago – goes on to argue that transnational capital has a more complicated relationship with “populism”: that while transnational capital is generally hostile to (right-wing) populism (3383), it
has a variety of incentives and opportunities to provide tactical latitude to either right or left populist movements (and governments), in order to saddle them with the responsibility for dealing with emerging crises in circumstances where even partial success is quite unlikely. … The broad campaigns to hamstring Trump or remove him from office, to reverse Brexit, to limit the successes of anti-EU campaigns, as well as the successful strangulation of the feeble Greek social democracy are all related parts of this hostile response of transnational capitalist elites to potentially disruptive populisms. (3443, 3516, emphasis added)
Hamerquist seems to be arguing that populist successes (never allowed to go too far) act as something of a safety valve for transnational capital. But if transnational capital is decisive in the final analysis, and transnational capital is hostile to all populism, Right-wing forms included, why did the economically damaging “hard Brexit” prevail? Are we supposed to condemn globalist capital and the neoliberal establishment seeking to undermine Trump’s programme?[17] And – if Hamerquist is right that Left-populism and Right-populism are equally likely to be cynically propped up then scapegoated – which section of global capital is supporting Left-populist forces?
To his credit, Hamerquist allows that
significant parts of the military-industrial complex and some extractive industries face specific competitive and ecological challenges that give them a compelling interest in economic nationalism. … The supportive attitude of this bloc of capital for Trump’s regime has been obvious, as are its defining impacts on Trump’s MAGA variant of nationalism. (3398)
So surely it makes more sense to argue that there is in fact a split in transnational capital, with one part of it being sincerely in favour of reactionary, nationalist politics. Yet Hamerquist goes on to argue that these factions of capital are “generally motivated by perceptions of their short-term, largely economic interests, not by some larger ideological purpose” (3803). This is definitely not the case, however, for a section of capital which Hamerquist does not mention at all: “tech reactionaries” such as Elon Musk or Peter Thiel who sincerely believe in a “woke mind virus” thwarting their plans for interplanetary expansion powered by artificial intelligence, and are heavily backing “National Conservative” politics. In fact, some authors have gone as far as arguing that, yes, Peter Thiel is literally a fascist.[18]
Hamerquist’s thesis that the interests of Right-populism are counterposed to those of transnational capital has led him to what in retrospect is a shockingly incorrect prediction of the future course of the Trump movement:
As his original nativist and protectionist policies are forced to become more concrete, at penalty of losing plausibility, both ruling-class and popular attitudes toward Trump’s administration will undergo further changes. The most predictable outcome is the erosion of support from the overtly reactionary and fascist-tending populist components of his initial base…
It can’t be repeated too often that when the global socioeconomic situation deteriorates … a substantial and rapid fragmentation of the current “Trumpism” is inevitable. (3493)
None of this has happened. The Trump coalition has in fact become stronger and deeper over the last four years, to the extent that it has eliminated all opposition within the Republican Party itself. Hamerquist is half-right that Trump has built substantial trust and support among the ruling classes since 2016. He is wrong that this has been at the expense of the support of his popular base.[19] To some extent, this seems to be an instance of a common misconception among radical theorists, that people react mainly to material rather than psychic or status-driven incentives. Trump’s messaging, the “permission” he gives for reactionary mobilisation and even violence, is more decisive for his ability to build a base than whatever material gains might result from him being in office, in other words.
But given this “inevitable” divorce between Trump and his fascist-infused base, Hamerquist seems to have talked himself into a position – not an unprecedented one, as we will see – that Trump and his movement are not a real danger:
Despite Trump’s evident willingness to compromise on any and all of the significant challenges to the international and domestic capitalist status quo that his 2016 campaign intimated—and despite his slide toward orthodox Ameri-centric conservatism—for the anti-Trump so-called “resistance” he remains a dangerous rebel and disrupter.
The strange polarization between a dubious personalized populism and the bizarrely exaggerated opposition to it is only one potential interpretation of our current circumstances. (3531, 3538, emphasis added)
There is an old Muppet Show sketch where a scientist invents a Gorilla Detector, then allows himself to be attacked by a gorilla because the detector isn’t going off. Don Hamerquist’s apparent distinction between fascism (a real threat) and Right-wing populism (ostensibly a paper tiger, hyped up by global capital and contemptible “resist libs” to scare us) seems similar, and to lead to a similarly painful conclusion.
Although not an anti-system, insurgent movement like fascism (except on its conspiratorial fringes), Right-populists are perfectly capable of using harassment, abuse, verbal and physical violence to make vulnerable populations’ lives miserable, and to “tilt” the field of electoral politics their way. The “stochastic lynch mobs” riled up by social media entrepreneurs against Drag Queen Story Hours and pro-Palestine demonstrators (or, more recently, against migrant and Muslim communities across England and northern Ireland) are clear and present dangers to working people and their communities, regardless of whether these mobs include actual fascists or “only” Right-wing populists. Hamerquist’s analysis would have us looking the wrong way in the face of clear and present threats to working class and marginalised communities, having persuaded ourselves that the real threat is global elites posing as Leftists.
If, as the cynical saying goes, “programme generates theory” (that is, analysis tends to confirm the wisdom of what you wanted to do anyway) what is the “programme” behind this analysis? There seem to be two answers.
The first is that, bizarrely and surely unconsciously, Hamerquist is reproducing the “Third Period” analysis of capitalism which sent the Comintern down the suicidal path of abstention from the fight against fascism. This was essentially a miscomprehension that capitalism was on its last legs; that the only serious obstacle to world Communist revolution was a social-democratic and labour movement with a stake in propping up the unreformable and doomed system. This made it an equally deadly opponent as the fascists; hence they were decried as “social fascists”, or in Stalin’s own words, “the moderate wing of fascism”.[20]
Similarly, Hamerquist seems to be arguing that the global capitalist system is so imminently threatened by rebellions from below, that not only will transnational capital cynically promote both Right and Left populisms in an attempt to stave this off, but for this reason social democracy and “official anti-fascism” are the strategy they are more likely to use to do so. Perhaps the authors would not be happy about me quoting Trotsky again, but the following quotation is right on the nose about the problems with mistaking an upward for a downward trajectory:
On ascending the stairs a different type of movement is required from that which is needed to descend. Most dangerous is such a situation as finds a man, with the lights out, raising his foot to ascend when the steps before him lead downward.[21]
It might be unfair to take Hamerquist to task for, four years ago, advising us to step up when the stairs were leading down. In the context of mid-2020, when burning down police stations was broadly approved of and city councils in the US were voting to abolish their police departments, it was probably a good call that the immediate danger was the liberal establishment co-opting the movement and draining it of its life – and that this is what actually happened. But the world is simply different in 2024, and this analysis should not have been republished in this year without a serious look as to whether its predictions had been borne out or falsified.
This brings us to a second potential motivation for Hamerquist’s incorrect strategic outlook, one that might not be obvious to those who haven’t been ploughing this furrow for years. One passing comment in this article would send alarm bells ringing for such people:
Matt Taibbi notes “the danger posed by Facebook, Google, and Twitter—under pressure from the Senate—organizing with groups like the Atlantic Council to fight ‘fake news’ in the name of preventing the ‘foment of discord.’” (3819)
Matt Taibbi is a name very familiar to those who have studied the Red-Brown phenomenon. He is a former radical journalist and documenter of Occupy Wall Street who, in recent years, has pivoted to an “anti-woke” position; for example, acting as an outlet for Elon Musk’s campaign to convince the world that Twitter (before Musk bought it and turned it into X) was “censoring” Right-wing views at the behest of various “Deep State” agencies.[22] This quote uncritically reproduces the framework that anti-disinformation campaigns sponsored by Western states or liberal factions of capital are in fact a reprehensible campaign of censorship –that reactionary or authoritarian disinformation is not a real threat, but a bogey meant to excuse establishment surveillance. Just like Trump, or Putin’s Russia.
It gets worse. In a footnote meant to downplay the extent to which Bolsonaro’s government in Brazil or Meloni’s government in Italy are expressions of a fascist creep, Hamerquist cites – on Brazil – Glenn Greenwald; and on Italy, the Spiked website. (7334-5) What do Taibbi, Greenwald, and Spiked have in common? They all promote a narrative to the Left that Right-wing populist movements are not only not dangerous to the radical movements, but are in fact positive phenomena expressing disgust with “woke” global capital. They also tend to say admiring things about Vladimir Putin’s Russia. They are, in fact, prime movers in the Red-Brown ecosystem.[23]
Although (to paraphrase Orwell) some things are true even if Glenn Greenwald says them, you’d better have a better source than Glenn Greenwald if you want to convince people. In previous articles I have argued that socialists whose ideas were formed before the neoliberal era tend to unconsciously assent to and promote Red-Brown narratives because opposition to neoliberalism and opposition to Western imperialism are “good enough” to be convincing. What I am arguing, then, is certainly not that Hamerquist is a Red-Brown or “soft on fascism”. It is that his impulse to argue that Trump and his movement are not fascist and therefore not a real danger (born perhaps out of a commendable instinct not to line up with liberal capital) has propelled him, perhaps unconsciously, to line up with people who want to give alibis and apologies for Right-wing populism, in a direction which actively contradicts the Three Way Fight approach. And, accordingly, that the editors of this collection should have been more alert to that.
VI
This book is simply a must-read for anyone involved in antifascist activism, but also more broadly in organising communities against both Right-wing threats and State violence, online and in meatspace. A better introduction to the basic issues could not be imagined (unless, perhaps, it took a few more sources from the Trotskyist tradition to give an alternative viewpoint to the anarchist voices).
But the real point of a political review has to be – what are the lessons to be drawn for political activity in the here and now?
1. Independence from the state is a must
The Three Way Fight model is difficult to operate in that it poses a difficult question of strategy: how can the organised working class fight two different (and conflicting) enemies at the same time, while itself remaining independent from both of them? This requires building not only practical independence – that is, working-class and community organisations for debate and action which can take action regardless of what the cops or the NGOs think – but political independence, in the sense of building analysis and strategy which comes out of the practical experiences of those movements, rather than waiting for a lead from the State or any bourgeois political party.
Although Three Way Fight is clear-sighted that we have to provide a “better insurgent option” for the victims of the State and of capital than that offered by fascism, it also rejects point blank any “Red-Brown” suggestion that there can be “unity [with fascists] over seemingly shared militancy”. (4484) The problem is, then, how to compete with fascism in its appeal to those who want militant action.
The collection’s co-editor Xtn Alexander makes this excellent point, in the context of Right-wing mobilisations against COVID lockdowns:
We should really be asking if there is a growing sense on all sides that the state is becoming more—or being seen as more—illegitimate in all its branches and attached institutions….
We have to be developing, maintaining, and helping to expand class and social movements that are independent of the state. And not just independent of the state, but movements that are defined by liberatory visions, that are directed popularly and democratically, that have an intransigence to the system, and that are militant…
To some people [fascist vigilantism] looks attractive, like, “Oh, there’s people who are fighting the police. They’re fighting the state. They’re taking on the rule of the government.” That’s dangerous if we think through any kind of shared militancy there can be a connection. (4303-4310)
Matthew Lyons agrees:
neoliberalism, as a strategy of the ruling class and as a system of control, is in profound crisis. It’s failing most people in this country, not to mention other parts of the world, and it’s getting harder and harder for its proponents to patch that over. And the far right knows that, and that’s where a lot of their energy and dynamism comes from… To me, that speaks to the need for a radical alternative that refuses to cede the oppositional role to the far right. (4526-4530)
This probably goes even more in recent years in the United States, given the unelected and unaccountable Supreme Court majority’s increasing appetite to strip the remaining democratic rights (and limits on executive power) out of the system. Lyons again:
This is a situation where, just as it would be dangerous to side with anti-state rightists against the state, it would also be dangerous to side with the forces of liberal repression, even if the initial target of that repression is far rightists… Because something that we’ve seen repeatedly in this country is that state repression, even in the guise of antifascism, is dangerous to our movements. (4360-2)
There is a regrettable but understandable temptation, when our forces are weak, to act as “the left wing of liberal democracy”. The “left wing” of the State closing down schools, business and playgrounds for people’s own good; or the “left wing” of organisations like NGOs funded by the state and capital which want increased surveillance of all “extremists”. But that is not going to cut any ice in a situation where increasing numbers of people no longer see existing State institutions as legitimate.
2. The United Front, and diversity of tactics
However, it is also vital to remember that the Three Way Fight is against the fascists and the State. It is not against the fascists and “the liberals”. It is difficult to remember this in an era where, on both sides of the political divide, “liberal” (or the pejorative “shitlib”) is pretty much the worst anyone can accuse each other of. But liberals (of whatever class) are allies in the Three Way Fight insofar as they actively oppose fascism; and our opponents insofar as they want to rely on cops, courts, and Big Capital to do so.
Part of the sectarianism towards “liberals”, especially in the United States, is hostility to the idea that there is anything in the current neoliberal-globalist order which is worth defending (even if you don’t believe it’s all going to fall apart someday soon). When Matthew Lyons, in his critique of the NCRI’s “Horseshoe” model anti-extremism, talks of “reproducing the myth that the United States is a democracy” (3240), it is exactly this collapse of context which is at risk. There exists some level of “bourgeois democratic rights” in the United States – very limited and very unequally divided, of course – which fascism (not to mention the reactionary sectors of capital) wants to eliminate entirely, and are therefore worth defending. The belief that there is nothing of value to the working class in the existing order – that “things couldn’t be worse” – is a form of inverted “American exceptionalism” which not only reflects the narcissism of small subcultures, but is extremely dangerous in its lack of imagination, and therefore its perception of the real stakes in the Three Way Fight.
Defence of “bourgeois democratic” rights and institutions – no matter how impotent or hypocritical they might be – is the basis for practical alliances with liberals. “Practical and political independence for working-class anti-fascism” does not mean sectarian opposition to liberal antifascists; nor does it mean subsuming our forces in a Popular Front whose limits of action are whatever won’t scare the most conservative opponents of fascism. As Xloi and B. Sandor put it in the aftermath of January 6, 2021:
We think we should be developing a political pole that opposes both insurgent and government-backed far-right forces… We need an antifascism that doesn’t ultimately back up the state or ignore the right altogether in the hopes that the state will simply smash it. (4663)
As we explored above, when antifascists such as Devin Zane Shaw refer to “the diversity of tactics”, this usually means making sure that the options of physical confrontation (in extremis, armed community self-defence) remain on the table. But it can also refer to the great benefit of a United Front formation – a non-sectarian alliance between independent forces means that each component of the alliance can “do what it does best”. For example, when Zhandarka Kurti says:
One of the lessons of previous moments of heightened struggles, whether in the 1930s or 1960s, has been the need of radical movements to maintain their independence from the official institutions of liberal bourgeois society and to rely on mass direct action as a means of forcing reforms instead of pursuing the usual dead-end channels of electoral politics. (5091)
But, as the meme puts it, why not both? In a broad and successful antifascist coalition there will be more moderate forces who will want to put their energies towards participation in elections, lobbying elected officials, even working with NGOs founded by liberal capital or State agencies.
3. It’s a hard idea to hold on to
The Three Way Fight model, once again, is complicated. Even in this book embodying 40 years of its development, and arising out of debates in the movement stemming back forty years or more, the model itself seems to slip out of the grasp of some of the contributors, collapsing into a binary. Even though, earlier in the book, Matthew Lyons dismisses the Marxist-Leninist idea that fascism is a weapon to be cynically used by capitalism in extremis, Don Hamerquist’s article discussed in Part V of this review ends up arguing that Right-wing populism is precisely that; the line of distinction between that and fascism proper seems somewhat arbitrary. Thus, the contesting parties boil down to “us” and the global capitalist order – something uncomfortably close to the Fishhook theory.
The flipside of this is a kind of perverse “millennialism” – a “faith-based” politics which tells us: of course neoliberal capitalism cannot survive much longer, against the fascist threat, the imminent collapse of the biosphere, and so on. A recent posting to Three Way Fight by Jarrod Shanahan – not reprinted in this book – puts it this way:
Built on slavery and genocide, sustained by ruthless imperialism, and riven by intrinsic antagonism that constantly erupts into seemingly senseless violence, American society was always going to come apart; the wondrous thing is how long it has lasted. The liberal democracy that Sharlet mourns is inseparable from the white supremacy and settler colonialism he rightfully decries. The end of America is nothing to be sad about; the indefinite perpetuation of the American state as it has existed for two and a half centuries would simply be a continuing humanitarian and ecological disaster.[24]
The appeal of a perspective of an imminent “end of America” is obvious to radicals – but it negates the need for a Three Way Fight analysis, just as much as the Horseshoe and Fishhook Theories do. It assumes that one “corner” of the triangle – the bourgeois democratic state – will, someday soon, collapse under its internal contradictions. This will then leave a refreshingly uncomplicated two-way fight, good guys versus bad guys, as rowan puts it (926), and we won’t have to pretend to respect “stupid liberals” anymore.
Problem is, anti-capitalists have been expecting the final crisis of capitalism “someday soon” for almost 200 years now. Trotsky was predicting it in 1938. And yet, somehow, in the absence of working-class revolution, global capitalism keeps reforming itself; sometimes increasing or decreasing the level of liberal-democratic rights, sometimes favouring one social layer while expropriating another. It would be easier if Right-wing populism wasn’t a real threat (i.e. if global capital had it “all sewn up” behind the scenes); or if global capital was going to dissolve on its own someday soon. But reality is not easy, which is why we need to hold on to the Three Way Fight analysis.
In the end, fascism is a chameleon and takes on whatever shape it needs to blend into its environment. Perhaps all the spatial metaphors are inadequate, and we should go with this Twitter comment:
I subscribe to the black hole theory of fascism. Fascism sucks people of any other political affiliation into its crushing gravity well.[25]
Thirty years ago, Stewart Home used the very similar image of a “sucking pit” to describe the attractions of ecofascism.[26] But this is why it’s so easy for those analysing fascism to take shortcuts where “programme determines theory”. If you want to hope the bourgeois state will defend us, you will be motivated towards Horseshoe Theory, arguing that anyone to the Left of Kamala Harris is a Red-Brown. If, conversely, you sincerely want to build a Red-Brown alliance, you take up the Fishhook Theory, arguing that fascism is a tool of the State and therefore your new friends in the MAGA hats can’t be fascists since they’re against the neoliberal order. And if you’re impatient for a straight fight with fascism, winner-takes-all for the future of humanity, you might be attracted by analyses suggesting that the bourgeois state is doomed to imminent collapse, after which life and politics will suddenly become much simpler.
The Three Way Fight model – the model where fascism and the bourgeois state are separate and conflicting threats – is a hard model to intellectually grasp, and hard to put into practice on the ground. But this book does the invaluable service of showing several examples of exactly how to do that in practice. Read it, debate it, act upon it.
This review is an edited version of one which originally appeared in the Fightback newsletter in Aotearoa/New Zealand; see Part 1 and Part 2.
[3] On the subject of “defending the earth” in particular, antifascist theoreticians have long warned against “ecofascist” tendencies (based on a veneration of “the natural” combined with anti-humanism) among green anarchist or primitivist tendencies (756); the “anti-immigration” Deep Ecologist movement was praised by the Red-Brown operative Tom Metzger (2505) and has more recently become an entry point for transphobic ideas into radical spaces. For more on the Deep Green Resistance group, see https://www.politico.com/news/2022/02/06/nevada-transgender-rights-environmentalists-lithium-00001658. The provocative author Stewart Home conducted an amusing running battle with ecofascist tendencies in the UK in the mid-1990s; see edited highlights at https://www.stewarthomesociety.org/ga/index.htm
[4] Lyons has been a central figure in the Three Way Fight website throughout its two decades of existence –at one stage, it was his personal project (347).
[6] There is a strange elision of Trotsky’s work in most of Three Way Fight; when the “Marxist” analysis of fascism is referred to, it’s Dimitrov’s “Fishhook” version as explained above. The exception is in a footnote which argues that Trotsky’s analysis is not much different to Dimitrov’s, in that Trotsky argued that the “historic function of fascism is to smash the working class…directed and financed by big capitalist powers” (6437). But we might put it another way: the function of a system is what it does. Despite its programme, as Lyons recognizes (2273), no fascist movement has ever actually replaced capitalism; it has only ever come to power through an alliance with a nationalist, conservative section of capital who, as the STO put it, “discover, too late, that their ox, too, will be gored” (615), but only in the sense that other factions of capital benefit, not that the system fundamentally changes.
[8] The repeated use of “pussy hats” in the text as a pejorative for liberal feminism is somewhat jarring, as a meme from 2017 which has gone out of use and whose referent might need explaining to modern audiences.
[9] Perhaps “antifascist storytelling time” can be combined with militant community defence of Drag Queen Story Hours.
[10] This observation must be balanced by the later one by Paul O’Banion, who argues that the “politics and tactics of the black bloc” are necessary to mark out militant antifascists as distinct within the united front and to act as a physical line of defence (6014). The question is one of appropriateness to time and place.
[12] The limits of this approach, often lazily implemented through AI, are well illustrated by the occasion when the present author caught a ban from Facebook for posting a picture of Mussolini in a satirical context.
[14] As Lyons correctly points out: “Contrary to what some leftists have claimed, the Koch network never supported Trump and rejected his positions on both immigration and trade.” (3215)
[15] DISCLAIMER: this author liked Against the Fascist Creep, and is friends on social media with Reid Ross.
[17] Amazingly, this does seem to be the implication of what Hamerquist says in a dialogue with Matthew Lyons further on, where he describes “the organised ruling-class effort to replace Trump” as “a thinly disguised attempted coup that risks the viability of the party system and parliamentary structure in this country”. (4115) The shocking resemblance of this analysis to a FOX News editorial will be taken up further below.
[19] Matthew Lyon’s 2019 article in this collection, “Trump’s Shaky Capitalist Support”, gives what I feel is a more nuanced and accurate description of the Trump administration as “an unstable coalition” of neoliberals and Right-populists. (3967) It’s good to remember that many Right-authoritarian regimes, such as those of Franco and Pinochet, have featured similar coalitions.
On 29 July, after the announcement of the election results that declared President Nicolás Maduro victorious, a wave of protests broke out in the barrios and poor neighborhoods of Caracas and many other cities across the country. Convinced that electoral fraud had taken place – given the facts surrounding the announcement, and especially the untimely official proclamation of the ‘winner’ a few hours later, without finalizing the vote count, without audits or evidence of any kind – thousands took to the streets to express their rejection.
The overwhelming popular protest was quelled by a brutally repressive response. From the afternoon of Monday 29 onwards, the government imposed its order. Squads of state security forces (police and parts of the Armed Forces, such as the National Guard) together with armed paramilitary groups, violently repressed the demonstrations. Their occupation of the gates to the neighborhoods and innumerable house raids have completed the offensive.
Twenty-five people were killed between Monday 29 and Tuesday 30 July, according to human rights organizations and the Attorney General’s Office itself. There are around 2,200 prisoners according to President Maduro, or 1,406 according to non-governmental organizations. 95 percent of those imprisoned are from poor neighborhoods, as are almost all the fatalities. This repression is being unloaded on the working class in particular. The prisoners include 117 teenagers, 185 women, 17 people with disabilities and 14 indigenous people. They face possible sentences ranging from 25 to 30 years in prison under charges of alleged ‘terrorism’ and 10 to 20 years in prison if charged with ‘incitement to hatred’.
We, the undersigned, intend to carry out a national and international campaign in defense of our democratic rights and for freedom to those being prosecuted for protesting, for expressing their discontent on social media, or for simply living in a poor area.
We do so with total political independence from the capitalist factions that are currently fighting for power in the country: the Maduro government and the right-wing opposition.
We confront Maduro’s political regime, which is clearly deepening its authoritarian and repressive character. At the same time we oppose the bosses’ opposition led by María Corina Machado, whose political objectives and interests are also opposed to those of the working people. We do not support either of these reactionary camps.
Squads of state security forces together with armed paramilitary groups violently repressed the demonstrations / Image: Confidencial, Wikimedia commons
As we campaign against state repression, we also reject the idea that being a member of the state or the ruling party’s structures in the neighborhoods is an automatic motive for stigmatization or even murder, as seems to have been the case of two women in Bolivar and Aragua.
Working class and poor neighborhoods bear the brunt of repression
In addition to the direct repression, hundreds of workers in different companies and public sector jobs have been laid off, in some cases after illegal searches of their mobile phones and social media. People from the barrios make up the vast majority of the prisoners, not only for having been the protagonists of the protests of 29 and 30 of July, but also because that’s where the raids have been carried out. Just because they live in these popular areas, many workers and young people have been arrested and charges brought against them, with the aim of increasing the number of detainees or for plain and simple police extortion.
In the massive detentions we have seen violations against the most basic guarantees of the rights to personal liberty, defense and due process. We highlight the raids on homes and arrests without warrants; periods of detention without communication for several days; restrictions on the appointment of their trusted defenders; as well as the lack of communication between the detainees and the public defenders appointed by the government itself to prepare their legitimate right to defense. The presentation hearings have been carried out remotely, through summary and collective procedures, without clear individual charges. In the vast majority of cases, preventative detention measures have been ordered, in clear contravention of the constitutionally established right to be tried in freedom. Furthermore, the detainees are being transferred to prisons far from their families’ residences, which increases both their isolation and the difficulties for their support networks to attend to and supplement their dietary and/or medical needs during the time they remain in detention. In the cases of adolescent detainees, they have been found to have been held in the same places of detention as adults, violating their right to receive legally established differentiated treatment.
In these circumstances, poor prisoners bear the brunt of the situation. They are the least visible, the most anonymous, and those who have the least resources and ability to make their cases public. Economic precariousness makes it infeasible for them to bear the costs in a deeply corrupt prison system where one has to pay for everything. Given the class-based nature of ‘justice’ and the stigmatization of the poor – especially the youth – judges, prosecutors and prison guards are even more vicious in their attacks on them. The employers’ right-wing parties, having limited themselves to denouncing the arrest of their political leaders and supporters, have also assisted in making these poor prisoners invisible. They have said little about the repressive offensive deployed in the barrios, showing their total disinterest in the poor who came out to protest.
We call on human rights organizations, trade unions, and community and political organizations that defend democratic rights, both in the country and internationally, to pay special attention to this situation and to join forces for the cause of the freedom of those imprisoned for protesting and/or living in a poor neighborhood. Protesting is not a crime. Neither is being poor!
Stop the repression!
Freedom for those imprisoned for protesting!
Popular protest is a right, repression is a crime!
Caracas, 19 August 2024.
Signed by,
El Comité de Familiares y Amigos por la Libertad de los Trabajadores Presos
PPT-APR
Liga de Trabajadores por el Socialismo (LTS)
Partido Socialismo y Libertad (PSL)
Lucha de Clases–RCI
Marea Socialista
enComún
Partido Comunista de Venezuela (PCV)
Mujeres en Lucha
Pan y Rosas Venezuela
Encuentro Nacional en Defensa de los Derechos del Pueblo
On August 29, a press conference was held for the national and international campaign to free prisoners imprisoned for protesting. The statement was read from various left-wing organizations and struggle movements that have been promoting the campaign, in response to the repressive and authoritarian leap by the Maduro government after July 28. “The vast majority of prisoners are from the popular sectors and they are the ones who bear the brunt,” they declared.
The campaign “Enough repression! Free the prisoners for protesting!”, which has been promoted by various organizations and movements, is being carried out in response to the escalation of the repressive situation by the authoritarian government of Maduro and the arrest of more than 2,000 prisoners for protesting, especially from working-class areas and particularly young people.The press conference was called by the Committee of Family Members and Friends for the Freedom of Imprisoned Workers, the Homeland for All Party (PPT-APR), the League of Workers for Socialism (LTS), the Socialism and Liberty Party (PSL), Class Struggle, Socialist Tide, enComún, the Communist Party of Venezuela (PCV), Women in Struggle and Bread and Roses Venezuela.
Luis Zapata, member of the Committee of Family Members and Friends for the Freedom of Imprisoned Workers, together with leaders of the organizations that promote the campaign, read the statement, which emphasizes that “The vast majority of prisoners are from popular sectors and are the ones who bear the brunt.” The statement outlined what has been done so far and the activities that are proposed to be carried out.
Here you can read the Statement / Petition and add your signature :
[Presented at American Sociological Association meeting, Montreal, August 2024 and partially drawn from introduction to my new book, A Political Sociology of Twenty-First Century Revolutions and Resistances (Routledge 2024)]
It has become a commonplace to call out the burgeoning fascist threat, as seen in Trumpism in the U.S., the “tropical Trump” Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil, the vicious neoliberal Javier Milei in Argentina, the high-handed Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Turkey, the racist Marine Le Pen in France, and so many others. In all too many places, hard-won gains on the part of women and racial or ethnic minorities have come under attack in ways thought inconceivable only a decade ago. Think of the U.S. under Obama or Brazil during the first Lula administration, the era of the Pink Tide, when some forms of oppression seemed to be receding. Today instead, a murderous frenzy is being whipped up against immigrants and sexual minorities, especially transgender people, and environmental science and even basic human rights principles are being ignored or opposed outright. All of this has also caused misdirection at an ideological level, disorienting not only intellectuals but also parts of the working and lower middle classes. It has turned their attention away from how four decades of neoliberal economic restructuring and attacks on labor have led to a vast polarization of wealth and declining living standards. Many are warning that our situation is comparable to the 1930s/1940s in Europe.
In the spring of 1940, the vaunted French army collapsed suddenly before the onslaught of Nazi Germany, giving the fascists effective control of Continental Western and Central Europe. At what amounted to the nadir of the twentieth century, the Jewish Marxist German refugee Walter Benjamin took note of the naïveté of leftist intellectuals during the rise of fascism. In a searing declaration penned only weeks before his suicide in the face of capture by the Nazis, he declared, “The current amazement that the things we are experiencing are ‘still’ possible in the twentieth century” amounted to an attitude that was, above all, “not philosophical” (Benjamin [1940] 1968, p. 259). The retrogression of the 1930s had deep roots, and not only in European antisemitism or capital’s fear of the socialists. It led the French writer Victor Serge, also a refugee from France after the Nazi takeover, to ask famously, “Is It Midnight in the Century?”
After the war, the Black writer Aimé Césaire declared that the Nazi genocide “applied to Europe colonialist procedures which until then had been reserved exclusively for the Arabs of Algeria, the ‘coolies’ of India, and the ‘n——’ of Africa” ([1955] 1972, p. 36). Looking from this side of the Atlantic, one could add that fascism was also rooted in the politics of race and slavery in the U.S., an issue I took up in an essay on Donald Trump’s fascism-tinged attempted coup of January 6, 2021 (Anderson 2022).
None of this is reassuring, especially concerning the U.S. It is certainly true that most of us – at least in those countries dubbed “liberal democracies” – are not (yet) living under the type of fascism faced by Benjamin. But it should also be noted that today’s authoritarian and neofascist upsurges are rooted not only in the politics of race, colonialism, misogyny, and heterosexism, but also in the failure of global capitalism to truly recover from the shock waves emanating from the Great Recession of 2008. The continuing slide – always relative if not absolute – in the living standards of working people is connected to a persistent slide in the profit rate of capital, each experiencing a sense of desperation, albeit at very different levels of society. In addition, today’s fascist threat goes hand-in-hand with widening environmental disaster and the ever-present threat of pandemics. Moreover, as a result of Russia’s Ukraine invasion, the world is probably closer to a nuclear war than at any time since the 1960s. The fact that Putin’s Russia is repeating, two decades later, the disastrous 2003 U.S invasion of Iraq in no way lessens the danger. Nor, of course, does Israel’s genocidal war on Gaza in 2023-24, supported to the hilt by the U.S., and which also carries with it the danger of a wider war.
In short, we live in a time of extreme danger, where not only hard-won democratic and social rights, but also human existence itself, hangs in the balance.
All this needs to be approached dialectically, however, for the dangers outlined above do not constitute the totality at the present juncture. We also need to hone in on the possibilities – and realities – of positive change and revolution that have also burst forth in the first decades of this century.
Over the past fifteen years, we have witnessed a number of revolutions and uprisings across the Middle East and North Africa. Looking at these and other creative, world-shaking upheavals, among them the Arab Revolutions of 2011-12 and their aftermath; the massive Iranian upheavals of 2009 and especially the “Woman, Life, Freedom” movement of 2022; Sudan’s partial revolution of 2019 and the impasse of post-apartheid South Africa; Ukraine’s 2014 uprising and its amazingly unexpected resistance to the 2022 Russian invasion; the parallel struggle for national existence in the face of Israeli genocide on the part of the Palestinian people; and the incessant class struggles in France up through the 2023 strike wave and the uprising of marginalized youth that same year. All this led to the New Popular Front, which was able to stop – at least for now – the neofascist drive to take over the government through electoral means. What stands out in 2024 most of all is not only Israel’s genocidal war against Gaza, but the new revolutionary student movement it has kicked up, the strongest and most widespread since 1968.
I hope these examples will serve to illuminate the situation that faces all of those fighting to replace the oppressive realities of the capitalist order with a new, human one founded on the deepest democracy, the overcoming of production for value and profit under worker self-rule, and the elimination of all forms of racism, sexism, heterosexism, and environmental destruction. But that is not enough. We have to find a way to cut through the despair that not only leads some into Trumpist and other forms of fascism but also discourages and demobilizes members of those social groups that form, at least potentially, the sources of real opposition not only to the right, but also to capitalism itself.
Going back to 1940 and the midnight of the century once again, I want to mention a terrific article last January on the present crisis by French sociologist Edgar Morin, writing at age 102! Morin begins by asking Victor Serge’s question, “Is it the midnight of our century,” the 21st century, what with two genocidal wars taking place, in Ukraine and Gaza, plus the ecological crisis. Circling back to his youth in 1940, when the Nazis had occupied France and he joined the Resistance at an early hour, Morin noted that the biggest obstacle they faced then was “The absence of any real sense of hope,” this after not only the Nazi victories but also the fact that the Hitler-Stalin Pact meant that even the Communist Party was refusing to resist fascism. (Morin 2024).
Over 80 years later, we too have to deal with despair, which confronts us from two angles. First and most obvious is the sense of things going backward, of retrogression, as seen in how Trump and his ilk have already done things like banning abortion, enacted a legal framework making a presidency immune from prosecution, or directly attacked gains in racial justice going back to the 1950s. Often, we feel helpless to stop these developments.
But there is also a second type of despair, the one Morin lived through as well when, after the first Popular Front in France lost power, after the fascist victory in the Spanish Civil War, the Soviet Union betrayed the global left by making its 1939 pact with Hitler, and even joining him in dismembering Poland. These raised the question: Why struggle if even those who lead the fight for social justice end by betraying the movement? Of late, we have experienced this type of despair based upon betrayal and other internal contradictions as well, albeit less dramatically. Most importantly, we have seen the rollback of the Arab revolutions of 2011, where in Egypt the coming to power of General Sisi involved not only outright repression, but serious misjudgments by the secular and leftist forces. We have seen even Bernie Sanders temporize about supporting the Palestinians, or worse, liberal Zionist hawks like the clownish Senator John Fetterman of Pennsylvania for whom progressives campaigned hard in 2022, or the “radical” law school dean at Berkeley, Erwin Chermerinsky. Most dramatically, we have seen Sean O’Brien, the reform leader of a post-Hoffa Teamsters Union, whom Teamsters for a Democratic Union supported, betray labor and so many other constituencies by speaking at the Republican Convention and thus giving them a veneer of connection to organized labor, in contravention of his own members’ views, especially workers of color.
How to combat this? One, we need to simply continue and deepen the struggle, not always as easy as it sounds. Did the Abolitionists give up after the Dred Scott decision, or did Gene Debs do so after the patriotic wave of World War I? Two, we need to analyze better in real time, using Marx, critical theory, and above all the dialectic. As Benjamin reminds us, we can never take for granted any so-called progress under capitalism, which can always, always be rolled back, plus a turn toward fascism is always possible. But nor can we allow ourselves to fall into despair. This is what Morin surely meant when he said we lacked a sense of hope in 1940, but also note that his biography shows that he joined the French Resistance as soon as that became possible.
This is clear as day when one considers the magnificent campus occupations for Palestine of today’s youth. They have created a really revolutionary movement for which they are willing to be jailed, to lose job prospects, even to be deported. They are not strong enough to stop the genocide, but they are fighting the good fight, not only against the Trumpist right but also against the Zionist right in this country. One of these fascist streams has spawned the Proud Boys, and the other the pro-Zionist mob that was allowed to attack the UCLA encampment with impunity on May 1, 2024. Their encampments have also exhibited forms of mutual aid that have incipient communist dimensions and in my own work I’ve linked to the late Marx’s notions about indigenous communism and its relationship to the Western labor movement. If we need to theorize fascism, we also need to theorize these new types of resistance, and to bring our theoretical and strategic insights into dialogue with the movement.
Anderson, Kevin B. 2022. “The January 6 Insurrection: Historical and Global Contexts.” Critical Sociology, Vol. 48:6, pp. 901–907.
Benjamin, Walter. [1940] 1968. “Theses on the Philosophy of History.” Pp. 253-264 in Illuminations, ed. Hannah Arendt, trans. Harry Zohn. New York: Schocken.
Césaire, Aimé. [1955] 1972. Discourse on Colonialism. New York: Monthly Review Press.
Morin, Edgar. 2024 “Face à la polycrise que traverse l’humanité, la première resistance est celle de l’esprit,” Le Monde (Jan. 23).
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